Brentford at Manchester City

Updated

Brentford

7.5%5.9%86.6%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.29Projected Goals 3.35
0Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Brentford
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Wolverhampton+140
L 3-1 vs Manchester United+375
L 0-3 at Liverpool+975
L 1-4 at Southampton+255
W 1-2 vs Aston Villa+187
Manchester City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Southampton-360
W 0-1 vs Chelsea-140
W 2-1 at Arsenal-163
W 1-0 at Brentford-625
W 3-6 vs Leicester City-825

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+2200+3300+2600+2677+2996+2600+3300+3300.0
Manchester City-950-1300-1050-959-1560-1050-959-806.7
Draw+825+1000+1060+1030+1037+1060+1060+1136.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+2200-+2500--+2600+2600+3300.0
Manchester City-900--1150---1200-1150-806.7
Draw+850-+962--+1000+1000+1136.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +2812 to +2631
Manchester City ML moved from -1200 to -1300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +2215 to +2100
Manchester City ML moved from -1000 to -1200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-108o3¼-120o3½-108o3½+104-o3½-108o3¼-120o3½+104
Underu3½-112u3¼+100u3½-108u3½-119-u3½-108u3½-108u3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o3½+100o3½-102-o3½-105o3½+100o3½+100o3½+104
Underu3½-115u3½-120u3½-118-u3½-125u3½-120u3½-118u3½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-110 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes24.4%
 
No75.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.62%
Exactly 217.37%
Exactly 419.21%
Exactly 68.49%
Exactly 82.01%
Exactly 100.30%
 
Exactly 19.54%
Exactly 321.09%
Exactly 513.99%
Exactly 74.42%
Exactly 90.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 074.71%
Exactly 121.78%
Exactly 23.17%
Exactly 30.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 03.50%
Exactly 111.74%
Exactly 219.68%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 418.41%
Exactly 512.34%
Exactly 66.89%
Exactly 73.30%
Exactly 81.38%
Exactly 90.51%
Exactly 100.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.52%
Exactly 226.33%
Exactly 46.24%
Exactly 60.59%
 
Exactly 131.23%
Exactly 314.80%
Exactly 52.11%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 087.38%
Exactly 111.79%
Exactly 20.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 021.19%
Exactly 132.88%
Exactly 225.51%
Exactly 313.19%
Exactly 45.12%
Exactly 51.59%
Exactly 60.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals0.16%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals78.86%
Wins by 3+ goals58.75%
Wins by 4+ goals37.91%
Wins by 5+ goals21.23%
Wins by 6+ goals10.40%
Wins by 7+ goals4.48%
Wins by 8+ goals1.70%
Wins by 9+ goals0.55%
Wins by 10+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Brentford
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal1.20%
Wins by 2 goals0.15%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal13.82%
Wins by 2 goals20.11%
Wins by 3 goals20.85%
Wins by 4 goals16.68%
Wins by 5 goals10.83%
Wins by 6 goals5.91%
Wins by 7 goals2.78%
Wins by 8 goals1.15%
Wins by 9 goals0.42%
Wins by 10 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.38%2.62%
1.587.84%12.16%
2.570.47%29.53%
3.549.38%50.62%
4.530.17%69.83%
5.516.18%83.82%
6.57.68%92.32%
7.53.26%96.74%
8.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.525.29%74.71%
1.53.51%96.49%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.50%3.50%
1.584.75%15.25%
2.565.07%34.93%
3.543.09%56.91%
4.524.68%75.32%
5.512.33%87.67%
6.55.44%94.56%
7.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.48%18.52%
1.550.25%49.75%
2.523.92%76.08%
3.59.12%90.88%
4.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brentford
Manchester City
Score01234
0
2.62%
8.78%
14.70%
16.42%
13.76%
1
0.76%
2.56%
4.29%
4.79%
4.01%
2
0.11%
0.37%
0.62%
0.70%
0.58%
Brentford
1-00.76%
2-00.11%
2-10.37%
Draw
0-02.62%
1-12.56%
2-20.62%
Manchester City
0-18.78%
0-214.70%
1-24.29%
0-316.42%
1-34.79%
2-30.70%
0-413.76%
1-44.01%
2-40.58%

Correct Score - First Half

Brentford
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
18.52%
28.73%
22.29%
11.53%
4.47%
1.39%
0.36%
1
2.50%
3.88%
3.01%
1.56%
0.60%
0.19%
0.05%
2
0.17%
0.26%
0.20%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Brentford
1-02.50%
2-00.17%
2-10.26%
Draw
0-018.52%
1-13.88%
2-20.20%
Manchester City
0-128.73%
0-222.29%
1-23.01%
0-311.53%
1-31.56%
2-30.10%
0-44.47%
1-40.60%
0-51.39%
1-50.19%
0-60.36%