Chelsea at Manchester City

Updated

Chelsea

20.8%18.0%61.2%
Chelsea WinDrawManchester City Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.22
0Final Score 1

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Liverpool+165
T 1-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-285
W 3-1 at Aston Villa-140
T 0-0 at Wolverhampton-130
T 1-1 vs Everton-500
Manchester City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Arsenal-163
W 1-0 at Brentford-625
W 3-6 vs Leicester City-825
W 4-0 at Newcastle United-780
W 0-7 vs Leeds United-750

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+370+400+425+460+448+425+460+447.3
Manchester City-140-160-155-159-176-155-155-140.3
Draw+295+320+325+330+316+325+330+328.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+410-+451-+360+385+451+447.3
Manchester City-160--168--165-140-140-140.3
Draw+320-+310-+250+280+310+328.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Manchester City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +445 to +425
Manchester City ML moved from -167 to -174

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +425 to +385
Manchester City ML moved from -160 to -168

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2¾-118o2¾-119o2½-143-o2¾-119o2½-143o2¾-109
Underu2½+102u2¾-102u2¾-101u2½+128-u2¾-101u2¾-101u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-125o2½-138-o2½-135o2½-130o2½-125o2¾-109
Underu2½+105u2½+105u2½+118-u2½+105u2½+110u2½+118u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.09%
Exactly 222.57%
Exactly 416.68%
Exactly 64.93%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.16%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.93%
Exactly 72.10%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 046.95%
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 213.42%
Exactly 33.38%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 010.84%
Exactly 124.09%
Exactly 226.76%
Exactly 319.82%
Exactly 411.01%
Exactly 54.89%
Exactly 61.81%
Exactly 70.57%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.19%
Exactly 223.94%
Exactly 43.79%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 311.00%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 070.47%
Exactly 124.67%
Exactly 24.32%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 035.75%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.91%
Exactly 36.49%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals3.03%
Wins by 3+ goals0.59%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals46.85%
Wins by 3+ goals25.60%
Wins by 4+ goals11.67%
Wins by 5+ goals4.50%
Wins by 6+ goals1.48%
Wins by 7+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal8.11%
Wins by 2 goals2.44%
Wins by 3 goals0.52%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.87%
Wins by 2 goals21.25%
Wins by 3 goals13.93%
Wins by 4 goals7.17%
Wins by 5 goals3.02%
Wins by 6 goals1.08%
Wins by 7 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.91%5.09%
1.579.75%20.25%
2.557.18%42.82%
3.534.78%65.22%
4.518.10%81.90%
5.58.17%91.83%
6.53.24%96.76%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.05%46.95%
1.517.55%82.45%
2.54.13%95.87%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.16%10.84%
1.565.07%34.93%
2.538.31%61.69%
3.518.50%81.50%
4.57.49%92.51%
5.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.81%25.19%
1.540.08%59.92%
2.516.14%83.86%
3.55.14%94.86%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Manchester City
Score012345
0
5.09%
11.31%
12.56%
9.30%
5.17%
2.30%
1
3.85%
8.55%
9.50%
7.03%
3.91%
1.74%
2
1.45%
3.23%
3.59%
2.66%
1.48%
0.66%
3
0.37%
0.81%
0.90%
0.67%
0.37%
0.17%
Chelsea
1-03.85%
2-01.45%
2-13.23%
3-00.37%
3-10.81%
3-20.90%
Draw
0-05.09%
1-18.55%
2-23.59%
3-30.67%
Manchester City
0-111.31%
0-212.56%
1-29.50%
0-39.30%
1-37.03%
2-32.66%
0-45.17%
1-43.91%
2-41.48%
3-40.37%
0-52.30%
1-51.74%
2-50.66%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Manchester City
Score012345
0
25.19%
25.91%
13.33%
4.57%
1.18%
0.24%
1
8.82%
9.07%
4.67%
1.60%
0.41%
0.08%
2
1.54%
1.59%
0.82%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.18%
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-08.82%
2-01.54%
2-11.59%
3-00.18%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-025.19%
1-19.07%
2-20.82%
Manchester City
0-125.91%
0-213.33%
1-24.67%
0-34.57%
1-31.60%
2-30.28%
0-41.18%
1-40.41%
0-50.24%