Southampton at Bournemouth

Updated

Southampton

35.4%27.6%37.0%
Southampton WinDrawBournemouth Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.22
1Final Score 0

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
T 1-1 vs West Ham United+195
L 0-4 at Manchester City+1950
L 2-1 vs Everton+130
L 0-1 at Aston Villa+260
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton+240
Bournemouth
Money Line
T 2-2 at Fulham+310
W 1-2 vs Leicester City+230
T 0-0 vs Brentford+222
T 1-1 at Newcastle United+675
W 3-2 at Nottingham Forest+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+152+181+175+183-+183+183+194.2
Bournemouth+188+167+165+168-+168+168+177.9
Draw+238+222+210+225-+225+225+233.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+160-+180-+145+160+180+194.2
Bournemouth+170-+165-+155+175+175+177.9
Draw+240-+220-+205+230+225+233.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Southampton ML
Bournemouth ML moved from +178 to +172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +170 to +160
Bournemouth ML moved from +171 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-106o2½+118o2¼-110o2¼-109-o2¼-109o2¼-109o2½+126
Underu2½-112u2½-140u2¼-110u2¼-107-u2¼-107u2½-140u2½-126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+120o2½+117-o2½+110o2½+120o2½+120o2½+126
Underu2½-120u2½-140u2½-137-u2½-140u2½-140u2½-137u2½-126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.05%
Exactly 226.12%
Exactly 412.56%
Exactly 62.42%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.74%
Exactly 320.92%
Exactly 56.04%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 030.59%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 221.46%
Exactly 38.47%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 029.58%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 221.94%
Exactly 38.91%
Exactly 42.71%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.88%
Exactly 220.34%
Exactly 42.10%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.54%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 057.79%
Exactly 131.69%
Exactly 28.69%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 056.89%
Exactly 132.09%
Exactly 29.05%
Exactly 31.70%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals14.79%
Wins by 3+ goals4.79%
Wins by 4+ goals1.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals15.84%
Wins by 3+ goals5.25%
Wins by 4+ goals1.39%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Bournemouth
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal20.55%
Wins by 2 goals10.01%
Wins by 3 goals3.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal21.13%
Wins by 2 goals10.58%
Wins by 3 goals3.86%
Wins by 4 goals1.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.95%9.05%
1.569.21%30.79%
2.543.10%56.90%
3.522.18%77.82%
4.59.62%90.38%
5.53.58%96.42%
6.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.41%30.59%
1.533.18%66.82%
2.511.72%88.28%
3.53.24%96.76%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.42%29.58%
1.534.39%65.61%
2.512.45%87.55%
3.53.54%96.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.12%32.88%
1.530.55%69.45%
2.510.21%89.79%
3.52.67%97.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Bournemouth
Score012345
0
9.05%
11.02%
6.71%
2.73%
0.83%
0.20%
1
10.72%
13.06%
7.95%
3.23%
0.98%
0.24%
2
6.35%
7.73%
4.71%
1.91%
0.58%
0.14%
3
2.51%
3.05%
1.86%
0.75%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.74%
0.90%
0.55%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.18%
0.21%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Southampton
1-010.72%
2-06.35%
2-17.73%
3-02.51%
3-13.05%
3-21.86%
4-00.74%
4-10.90%
4-20.55%
4-30.22%
5-00.18%
5-10.21%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-09.05%
1-113.06%
2-24.71%
3-30.75%
Bournemouth
0-111.02%
0-26.71%
1-27.95%
0-32.73%
1-33.23%
2-31.91%
0-40.83%
1-40.98%
2-40.58%
3-40.23%
0-50.20%
1-50.24%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Bournemouth
Score01234
0
32.88%
18.54%
5.23%
0.98%
0.14%
1
18.03%
10.17%
2.87%
0.54%
0.08%
2
4.94%
2.79%
0.79%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.90%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Southampton
1-018.03%
2-04.94%
2-12.79%
3-00.90%
3-10.51%
3-20.14%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-032.88%
1-110.17%
2-20.79%
Bournemouth
0-118.54%
0-25.23%
1-22.87%
0-30.98%
1-30.54%
2-30.15%
0-40.14%