Chelsea at Brighton

Updated

Chelsea

47.1%25.3%27.6%
Chelsea WinDrawBrighton Win
1.58Projected Goals 0.92
1Final Score 1

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
L 0-1 at Manchester City+451
T 2-2 vs Liverpool+165
T 1-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-285
W 3-1 at Aston Villa-140
T 0-0 at Wolverhampton-130
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Crystal Palace+105
W 3-2 at Everton+175
T 1-1 at Chelsea+1000
W 0-2 vs Brentford-111
L 1-0 vs Wolverhampton+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-150-165-170-148-163-170-148-157.2
Brighton+425+475+545+510+494+545+545+581.5
Draw+270+290+300+282+269+300+300+313.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-135--175--180-175-175-157.2
Brighton+385-+535-+420+525+535+581.5
Draw+270-+285-+240+295+295+313.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brighton: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 40.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -155 to -165
Brighton ML moved from +425 to +400

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brighton: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -160 to -175
Brighton ML moved from +445 to +438

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2¼-122o2½-105o2½+106-o2½-105o2¼-122o2½+110
Underu2¼+105u2¼+102u2½-115u2½-121-u2½-115u2½-115u2½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½-110o2½+105-o2½-110o2½+105o2½+105o2½+110
Underu2½-130u2½-110u2½-125-u2½-120u2½-125u2½-110u2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+115 to u2½-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.23%
Exactly 225.66%
Exactly 413.34%
Exactly 62.78%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.55%
Exactly 321.37%
Exactly 56.67%
Exactly 70.99%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 020.69%
Exactly 132.60%
Exactly 225.68%
Exactly 313.48%
Exactly 45.31%
Exactly 51.67%
Exactly 60.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 039.75%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.92%
Exactly 35.20%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.46%
Exactly 221.04%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 38.11%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 048.22%
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 212.83%
Exactly 33.12%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 065.24%
Exactly 127.87%
Exactly 25.95%
Exactly 30.85%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals27.55%
Wins by 3+ goals11.41%
Wins by 4+ goals3.80%
Wins by 5+ goals1.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals7.43%
Wins by 3+ goals1.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.95%
Wins by 2 goals16.14%
Wins by 3 goals7.61%
Wins by 4 goals2.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.83%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal14.61%
Wins by 2 goals5.53%
Wins by 3 goals1.52%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.77%8.23%
1.571.23%28.77%
2.545.57%54.43%
3.524.20%75.80%
4.510.85%89.15%
5.54.19%95.81%
6.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.31%20.69%
1.546.71%53.29%
2.521.03%78.97%
3.57.54%92.46%
4.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.25%39.75%
1.523.58%76.42%
2.56.66%93.34%
3.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.54%31.46%
1.532.16%67.84%
2.511.12%88.88%
3.53.01%96.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
8.23%
7.59%
3.50%
1.08%
0.25%
1
12.96%
11.96%
5.51%
1.70%
0.39%
2
10.21%
9.42%
4.34%
1.34%
0.31%
3
5.36%
4.94%
2.28%
0.70%
0.16%
4
2.11%
1.95%
0.90%
0.28%
0.06%
5
0.66%
0.61%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
Chelsea
1-012.96%
2-010.21%
2-19.42%
3-05.36%
3-14.94%
3-22.28%
4-02.11%
4-11.95%
4-20.90%
4-30.28%
5-00.66%
5-10.61%
5-20.28%
Draw
0-08.23%
1-111.96%
2-24.34%
3-30.70%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-17.59%
0-23.50%
1-25.51%
0-31.08%
1-31.70%
2-31.34%
0-40.25%
1-40.39%
2-40.31%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
31.46%
13.44%
2.87%
0.41%
1
22.94%
9.80%
2.09%
0.30%
2
8.37%
3.57%
0.76%
0.11%
3
2.03%
0.87%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.37%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-022.94%
2-08.37%
2-13.57%
3-02.03%
3-10.87%
3-20.19%
4-00.37%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-031.46%
1-19.80%
2-20.76%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-113.44%
0-22.87%
1-22.09%
0-30.41%
1-30.30%
2-30.11%