Arsenal at Chelsea

Updated

Arsenal

16.7%21.6%61.7%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.92
4Final Score 2

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
L 0-1 at Southampton-110
L 2-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-150
L 0-3 at Crystal Palace-105
W 1-0 at Aston Villa+140
L 2-0 vs Liverpool+270
Chelsea
Money Line
W 6-0 at Southampton-105
L 4-1 vs Brentford-260
W 0-1 vs Newcastle United-245
W 3-1 at Norwich City-301
W 4-0 at Burnley-205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+275+350+335+348+330+335+348+354.8
Chelsea+100-125-112-105-119-112-105-103.4
Draw+235+265+260+251+250+260+265+267.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+310-+331-+310+335+335+354.8
Chelsea-110--117--150-115-115-103.4
Draw+255-+256-+230+250+256+267.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Chelsea: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +340 to +330
Chelsea ML moved from -115 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Chelsea: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arsenal ML
Chelsea ML moved from -140 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2¼-112o2¼-110o2½+120-o2¼-110o2¼-110o2½+124
Underu2½-122u2¼-108u2¼-106u2½-135-u2¼-106u2½-135u2½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+110o2½+122-o2½+115o2½+120o2½+122o2½+124
Underu2½-130u2½-130u2½-142-u2½-145u2½-140u2½-130u2½-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-120 to u2¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.08%
Exactly 223.83%
Exactly 415.58%
Exactly 64.07%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 117.02%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 58.73%
Exactly 71.63%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 041.42%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 216.09%
Exactly 34.73%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 014.67%
Exactly 128.16%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.29%
Exactly 48.30%
Exactly 53.19%
Exactly 61.02%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.34%
Exactly 222.99%
Exactly 43.22%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 39.94%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 066.49%
Exactly 127.14%
Exactly 25.54%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 041.12%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.24%
Exactly 34.81%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals5.27%
Wins by 3+ goals1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals36.91%
Wins by 3+ goals17.91%
Wins by 4+ goals7.15%
Wins by 5+ goals2.38%
Wins by 6+ goals0.64%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Chelsea
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal11.36%
Wins by 2 goals4.00%
Wins by 3 goals1.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.74%
Wins by 2 goals19.00%
Wins by 3 goals10.75%
Wins by 4 goals4.78%
Wins by 5 goals1.74%
Wins by 6 goals0.52%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.92%6.08%
1.576.91%23.09%
2.553.08%46.92%
3.530.83%69.17%
4.515.25%84.75%
5.56.52%93.48%
6.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.58%41.42%
1.522.07%77.93%
2.55.98%94.02%
3.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.33%14.67%
1.557.18%42.82%
2.530.16%69.84%
3.512.87%87.13%
4.54.57%95.43%
5.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.66%27.34%
1.537.21%62.79%
2.514.22%85.78%
3.54.28%95.72%
4.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Chelsea
Score012345
0
6.08%
11.66%
11.19%
7.16%
3.44%
1.32%
1
5.35%
10.28%
9.87%
6.31%
3.03%
1.16%
2
2.36%
4.53%
4.35%
2.78%
1.34%
0.51%
3
0.69%
1.33%
1.28%
0.82%
0.39%
0.15%
4
0.15%
0.29%
0.28%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
Arsenal
1-05.35%
2-02.36%
2-14.53%
3-00.69%
3-11.33%
3-21.28%
4-00.15%
4-10.29%
4-20.28%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-06.08%
1-110.28%
2-24.35%
3-30.82%
Chelsea
0-111.66%
0-211.19%
1-29.87%
0-37.16%
1-36.31%
2-32.78%
0-43.44%
1-43.03%
2-41.34%
3-40.39%
0-51.32%
1-51.16%
2-50.51%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Chelsea
Score012345
0
27.34%
24.30%
10.80%
3.20%
0.71%
0.13%
1
11.16%
9.92%
4.41%
1.31%
0.29%
0.05%
2
2.28%
2.02%
0.90%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.31%
0.28%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-011.16%
2-02.28%
2-12.02%
3-00.31%
3-10.28%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-027.34%
1-19.92%
2-20.90%
Chelsea
0-124.30%
0-210.80%
1-24.41%
0-33.20%
1-31.31%
2-30.27%
0-40.71%
1-40.29%
0-50.13%