Brentford at Manchester City

Updated

Brentford

3.6%8.7%87.7%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.55Projected Goals 3.20
1Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Brentford
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Southampton-130
L 0-2 at Liverpool+1125
W 1-2 vs Crystal Palace+175
L 4-2 vs Newcastle United+200
W 2-1 at Bournemouth+234
Manchester City
Money Line
W 3-1 at West Ham United-259
W 1-4 vs Ipswich Town-1315
W 2-0 at Chelsea+100
W 1-3 vs West Ham United-1750
W 2-0 at Tottenham-280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+1109+1249+1000+1350+1322+1350+1350+1400.2
Manchester City-471-494-460-490-560-490-460-406.9
Draw+655+644+600+640+651+640+651+665.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+1350-+1280--+1300+1300+1400.2
Manchester City-650--576---600-576-406.9
Draw+765-+680--+725+725+665.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Manchester City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Manchester City ML moved from -513 to -560

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Manchester City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +1300 to +1280
Manchester City ML moved from -600 to -633

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-117o3½+102o3¼-120o3¼-115o3¼-117o3¼-115o3¼-115o3¼-106
Underu3½+100u3½-120u3¼+100u3¼-101u3¼+101u3¼-101u3½-120u3¼+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-115o3½+100o3½+105o3½+100o3½-105o3½+100o3½+105o3¼-106
Underu3½-105u3½-120u3½-125u3½-120u3½-125u3½-120u3½-120u3¼+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-122 to o3½-110
The Under moved from u3½-110 to u3¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.6%
 
No59.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.36%
Exactly 216.55%
Exactly 419.37%
Exactly 69.07%
Exactly 82.27%
Exactly 100.36%
 
Exactly 18.83%
Exactly 320.68%
Exactly 514.52%
Exactly 74.86%
Exactly 90.95%
Exactly 110.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 057.69%
Exactly 131.73%
Exactly 28.73%
Exactly 31.60%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 04.09%
Exactly 113.07%
Exactly 220.89%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 417.80%
Exactly 511.38%
Exactly 66.07%
Exactly 72.77%
Exactly 81.11%
Exactly 90.39%
Exactly 100.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.64%
Exactly 226.55%
Exactly 46.66%
Exactly 60.67%
 
Exactly 130.60%
Exactly 315.36%
Exactly 52.31%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 077.52%
Exactly 119.74%
Exactly 22.51%
Exactly 30.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 022.75%
Exactly 133.68%
Exactly 224.94%
Exactly 312.31%
Exactly 44.55%
Exactly 51.35%
Exactly 60.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals0.71%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals71.25%
Wins by 3+ goals50.38%
Wins by 4+ goals30.79%
Wins by 5+ goals16.34%
Wins by 6+ goals7.58%
Wins by 7+ goals3.10%
Wins by 8+ goals1.11%
Wins by 9+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Brentford
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal2.82%
Wins by 2 goals0.61%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal16.42%
Wins by 2 goals20.87%
Wins by 3 goals19.59%
Wins by 4 goals14.46%
Wins by 5 goals8.75%
Wins by 6 goals4.48%
Wins by 7 goals1.99%
Wins by 8 goals0.77%
Wins by 9 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.64%2.36%
1.588.81%11.19%
2.572.25%27.75%
3.551.57%48.43%
4.532.20%67.80%
5.517.68%82.32%
6.58.61%91.39%
7.53.75%96.25%
8.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.31%57.69%
1.510.57%89.43%
2.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.91%4.09%
1.582.85%17.15%
2.561.96%38.04%
3.539.69%60.31%
4.521.90%78.10%
5.510.51%89.49%
6.54.45%95.55%
7.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.36%17.64%
1.551.76%48.24%
2.525.21%74.79%
3.59.85%90.15%
4.53.19%96.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brentford
Manchester City
Score012345
0
2.36%
7.54%
12.05%
12.85%
10.27%
6.57%
1
1.30%
4.15%
6.63%
7.07%
5.65%
3.61%
2
0.36%
1.14%
1.82%
1.94%
1.55%
0.99%
Brentford
1-01.30%
2-00.36%
2-11.14%
Draw
0-02.36%
1-14.15%
2-21.82%
3-30.36%
Manchester City
0-17.54%
0-212.05%
1-26.63%
0-312.85%
1-37.07%
2-31.94%
0-410.27%
1-45.65%
2-41.55%
3-40.28%
0-56.57%
1-53.61%
2-50.99%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Brentford
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
17.64%
26.11%
19.33%
9.54%
3.53%
1.05%
0.26%
1
4.49%
6.65%
4.92%
2.43%
0.90%
0.27%
0.07%
2
0.57%
0.85%
0.63%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Brentford
1-04.49%
2-00.57%
2-10.85%
Draw
0-017.64%
1-16.65%
2-20.63%
Manchester City
0-126.11%
0-219.33%
1-24.92%
0-39.54%
1-32.43%
2-30.31%
0-43.53%
1-40.90%
2-40.11%
0-51.05%
1-50.27%
0-60.26%