Arsenal at Watford

Updated

Arsenal

43.8%27.8%28.3%
Arsenal WinDrawWatford Win
1.31Projected Goals 1.00
3Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Wolverhampton-150
W 1-2 vs Brentford-195
W 1-0 at Wolverhampton+130
T 0-0 vs Burnley-330
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+435
Watford
Money Line
T 0-0 at Manchester United+750
L 4-1 vs Crystal Palace+210
W 1-0 at Aston Villa+450
L 2-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+290
L 0-1 at West Ham United+588

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-170-190-185-184-197-185-184-170.6
Watford+500+500+575+621+528+575+621+604.6
Draw+290+310+320+322+321+320+322+339.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-170--200--215-200-200-170.6
Watford+510-+600-+525+600+600+604.6
Draw+290-+310-+250+315+315+339.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arsenal: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Watford: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -188 to -195
Watford ML moved from +558 to +528

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arsenal: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -190 to -200
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-112o2½-111o2½-105-o2½-111o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2½-108u2½-108u2½-105u2½-110-u2½-105u2½-105u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-105o2½-110-o2½-110o2½-110o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2½-115u2½-115u2½-110-u2½-120u2½-110u2½-110u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.88%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 411.81%
Exactly 62.11%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.87%
Exactly 320.42%
Exactly 55.47%
Exactly 70.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 026.85%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 223.21%
Exactly 310.17%
Exactly 43.34%
Exactly 50.88%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 036.82%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.38%
Exactly 36.12%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.25%
Exactly 219.66%
Exactly 41.88%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.02%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 054.40%
Exactly 133.12%
Exactly 210.08%
Exactly 32.05%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 062.96%
Exactly 129.13%
Exactly 26.74%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals20.17%
Wins by 3+ goals7.21%
Wins by 4+ goals2.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals10.34%
Wins by 3+ goals2.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.63%
Wins by 2 goals12.96%
Wins by 3 goals5.15%
Wins by 4 goals1.59%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal17.95%
Wins by 2 goals7.48%
Wins by 3 goals2.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.12%9.88%
1.567.24%32.76%
2.540.77%59.23%
3.520.36%79.64%
4.58.54%91.46%
5.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.15%26.85%
1.537.85%62.15%
2.514.64%85.36%
3.54.46%95.54%
4.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.18%36.82%
1.526.40%73.60%
2.58.02%91.98%
3.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.75%34.25%
1.529.05%70.95%
2.59.39%90.61%
3.52.37%97.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Watford
Score01234
0
9.88%
9.88%
4.93%
1.64%
0.41%
1
13.00%
12.99%
6.49%
2.16%
0.54%
2
8.55%
8.54%
4.27%
1.42%
0.36%
3
3.75%
3.74%
1.87%
0.62%
0.16%
4
1.23%
1.23%
0.61%
0.20%
0.05%
5
0.32%
0.32%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Arsenal
1-013.00%
2-08.55%
2-18.54%
3-03.75%
3-13.74%
3-21.87%
4-01.23%
4-11.23%
4-20.61%
4-30.20%
5-00.32%
5-10.32%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-09.88%
1-112.99%
2-24.27%
3-30.62%
Watford
0-19.88%
0-24.93%
1-26.49%
0-31.64%
1-32.16%
2-31.42%
0-40.41%
1-40.54%
2-40.36%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Watford
Score0123
0
34.25%
15.85%
3.67%
0.57%
1
20.85%
9.65%
2.23%
0.34%
2
6.35%
2.94%
0.68%
0.10%
3
1.29%
0.60%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.20%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-020.85%
2-06.35%
2-12.94%
3-01.29%
3-10.60%
3-20.14%
4-00.20%
Draw
0-034.25%
1-19.65%
2-20.68%
Watford
0-115.85%
0-23.67%
1-22.23%
0-30.57%
1-30.34%
2-30.10%
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