Manchester City at Brighton

Updated

Manchester City

59.0%22.5%18.5%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
1.85Projected Goals 0.93
1Final Score 2

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Bournemouth-190
W 0-1 vs Southampton-900
W 2-1 at Wolverhampton-293
W 2-3 vs Fulham-400
T 1-1 at Newcastle United-155
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
L 1-2 at Liverpool+610
T 2-2 vs Wolverhampton-180
W 1-0 at Newcastle United+360
W 2-3 vs Tottenham+189
L 2-4 at Chelsea+330

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-132-123-130-124-130-124-123-115.1
Brighton+343+305+300+322+308+322+322+336.5
Draw+308+313+320+310+309+310+320+324.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-135--130-140-150-130-130-115.1
Brighton+330-+305+325+320+315+325+336.5
Draw+310-+315+310+300+310+315+324.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Manchester City ML
Brighton ML moved from +304 to +298

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -135 to -145
Brighton ML moved from +335 to +315

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-121o3½+114o3¼-108o3¼-106o3¼-111o3¼-106o3¼-106o3¼+102
Underu3+103u3½-133u3¼-112u3¼-110u3¼-109u3¼-110u3½-133u3¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-130o3-130o3-130o3-125o3-130o3-125o3¼+102
Underu3-105u3+110u3+110u3+110u3-105u3+110u3+110u3¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.22%
Exactly 223.99%
Exactly 415.42%
Exactly 63.96%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.28%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 58.57%
Exactly 71.57%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 015.74%
Exactly 129.10%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 316.58%
Exactly 47.67%
Exactly 52.84%
Exactly 60.87%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 039.53%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.03%
Exactly 35.27%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.64%
Exactly 222.85%
Exactly 43.15%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 39.79%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 042.48%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.57%
Exactly 34.44%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 065.07%
Exactly 127.96%
Exactly 26.01%
Exactly 30.86%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals34.32%
Wins by 3+ goals16.13%
Wins by 4+ goals6.23%
Wins by 5+ goals2.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals6.12%
Wins by 3+ goals1.54%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.64%
Wins by 2 goals18.19%
Wins by 3 goals9.90%
Wins by 4 goals4.23%
Wins by 5 goals1.48%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal12.37%
Wins by 2 goals4.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.78%6.22%
1.576.50%23.50%
2.552.51%47.49%
3.530.30%69.70%
4.514.88%85.12%
5.56.31%93.69%
6.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.26%15.74%
1.555.16%44.84%
2.528.26%71.74%
3.511.67%88.33%
4.54.01%95.99%
5.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.47%39.53%
1.523.78%76.22%
2.56.76%93.24%
3.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.36%27.64%
1.536.82%63.18%
2.513.96%86.04%
3.54.17%95.83%
4.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
6.22%
5.77%
2.68%
0.83%
0.19%
1
11.50%
10.68%
4.95%
1.53%
0.36%
2
10.64%
9.87%
4.58%
1.42%
0.33%
3
6.56%
6.08%
2.82%
0.87%
0.20%
4
3.03%
2.81%
1.31%
0.40%
0.09%
5
1.12%
1.04%
0.48%
0.15%
0.03%
Manchester City
1-011.50%
2-010.64%
2-19.87%
3-06.56%
3-16.08%
3-22.82%
4-03.03%
4-12.81%
4-21.31%
4-30.40%
5-01.12%
5-11.04%
5-20.48%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.22%
1-110.68%
2-24.58%
3-30.87%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-15.77%
0-22.68%
1-24.95%
0-30.83%
1-31.53%
2-31.42%
0-40.19%
1-40.36%
2-40.33%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
27.64%
11.88%
2.55%
0.37%
1
23.66%
10.17%
2.18%
0.31%
2
10.13%
4.35%
0.94%
0.13%
3
2.89%
1.24%
0.27%
0.04%
4
0.62%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-023.66%
2-010.13%
2-14.35%
3-02.89%
3-11.24%
3-20.27%
4-00.62%
4-10.27%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-027.64%
1-110.17%
2-20.94%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-111.88%
0-22.55%
1-22.18%
0-30.37%
1-30.31%
2-30.13%