Brighton at Manchester City

Updated

Brighton and Hove Albion

4.8%11.3%83.9%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.54Projected Goals 2.80
0Final Score 3

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 1-0 at Tottenham+580
W 2-1 at Arsenal+477
T 0-0 vs Norwich City-210
L 2-0 vs Tottenham+275
L 2-0 vs Liverpool+568
Manchester City
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Liverpool+100
W 2-0 at Burnley-590
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace-322
W 1-4 vs Manchester United-250
W 1-0 at Everton-425

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+1400+1200+1500+1290+1326+1500+1500+1370.8
Manchester City-530-480-450-408-529-450-408-361.8
Draw+575+550+545+552+572+545+572+573.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+1600-+1350--+1300+1350+1370.8
Manchester City-525--470---450-450-361.8
Draw+560-+529--+525+529+573.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 30.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +1338 to +1290
Manchester City ML moved from -440 to -450

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Manchester City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +1350 to +1300
Manchester City ML moved from -450 to -470

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o3-110o3-111o3-107-o3-111o3-107o3-104
Underu3-108u3-110u3-105u3-108-u3-105u3-105u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3-115o3-115-o3-105o3-115o3-105o3-104
Underu3-125u3-105u3-105-u3-125u3-105u3-105u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.2%
 
No60.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.54%
Exactly 219.75%
Exactly 418.38%
Exactly 66.84%
Exactly 81.37%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.82%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 512.29%
Exactly 73.27%
Exactly 90.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 058.24%
Exactly 131.49%
Exactly 28.51%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 06.07%
Exactly 117.01%
Exactly 223.83%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 415.58%
Exactly 58.73%
Exactly 64.08%
Exactly 71.63%
Exactly 80.57%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.28%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 45.08%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.93%
Exactly 313.14%
Exactly 51.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 077.85%
Exactly 119.49%
Exactly 22.44%
Exactly 30.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 027.33%
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 222.99%
Exactly 39.94%
Exactly 43.22%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals0.97%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals64.32%
Wins by 3+ goals41.96%
Wins by 4+ goals23.29%
Wins by 5+ goals11.09%
Wins by 6+ goals4.58%
Wins by 7+ goals1.64%
Wins by 8+ goals0.49%
Wins by 9+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal3.77%
Wins by 2 goals0.83%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal19.56%
Wins by 2 goals22.35%
Wins by 3 goals18.67%
Wins by 4 goals12.20%
Wins by 5 goals6.52%
Wins by 6 goals2.94%
Wins by 7 goals1.15%
Wins by 8 goals0.39%
Wins by 9 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.46%3.54%
1.584.65%15.35%
2.564.90%35.10%
3.542.90%57.10%
4.524.51%75.49%
5.512.22%87.78%
6.55.38%94.62%
7.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.76%58.24%
1.510.28%89.72%
2.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.93%6.07%
1.576.92%23.08%
2.553.09%46.91%
3.530.84%69.16%
4.515.26%84.74%
5.56.52%93.48%
6.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.72%21.28%
1.545.79%54.21%
2.520.31%79.69%
3.57.17%92.83%
4.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton
Manchester City
Score012345
0
3.54%
9.91%
13.88%
12.96%
9.08%
5.08%
1
1.91%
5.36%
7.50%
7.01%
4.91%
2.75%
2
0.52%
1.45%
2.03%
1.89%
1.33%
0.74%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-01.91%
2-00.52%
2-11.45%
Draw
0-03.54%
1-15.36%
2-22.03%
3-30.34%
Manchester City
0-19.91%
0-213.88%
1-27.50%
0-312.96%
1-37.01%
2-31.89%
0-49.08%
1-44.91%
2-41.33%
3-40.24%
0-55.08%
1-52.75%
2-50.74%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
21.28%
27.60%
17.90%
7.74%
2.51%
0.65%
0.14%
1
5.33%
6.91%
4.48%
1.94%
0.63%
0.16%
0.04%
2
0.67%
0.86%
0.56%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-05.33%
2-00.67%
2-10.86%
Draw
0-021.28%
1-16.91%
2-20.56%
Manchester City
0-127.60%
0-217.90%
1-24.48%
0-37.74%
1-31.94%
2-30.24%
0-42.51%
1-40.63%
0-50.65%
1-50.16%
0-60.14%