Brighton at Bournemouth

Updated

Brighton and Hove Albion

43.0%27.6%29.4%
Brighton WinDrawBournemouth Win
1.32Projected Goals 1.04
2Final Score 1

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Manchester City+325
L 1-2 at Liverpool+610
T 2-2 vs Wolverhampton-180
W 1-0 at Newcastle United+360
W 2-3 vs Tottenham+189
Bournemouth
Money Line
L 2-3 at Brentford+175
W 1-2 vs Manchester City+510
T 1-1 at Aston Villa+330
W 0-2 vs Arsenal+375
L 0-1 at Leicester City+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+186+185+165+185+179+185+185+195.0
Bournemouth+140+143+150+147+140+147+147+155.7
Draw+265+260+265+258+257+258+265+270.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+190-+178+170+175+175+178+195.0
Bournemouth+135-+147+145+130+145+147+155.7
Draw+255-+247+250+245+255+255+270.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 40.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +175 to +169
Bournemouth ML moved from +155 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 30.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +185 to +178
Bournemouth ML moved from +147 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-106o3-119o3-110o3-110o3-109o3-110o3-109o3-102
Underu3-110u3+102u3-110u3-106u3-111u3-106u3+102u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3-115o3-105o3-115o3-110o3-115o3-105o3-102
Underu3-120u3-105u3-115u3-105u3-120u3-105u3-105u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-105 to o3-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.41%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 412.23%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.24%
Exactly 320.70%
Exactly 55.78%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 026.68%
Exactly 135.25%
Exactly 223.29%
Exactly 310.26%
Exactly 43.39%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 035.29%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.14%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.48%
Exactly 220.04%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.31%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 054.24%
Exactly 133.18%
Exactly 210.15%
Exactly 32.07%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 061.74%
Exactly 129.77%
Exactly 27.18%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals19.77%
Wins by 3+ goals7.07%
Wins by 4+ goals2.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals11.04%
Wins by 3+ goals3.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion
Bournemouth
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal23.20%
Wins by 2 goals12.70%
Wins by 3 goals5.05%
Wins by 4 goals1.56%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal18.29%
Wins by 2 goals7.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.59%9.41%
1.568.34%31.66%
2.542.06%57.94%
3.521.36%78.64%
4.59.13%90.87%
5.53.35%96.65%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.32%26.68%
1.538.07%61.93%
2.514.78%85.22%
3.54.53%95.47%
4.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.71%35.29%
1.527.96%72.04%
2.58.81%91.19%
3.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.52%33.48%
1.529.88%70.12%
2.59.84%90.16%
3.52.53%97.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton
Bournemouth
Score01234
0
9.41%
9.81%
5.11%
1.77%
0.46%
1
12.44%
12.96%
6.75%
2.34%
0.61%
2
8.22%
8.56%
4.46%
1.55%
0.40%
3
3.62%
3.77%
1.96%
0.68%
0.18%
4
1.20%
1.25%
0.65%
0.23%
0.06%
5
0.32%
0.33%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-012.44%
2-08.22%
2-18.56%
3-03.62%
3-13.77%
3-21.96%
4-01.20%
4-11.25%
4-20.65%
4-30.23%
5-00.32%
5-10.33%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-09.41%
1-112.96%
2-24.46%
3-30.68%
Bournemouth
0-19.81%
0-25.11%
1-26.75%
0-31.77%
1-32.34%
2-31.55%
0-40.46%
1-40.61%
2-40.40%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton
Bournemouth
Score0123
0
33.48%
16.15%
3.89%
0.63%
1
20.49%
9.88%
2.38%
0.38%
2
6.27%
3.02%
0.73%
0.12%
3
1.28%
0.62%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.20%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-020.49%
2-06.27%
2-13.02%
3-01.28%
3-10.62%
3-20.15%
4-00.20%
Draw
0-033.48%
1-19.88%
2-20.73%
Bournemouth
0-116.15%
0-23.89%
1-22.38%
0-30.63%
1-30.38%
2-30.12%