Brentford at Aston Villa

Updated

Brentford

24.2%24.8%51.1%
Brentford WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.62
0Final Score 4

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Brentford
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Chelsea+355
W 0-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+230
L 1-5 at Newcastle United+410
T 0-0 at Bournemouth+120
L 3-0 vs Arsenal+350
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-3 at Fulham+136
L 2-0 vs Chelsea+300
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest+100
T 0-0 at Leeds United+205
W 0-1 vs Southampton+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+245+267+260+275-+264+267+284.8
Aston Villa+110+109+105+104-+108+109+114.4
Draw+245+246+235+260-+260+260+265.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+250-+280-+255+270+280+284.8
Aston Villa+105-+103--115+105+105+114.4
Draw+260-+230-+220+240+240+265.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +275 to +264
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +250 to +240
Aston Villa ML moved from +115 to +103

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-109o2½-105o2½-108-o2½-108o2½-105o2½+102
Underu2½+102u2½-109u2½-115u2½-108-u2½-108u2½-108u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½+100o2½-102-o2½-115o2½-105o2½+100o2½+102
Underu2½+110u2½-120u2½-118-u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.02%
Exactly 224.77%
Exactly 414.56%
Exactly 63.42%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.65%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 57.74%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 035.56%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.01%
Exactly 36.55%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 019.75%
Exactly 132.03%
Exactly 225.98%
Exactly 314.05%
Exactly 45.70%
Exactly 51.85%
Exactly 60.50%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.24%
Exactly 222.11%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 39.06%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 061.96%
Exactly 129.66%
Exactly 27.10%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 047.19%
Exactly 135.44%
Exactly 213.31%
Exactly 33.33%
Exactly 40.63%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals8.79%
Wins by 3+ goals2.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals27.02%
Wins by 3+ goals11.41%
Wins by 4+ goals3.93%
Wins by 5+ goals1.12%
Wins by 6+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Brentford
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal15.31%
Wins by 2 goals6.34%
Wins by 3 goals1.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.02%
Wins by 2 goals15.62%
Wins by 3 goals7.48%
Wins by 4 goals2.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.86%
Wins by 6 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.98%7.02%
1.574.33%25.67%
2.549.56%50.44%
3.527.63%72.37%
4.513.06%86.94%
5.55.33%94.67%
6.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.44%35.56%
1.527.68%72.32%
2.58.67%91.33%
3.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.25%19.75%
1.548.22%51.78%
2.522.24%77.76%
3.58.19%91.81%
4.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.76%29.24%
1.534.81%65.19%
2.512.70%87.30%
3.53.64%96.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brentford
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.02%
11.39%
9.24%
5.00%
2.03%
0.66%
1
7.26%
11.78%
9.55%
5.17%
2.09%
0.68%
2
3.75%
6.09%
4.94%
2.67%
1.08%
0.35%
3
1.29%
2.10%
1.70%
0.92%
0.37%
0.12%
4
0.33%
0.54%
0.44%
0.24%
0.10%
0.03%
Brentford
1-07.26%
2-03.75%
2-16.09%
3-01.29%
3-12.10%
3-21.70%
4-00.33%
4-10.54%
4-20.44%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-07.02%
1-111.78%
2-24.94%
3-30.92%
Aston Villa
0-111.39%
0-29.24%
1-29.55%
0-35.00%
1-35.17%
2-32.67%
0-42.03%
1-42.09%
2-41.08%
3-40.37%
0-50.66%
1-50.68%
2-50.35%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Brentford
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
29.24%
21.96%
8.25%
2.06%
0.39%
1
14.00%
10.51%
3.95%
0.99%
0.19%
2
3.35%
2.52%
0.94%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.53%
0.40%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Brentford
1-014.00%
2-03.35%
2-12.52%
3-00.53%
3-10.40%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-029.24%
1-110.51%
2-20.94%
Aston Villa
0-121.96%
0-28.25%
1-23.95%
0-32.06%
1-30.99%
2-30.24%
0-40.39%
1-40.19%