Arsenal at Watford

Updated

Arsenal

43.8%27.8%28.3%
Arsenal WinDrawWatford Win
1.31Projected Goals 1.00
3Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Wolverhampton-150
W 1-2 vs Brentford-195
W 1-0 at Wolverhampton+130
T 0-0 vs Burnley-330
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+435
Watford
Money Line
T 0-0 at Manchester United+750
L 4-1 vs Crystal Palace+210
W 1-0 at Aston Villa+450
L 2-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+290
L 0-1 at West Ham United+588

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-170-190-185-184-197-185-184-170.6
Watford+500+500+575+621+528+575+621+604.6
Draw+290+310+320+322+321+320+322+339.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-170--200--215-200-200-170.6
Watford+510-+600-+525+600+600+604.6
Draw+290-+310-+250+315+315+339.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Watford: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -188 to -195
Watford ML moved from +558 to +528

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -190 to -200
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-112o2½-111o2½-105-o2½-111o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2½-108u2½-108u2½-105u2½-110-u2½-105u2½-105u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-105o2½-110-o2½-110o2½-110o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2½-115u2½-115u2½-110-u2½-120u2½-110u2½-110u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.88%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 411.81%
Exactly 62.11%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.87%
Exactly 320.42%
Exactly 55.47%
Exactly 70.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 026.85%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 223.21%
Exactly 310.17%
Exactly 43.34%
Exactly 50.88%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 036.82%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.38%
Exactly 36.12%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.25%
Exactly 219.66%
Exactly 41.88%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.02%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 054.40%
Exactly 133.12%
Exactly 210.08%
Exactly 32.05%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 062.96%
Exactly 129.13%
Exactly 26.74%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals20.17%
Wins by 3+ goals7.21%
Wins by 4+ goals2.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals10.34%
Wins by 3+ goals2.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.63%
Wins by 2 goals12.96%
Wins by 3 goals5.15%
Wins by 4 goals1.59%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal17.95%
Wins by 2 goals7.48%
Wins by 3 goals2.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.12%9.88%
1.567.24%32.76%
2.540.77%59.23%
3.520.36%79.64%
4.58.54%91.46%
5.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.15%26.85%
1.537.85%62.15%
2.514.64%85.36%
3.54.46%95.54%
4.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.18%36.82%
1.526.40%73.60%
2.58.02%91.98%
3.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.75%34.25%
1.529.05%70.95%
2.59.39%90.61%
3.52.37%97.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Watford
Score01234
0
9.88%
9.88%
4.93%
1.64%
0.41%
1
13.00%
12.99%
6.49%
2.16%
0.54%
2
8.55%
8.54%
4.27%
1.42%
0.36%
3
3.75%
3.74%
1.87%
0.62%
0.16%
4
1.23%
1.23%
0.61%
0.20%
0.05%
5
0.32%
0.32%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Arsenal
1-013.00%
2-08.55%
2-18.54%
3-03.75%
3-13.74%
3-21.87%
4-01.23%
4-11.23%
4-20.61%
4-30.20%
5-00.32%
5-10.32%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-09.88%
1-112.99%
2-24.27%
3-30.62%
Watford
0-19.88%
0-24.93%
1-26.49%
0-31.64%
1-32.16%
2-31.42%
0-40.41%
1-40.54%
2-40.36%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Watford
Score0123
0
34.25%
15.85%
3.67%
0.57%
1
20.85%
9.65%
2.23%
0.34%
2
6.35%
2.94%
0.68%
0.10%
3
1.29%
0.60%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.20%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-020.85%
2-06.35%
2-12.94%
3-01.29%
3-10.60%
3-20.14%
4-00.20%
Draw
0-034.25%
1-19.65%
2-20.68%
Watford
0-115.85%
0-23.67%
1-22.23%
0-30.57%
1-30.34%
2-30.10%