Brentford at Manchester City

Updated

Brentford

3.9%9.3%86.8%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.56Projected Goals 3.12
0Final Score 1

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Brentford
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Liverpool+375
W 2-0 at Wolverhampton+235
L 3-1 vs Manchester City+750
L 2-3 at Tottenham+405
W 2-3 vs Nottingham Forest-130
Manchester City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Chelsea-315
W 0-2 vs Everton-520
W 3-1 at Brentford-280
W 1-3 vs Burnley-1120
W 3-2 at Newcastle United-152

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+1118+1393+1200+1350+1333+1350+1393+1400.9
Manchester City-415-565-550-560-593-560-550-454.7
Draw+558+711+650+750+737+750+750+779.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+1250-+1200--+1350+1350+1400.9
Manchester City-590--600---600-600-454.7
Draw+675-+745--+700+745+779.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +1385 to +1328
Manchester City ML moved from -572 to -593

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +1150 to +1100
Manchester City ML moved from -570 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½-106o3½-108o3½-102o3½-102o3½-102o3½-102o3½+105
Underu3½-130u3½-110u3½-112u3½-114u3½-112u3½-114u3½-110u3½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+105o3½-110o3½-105-o3½-120o3½-105o3½-105o3½+105
Underu3½-125u3½-110u3½-115-u3½-110u3½-115u3½-110u3½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.1%
 
No58.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.52%
Exactly 217.07%
Exactly 419.28%
Exactly 68.70%
Exactly 82.11%
Exactly 100.32%
 
Exactly 19.28%
Exactly 320.95%
Exactly 514.19%
Exactly 74.58%
Exactly 90.86%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 057.04%
Exactly 132.02%
Exactly 28.99%
Exactly 31.68%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 04.42%
Exactly 113.78%
Exactly 221.50%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 417.43%
Exactly 510.87%
Exactly 65.65%
Exactly 72.52%
Exactly 80.98%
Exactly 90.34%
Exactly 100.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.19%
Exactly 226.42%
Exactly 46.39%
Exactly 60.62%
 
Exactly 131.00%
Exactly 315.01%
Exactly 52.18%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 077.11%
Exactly 120.04%
Exactly 22.61%
Exactly 30.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 023.59%
Exactly 134.07%
Exactly 224.60%
Exactly 311.85%
Exactly 44.28%
Exactly 51.24%
Exactly 60.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals0.80%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals69.71%
Wins by 3+ goals48.52%
Wins by 4+ goals29.11%
Wins by 5+ goals15.13%
Wins by 6+ goals6.88%
Wins by 7+ goals2.75%
Wins by 8+ goals0.97%
Wins by 9+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Brentford
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal3.07%
Wins by 2 goals0.68%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal17.07%
Wins by 2 goals21.18%
Wins by 3 goals19.41%
Wins by 4 goals13.98%
Wins by 5 goals8.26%
Wins by 6 goals4.13%
Wins by 7 goals1.78%
Wins by 8 goals0.68%
Wins by 9 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.48%2.52%
1.588.20%11.80%
2.571.13%28.87%
3.550.18%49.82%
4.530.91%69.09%
5.516.72%83.28%
6.58.01%91.99%
7.53.44%96.56%
8.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.96%57.04%
1.510.94%89.06%
2.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.58%4.42%
1.581.80%18.20%
2.560.30%39.70%
3.537.95%62.05%
4.520.52%79.48%
5.59.64%90.36%
6.53.99%96.01%
7.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.81%18.19%
1.550.80%49.20%
2.524.39%75.61%
3.59.38%90.62%
4.52.99%97.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brentford
Manchester City
Score012345
0
2.52%
7.86%
12.26%
12.75%
9.94%
6.20%
1
1.42%
4.41%
6.88%
7.16%
5.58%
3.48%
2
0.40%
1.24%
1.93%
2.01%
1.57%
0.98%
Brentford
1-01.42%
2-00.40%
2-11.24%
Draw
0-02.52%
1-14.41%
2-21.93%
3-30.38%
Manchester City
0-17.86%
0-212.26%
1-26.88%
0-312.75%
1-37.16%
2-32.01%
0-49.94%
1-45.58%
2-41.57%
3-40.29%
0-56.20%
1-53.48%
2-50.98%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Brentford
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
18.19%
26.27%
18.97%
9.13%
3.30%
0.95%
0.23%
1
4.73%
6.83%
4.93%
2.37%
0.86%
0.25%
0.06%
2
0.61%
0.89%
0.64%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Brentford
1-04.73%
2-00.61%
2-10.89%
Draw
0-018.19%
1-16.83%
2-20.64%
Manchester City
0-126.27%
0-218.97%
1-24.93%
0-39.13%
1-32.37%
2-30.31%
0-43.30%
1-40.86%
2-40.11%
0-50.95%
1-50.25%
0-60.23%