Arsenal at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Arsenal

52.1%24.7%23.2%
Arsenal WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
1.63Projected Goals 1.00
0Final Score 2

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
L 0-3 at Tottenham+230
W 1-2 vs Leeds United-210
W 2-1 at West Ham United-125
W 1-3 vs Manchester United-101
W 4-2 at Chelsea+335
Newcastle United
Money Line
L 0-5 at Manchester City+1600
L 1-0 vs Liverpool+700
W 3-0 at Norwich City+123
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+130
W 1-2 vs Leicester City+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-110-115-120-115-120-120-115-111.2
Newcastle Utd+300+310+330+330+310+330+330+348.4
Draw+250+255+290+290+269+290+290+299.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-116--120--155-140-120-111.2
Newcastle Utd+312-+298-+310+330+330+348.4
Draw+259-+290-+260+325+290+299.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -142 to -149
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +340 to +330

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -130 to -140
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +305 to +298

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½-122o2½-116o2½-117-o2½-116o2½-116o2½-114
Underu2½-102u2½+102u2½+100u2½+102-u2½+100u2½+102u2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-117o2½-130o2½-118-o2½-140o2½-125o2½-118o2½-114
Underu2½-103u2½+110u2½-102-u2½+110u2½+105u2½+110u2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-110 to u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.7%
 
No49.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.24%
Exactly 224.95%
Exactly 414.34%
Exactly 63.29%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 119.01%
Exactly 321.84%
Exactly 57.53%
Exactly 71.24%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 019.64%
Exactly 131.97%
Exactly 226.01%
Exactly 314.11%
Exactly 45.74%
Exactly 51.87%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 036.85%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.36%
Exactly 36.11%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.65%
Exactly 221.91%
Exactly 42.70%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 38.88%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 047.07%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 213.36%
Exactly 33.36%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 062.99%
Exactly 129.11%
Exactly 26.73%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals27.72%
Wins by 3+ goals11.76%
Wins by 4+ goals4.07%
Wins by 5+ goals1.17%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals8.22%
Wins by 3+ goals2.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal24.32%
Wins by 2 goals15.96%
Wins by 3 goals7.69%
Wins by 4 goals2.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.90%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal14.92%
Wins by 2 goals6.00%
Wins by 3 goals1.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.76%7.24%
1.573.75%26.25%
2.548.80%51.20%
3.526.96%73.04%
4.512.62%87.38%
5.55.09%94.91%
6.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.36%19.64%
1.548.39%51.61%
2.522.38%77.62%
3.58.27%91.73%
4.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.15%36.85%
1.526.36%73.64%
2.58.00%92.00%
3.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.35%29.65%
1.534.30%65.70%
2.512.39%87.61%
3.53.51%96.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
7.24%
7.23%
3.61%
1.20%
0.30%
1
11.78%
11.76%
5.87%
1.95%
0.49%
2
9.59%
9.57%
4.78%
1.59%
0.40%
3
5.20%
5.19%
2.59%
0.86%
0.22%
4
2.12%
2.11%
1.05%
0.35%
0.09%
5
0.69%
0.69%
0.34%
0.11%
0.03%
Arsenal
1-011.78%
2-09.59%
2-19.57%
3-05.20%
3-15.19%
3-22.59%
4-02.12%
4-12.11%
4-21.05%
4-30.35%
5-00.69%
5-10.69%
5-20.34%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.24%
1-111.76%
2-24.78%
3-30.86%
Newcastle United
0-17.23%
0-23.61%
1-25.87%
0-31.20%
1-31.95%
2-31.59%
0-40.30%
1-40.49%
2-40.40%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
29.65%
13.70%
3.17%
0.49%
1
22.34%
10.33%
2.39%
0.37%
2
8.42%
3.89%
0.90%
0.14%
3
2.11%
0.98%
0.23%
0.03%
4
0.40%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
Arsenal
1-022.34%
2-08.42%
2-13.89%
3-02.11%
3-10.98%
3-20.23%
4-00.40%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-029.65%
1-110.33%
2-20.90%
Newcastle United
0-113.70%
0-23.17%
1-22.39%
0-30.49%
1-30.37%
2-30.14%