Liverpool at Southampton

Updated

Liverpool

67.6%18.7%13.7%
Liverpool WinDrawWin
2.23Projected Goals 0.89
2Final Score 1

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
W 2-1 at Aston Villa-213
T 1-1 vs Tottenham-245
W 1-0 at Newcastle United-190
W 0-2 vs Everton-540
W 0-4 vs Manchester United-310
Southampton
Money Line
L 0-3 at Brentford+250
L 2-1 vs Crystal Palace+141
T 2-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+285
L 0-2 at Burnley+172
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+301

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-240-235-225-212-256-225-212-199.3
Southampton+575+550+575+588+591+575+591+599.2
Draw+390+400+410+403+396+410+410+423.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-275--235--250-240-235-199.3
Southampton+650-+580-+460+600+600+599.2
Draw+440-+390-+330+400+400+423.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -233 to -256
Southampton ML moved from +619 to +591

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -230 to -240
Southampton ML moved from +600 to +580

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-108o3-110o3¼+125o3-102-o3¼+125o3-102o3+104
Underu3¼-112u3-110u3¼-145u3-113-u3¼-145u3-110u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+105o3+100o3-105-o3-120o3+100o3+100o3+104
Underu3½-125u3-120u3-115-u3-110u3-120u3-110u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-104 to o3½+106
The Under moved from u3½-147 to u3-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.42%
Exactly 221.49%
Exactly 417.43%
Exactly 65.66%
Exactly 80.98%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.78%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 510.88%
Exactly 72.52%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 010.78%
Exactly 124.01%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 319.86%
Exactly 411.06%
Exactly 54.92%
Exactly 61.83%
Exactly 70.58%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 040.96%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.32%
Exactly 34.85%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.59%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 44.28%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.07%
Exactly 311.85%
Exactly 51.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 035.66%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.96%
Exactly 36.52%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 066.15%
Exactly 127.34%
Exactly 25.65%
Exactly 30.78%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals44.15%
Wins by 3+ goals23.87%
Wins by 4+ goals10.80%
Wins by 5+ goals4.14%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals4.27%
Wins by 3+ goals1.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal23.45%
Wins by 2 goals20.28%
Wins by 3 goals13.07%
Wins by 4 goals6.66%
Wins by 5 goals2.79%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal9.39%
Wins by 2 goals3.25%
Wins by 3 goals0.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.58%4.42%
1.581.81%18.19%
2.560.31%39.69%
3.537.96%62.04%
4.520.53%79.47%
5.59.65%90.35%
6.53.99%96.01%
7.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.22%10.78%
1.565.20%34.80%
2.538.46%61.54%
3.518.60%81.40%
4.57.55%92.45%
5.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.04%40.96%
1.522.48%77.52%
2.56.16%93.84%
3.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.41%23.59%
1.542.34%57.66%
2.517.74%82.26%
3.55.89%94.11%
4.51.61%98.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Southampton
Score01234
0
4.42%
3.94%
1.76%
0.52%
0.12%
1
9.84%
8.78%
3.92%
1.17%
0.26%
2
10.95%
9.78%
4.36%
1.30%
0.29%
3
8.13%
7.26%
3.24%
0.96%
0.22%
4
4.53%
4.04%
1.80%
0.54%
0.12%
5
2.02%
1.80%
0.80%
0.24%
0.05%
Liverpool
1-09.84%
2-010.95%
2-19.78%
3-08.13%
3-17.26%
3-23.24%
4-04.53%
4-14.04%
4-21.80%
4-30.54%
5-02.02%
5-11.80%
5-20.80%
5-30.24%
Draw
0-04.42%
1-18.78%
2-24.36%
3-30.96%
4-40.12%
Southampton
0-13.94%
0-21.76%
1-23.92%
0-30.52%
1-31.17%
2-31.30%
0-40.12%
1-40.26%
2-40.29%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Southampton
Score0123
0
23.59%
9.75%
2.01%
0.28%
1
24.32%
10.05%
2.08%
0.29%
2
12.54%
5.18%
1.07%
0.15%
3
4.31%
1.78%
0.37%
0.05%
4
1.11%
0.46%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.23%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-024.32%
2-012.54%
2-15.18%
3-04.31%
3-11.78%
3-20.37%
4-01.11%
4-10.46%
5-00.23%
Draw
0-023.59%
1-110.05%
2-21.07%
Southampton
0-19.75%
0-22.01%
1-22.08%
0-30.28%
1-30.29%
2-30.15%