Southampton at Chelsea

Updated

Southampton

7.7%13.7%78.6%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.74Projected Goals 2.68
1Final Score 0

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Wolverhampton+208
L 0-3 at Brentford+415
L 1-0 vs Aston Villa+165
W 2-1 at Everton+230
L 1-0 vs Nottingham Forest+130
Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 at West Ham United+122
T 0-0 vs Fulham-160
T 0-0 at Liverpool+275
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace-115
L 1-2 at Fulham+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+775+678+700+700+693+700+700+727.8
Chelsea-275-230-250-225-215-225-215-202.2
Draw+380+367+370+360+364+360+370+376.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+755-+685-+675+700+700+727.8
Chelsea-250--232--310-235-232-202.2
Draw+355-+342-+310+345+345+376.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Chelsea: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +725 to +700
Chelsea ML moved from -209 to -215

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Chelsea: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +710 to +675
Chelsea ML moved from -300 to -320

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-136o2¾-105o2¾+100o2½-127o2¾+100o2½-127o2¾+107
Underu2½-112u2½+116u2¾-115u2¾-116u2½+112u2¾-116u2¾-115u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-115o2½-126-o2½-135o2½-130o2½-115o2¾+107
Underu2½-105u2½-105u2½+106-u2½+105u2½+110u2½+110u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.28%
Exactly 219.16%
Exactly 418.64%
Exactly 67.25%
Exactly 81.51%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.22%
Exactly 321.82%
Exactly 512.73%
Exactly 73.54%
Exactly 90.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 048.12%
Exactly 135.20%
Exactly 212.87%
Exactly 33.14%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 06.82%
Exactly 118.32%
Exactly 224.59%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 414.77%
Exactly 57.93%
Exactly 63.55%
Exactly 71.36%
Exactly 80.46%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.56%
Exactly 225.72%
Exactly 45.36%
Exactly 60.45%
 
Exactly 132.52%
Exactly 313.56%
Exactly 51.70%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 071.28%
Exactly 124.14%
Exactly 24.09%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 028.85%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 222.29%
Exactly 39.24%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals1.95%
Wins by 3+ goals0.36%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals57.76%
Wins by 3+ goals36.01%
Wins by 4+ goals19.08%
Wins by 5+ goals8.68%
Wins by 6+ goals3.42%
Wins by 7+ goals1.17%
Wins by 8+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Chelsea
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal5.66%
Wins by 2 goals1.59%
Wins by 3 goals0.32%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal20.81%
Wins by 2 goals21.75%
Wins by 3 goals16.93%
Wins by 4 goals10.40%
Wins by 5 goals5.26%
Wins by 6 goals2.25%
Wins by 7 goals0.83%
Wins by 8 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.72%3.28%
1.585.50%14.50%
2.566.34%33.66%
3.544.52%55.48%
4.525.89%74.11%
5.513.15%86.85%
6.55.90%94.10%
7.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.88%48.12%
1.516.68%83.32%
2.53.81%96.19%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.18%6.82%
1.574.86%25.14%
2.550.27%49.73%
3.528.26%71.74%
4.513.49%86.51%
5.55.55%94.45%
6.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.44%20.56%
1.546.92%53.08%
2.521.19%78.81%
3.57.63%92.37%
4.52.27%97.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Chelsea
Score012345
0
3.28%
8.82%
11.83%
10.59%
7.11%
3.82%
1
2.40%
6.45%
8.66%
7.75%
5.20%
2.79%
2
0.88%
2.36%
3.17%
2.83%
1.90%
1.02%
3
0.21%
0.57%
0.77%
0.69%
0.46%
0.25%
Southampton
1-02.40%
2-00.88%
2-12.36%
3-00.21%
3-10.57%
3-20.77%
Draw
0-03.28%
1-16.45%
2-23.17%
3-30.69%
Chelsea
0-18.82%
0-211.83%
1-28.66%
0-310.59%
1-37.75%
2-32.83%
0-47.11%
1-45.20%
2-41.90%
3-40.46%
0-53.82%
1-52.79%
2-51.02%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Chelsea
Score0123456
0
20.56%
25.56%
15.89%
6.58%
2.05%
0.51%
0.11%
1
6.96%
8.66%
5.38%
2.23%
0.69%
0.17%
0.04%
2
1.18%
1.47%
0.91%
0.38%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.13%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Southampton
1-06.96%
2-01.18%
2-11.47%
3-00.13%
3-10.17%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-020.56%
1-18.66%
2-20.91%
Chelsea
0-125.56%
0-215.89%
1-25.38%
0-36.58%
1-32.23%
2-30.38%
0-42.05%
1-40.69%
2-40.12%
0-50.51%
1-50.17%
0-60.11%