Chelsea at Burnley

Updated

Chelsea

60.7%22.3%17.0%
Chelsea WinDrawWin
1.84Projected Goals 0.86
4Final Score 0

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 1-0 at Crystal Palace-146
W 0-2 vs Tottenham-140
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion-175
L 0-1 at Manchester City+451
T 2-2 vs Liverpool+165
Burnley
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Leicester City+190
T 1-1 at Crystal Palace+370
W 0-1 vs Tottenham+375
W 3-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion+527
L 1-0 vs Liverpool+1200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-210-195-185-183-209-185-183-171.7
Burnley+575+575+635+648+615+635+648+665.9
Draw+340+310+300+311+316+300+316+321.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-205--205--240-205-205-171.7
Burnley+625-+645-+550+625+645+665.9
Draw+315-+305-+275+315+315+321.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -180 to -190
Burnley ML moved from +682 to +648

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -195 to -211
Burnley ML moved from +660 to +645

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2¼-110o2¼-112o2½+121-o2¼-112o2¼-110o2½+124
Underu2½-112u2¼-110u2¼-104u2½-136-u2¼-104u2½-136u2½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+110o2½+115-o2½+100o2½+115o2½+115o2½+124
Underu2½-115u2½-130u2½-135-u2½-130u2½-135u2½-130u2½-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.73%
Exactly 224.51%
Exactly 414.87%
Exactly 63.61%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.17%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 58.02%
Exactly 71.39%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 015.84%
Exactly 129.19%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 316.51%
Exactly 47.61%
Exactly 52.80%
Exactly 60.86%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 042.50%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.56%
Exactly 34.44%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.67%
Exactly 222.37%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 39.32%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 042.61%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.50%
Exactly 34.41%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 067.29%
Exactly 126.66%
Exactly 25.28%
Exactly 30.70%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals35.49%
Wins by 3+ goals16.74%
Wins by 4+ goals6.48%
Wins by 5+ goals2.08%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals5.29%
Wins by 3+ goals1.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Burnley
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal25.12%
Wins by 2 goals18.75%
Wins by 3 goals10.26%
Wins by 4 goals4.40%
Wins by 5 goals1.54%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal11.67%
Wins by 2 goals4.04%
Wins by 3 goals1.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.27%6.73%
1.575.10%24.90%
2.550.59%49.41%
3.528.55%71.45%
4.513.68%86.32%
5.55.66%94.34%
6.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.16%15.84%
1.554.97%45.03%
2.528.08%71.92%
3.511.56%88.44%
4.53.96%96.04%
5.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.50%42.50%
1.521.14%78.86%
2.55.58%94.42%
3.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.33%28.67%
1.535.51%64.49%
2.513.14%86.86%
3.53.82%96.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Burnley
Score01234
0
6.73%
5.76%
2.47%
0.70%
0.15%
1
12.40%
10.62%
4.54%
1.30%
0.28%
2
11.43%
9.78%
4.18%
1.19%
0.26%
3
7.02%
6.01%
2.57%
0.73%
0.16%
4
3.23%
2.77%
1.18%
0.34%
0.07%
5
1.19%
1.02%
0.44%
0.12%
0.03%
Chelsea
1-012.40%
2-011.43%
2-19.78%
3-07.02%
3-16.01%
3-22.57%
4-03.23%
4-12.77%
4-21.18%
4-30.34%
5-01.19%
5-11.02%
5-20.44%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.73%
1-110.62%
2-24.18%
3-30.73%
Burnley
0-15.76%
0-22.47%
1-24.54%
0-30.70%
1-31.30%
2-31.19%
0-40.15%
1-40.28%
2-40.26%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Burnley
Score0123
0
28.67%
11.36%
2.25%
0.30%
1
24.46%
9.69%
1.92%
0.25%
2
10.43%
4.13%
0.82%
0.11%
3
2.97%
1.18%
0.23%
0.03%
4
0.63%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-024.46%
2-010.43%
2-14.13%
3-02.97%
3-11.18%
3-20.23%
4-00.63%
4-10.25%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-028.67%
1-19.69%
2-20.82%
Burnley
0-111.36%
0-22.25%
1-21.92%
0-30.30%
1-30.25%
2-30.11%