Aston Villa at Liverpool

Updated

Aston Villa

10.3%16.2%73.5%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.44
0Final Score 2

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 1-4 at Tottenham+260
T 1-1 vs Bournemouth-115
W 3-1 at Fulham+180
T 0-0 vs Manchester United+115
T 2-2 at Ipswich Town+100
Liverpool
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-268
T 2-2 at Arsenal+230
W 1-2 vs Chelsea-159
W 1-0 at Crystal Palace-155
W 2-1 at Wolverhampton-329

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+476+520+475+565+543+565+565+589.0
Liverpool-197-200-205-210-220-210-200-188.8
Draw+393+372+380+380+373+380+380+397.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+475-+550+525+460+600+600+589.0
Liverpool-215--220-250-240-240-220-188.8
Draw+410-+370+390+380+395+395+397.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Liverpool: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +500 to +475
Liverpool ML moved from -205 to -215

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Liverpool: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 30.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +590 to +550
Liverpool ML moved from -225 to -250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+120o3-113o3-110o3-108o3-110o3-108o3-108o3+100
Underu3½-142u3-104u3-110u3-108u3-110u3-108u3-104u3+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-115o3-110o3-115o3-120o3-115o3-110o3+100
Underu3+115u3-105u3-110u3-105u3-110u3-105u3-105u3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+115 to u3-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.92%
Exactly 220.57%
Exactly 417.97%
Exactly 66.28%
Exactly 81.18%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.71%
Exactly 322.20%
Exactly 511.64%
Exactly 72.91%
Exactly 90.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 045.01%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 214.34%
Exactly 33.82%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 08.72%
Exactly 121.27%
Exactly 225.95%
Exactly 321.10%
Exactly 412.87%
Exactly 56.28%
Exactly 62.55%
Exactly 70.89%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.33%
Exactly 225.10%
Exactly 44.70%
Exactly 60.35%
 
Exactly 133.48%
Exactly 312.54%
Exactly 51.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 069.10%
Exactly 125.54%
Exactly 24.72%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 032.32%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.62%
Exactly 37.76%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals2.91%
Wins by 3+ goals0.63%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals50.96%
Wins by 3+ goals29.59%
Wins by 4+ goals14.46%
Wins by 5+ goals6.01%
Wins by 6+ goals2.13%
Wins by 7+ goals0.62%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Liverpool
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal7.35%
Wins by 2 goals2.29%
Wins by 3 goals0.53%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal22.46%
Wins by 2 goals21.37%
Wins by 3 goals15.13%
Wins by 4 goals8.45%
Wins by 5 goals3.88%
Wins by 6 goals1.51%
Wins by 7 goals0.50%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.08%3.92%
1.583.37%16.63%
2.562.80%37.20%
3.540.60%59.40%
4.522.62%77.38%
5.510.98%89.02%
6.54.70%95.30%
7.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.99%45.01%
1.519.06%80.94%
2.54.72%95.28%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.28%8.72%
1.570.01%29.99%
2.544.07%55.93%
3.522.96%77.04%
4.510.09%89.91%
5.53.81%96.19%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.67%22.33%
1.544.19%55.81%
2.519.10%80.90%
3.56.56%93.44%
4.51.85%98.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Liverpool
Score012345
0
3.92%
9.57%
11.68%
9.50%
5.79%
2.83%
1
3.13%
7.64%
9.32%
7.58%
4.62%
2.26%
2
1.25%
3.05%
3.72%
3.03%
1.85%
0.90%
3
0.33%
0.81%
0.99%
0.81%
0.49%
0.24%
Aston Villa
1-03.13%
2-01.25%
2-13.05%
3-00.33%
3-10.81%
3-20.99%
Draw
0-03.92%
1-17.64%
2-23.72%
3-30.81%
Liverpool
0-19.57%
0-211.68%
1-29.32%
0-39.50%
1-37.58%
2-33.03%
0-45.79%
1-44.62%
2-41.85%
3-40.49%
0-52.83%
1-52.26%
2-50.90%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Liverpool
Score012345
0
22.33%
25.22%
14.25%
5.36%
1.52%
0.34%
1
8.25%
9.32%
5.27%
1.98%
0.56%
0.13%
2
1.53%
1.72%
0.97%
0.37%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.19%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-08.25%
2-01.53%
2-11.72%
3-00.19%
3-10.21%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-022.33%
1-19.32%
2-20.97%
Liverpool
0-125.22%
0-214.25%
1-25.27%
0-35.36%
1-31.98%
2-30.37%
0-41.52%
1-40.56%
2-40.10%
0-50.34%
1-50.13%