Manchester Utd at Brighton

Updated

Manchester United

46.9%26.7%26.4%
Manchester Utd WinDrawBrighton Win
1.43Projected Goals 1.00
0Final Score 4

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Brentford-128
T 1-1 vs Chelsea+259
L 1-3 at Arsenal+275
L 0-4 at Liverpool+825
W 2-3 vs Norwich City-360
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 3-0 at Wolverhampton+182
T 2-2 vs Southampton+105
L 0-3 at Manchester City+1350
W 1-0 at Tottenham+580
W 2-1 at Arsenal+477

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+135+150+148+152+137+148+152+154.7
Brighton+210+190+200+206+192+200+206+212.4
Draw+220+230+235+238+238+235+238+248.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+150-+133-+135+135+135+154.7
Brighton+175-+205-+155+215+215+212.4
Draw+245-+238-+220+225+238+248.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +148 to +141
Brighton ML moved from +213 to +207

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 20.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Brighton: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +150 to +135
Brighton ML moved from +205 to +199

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-102o2½+104o2½+105-o2½+104o2½+105o2½+109
Underu2½-115u2½-118u2½-120u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-118u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½+100o2½+100-o2½-105o2½+105o2½+105o2½+109
Underu2½-110u2½-120u2½-120-u2½-125u2½-125u2½-120u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.83%
Exactly 226.01%
Exactly 412.77%
Exactly 62.51%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.43%
Exactly 321.04%
Exactly 56.20%
Exactly 70.87%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 023.99%
Exactly 134.25%
Exactly 224.45%
Exactly 311.63%
Exactly 44.15%
Exactly 51.19%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 036.81%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.38%
Exactly 36.12%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.51%
Exactly 220.52%
Exactly 42.16%
 
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 37.69%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 051.63%
Exactly 134.13%
Exactly 211.28%
Exactly 32.49%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 062.96%
Exactly 129.13%
Exactly 26.74%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals22.82%
Wins by 3+ goals8.71%
Wins by 4+ goals2.66%
Wins by 5+ goals0.64%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals9.53%
Wins by 3+ goals2.61%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal24.01%
Wins by 2 goals14.12%
Wins by 3 goals6.05%
Wins by 4 goals2.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.54%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal16.81%
Wins by 2 goals6.92%
Wins by 3 goals2.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.17%8.83%
1.569.74%30.26%
2.543.73%56.27%
3.522.69%77.31%
4.59.93%90.07%
5.53.73%96.27%
6.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.01%23.99%
1.541.77%58.23%
2.517.32%82.68%
3.55.69%94.31%
4.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.19%36.81%
1.526.40%73.60%
2.58.02%91.98%
3.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.49%32.51%
1.530.96%69.04%
2.510.44%89.56%
3.52.75%97.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
8.83%
8.82%
4.41%
1.47%
0.37%
1
12.61%
12.60%
6.29%
2.10%
0.52%
2
9.00%
8.99%
4.49%
1.50%
0.37%
3
4.28%
4.28%
2.14%
0.71%
0.18%
4
1.53%
1.53%
0.76%
0.25%
0.06%
5
0.44%
0.44%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
Manchester United
1-012.61%
2-09.00%
2-18.99%
3-04.28%
3-14.28%
3-22.14%
4-01.53%
4-11.53%
4-20.76%
4-30.25%
5-00.44%
5-10.44%
5-20.22%
Draw
0-08.83%
1-112.60%
2-24.49%
3-30.71%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-18.82%
0-24.41%
1-26.29%
0-31.47%
1-32.10%
2-31.50%
0-40.37%
1-40.52%
2-40.37%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
32.51%
15.04%
3.48%
0.54%
1
21.49%
9.94%
2.30%
0.35%
2
7.10%
3.29%
0.76%
0.12%
3
1.56%
0.72%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.26%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-021.49%
2-07.10%
2-13.29%
3-01.56%
3-10.72%
3-20.17%
4-00.26%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-032.51%
1-19.94%
2-20.76%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-115.04%
0-23.48%
1-22.30%
0-30.54%
1-30.35%
2-30.12%