Manchester Utd at Aston Villa

Updated

Manchester United

27.5%25.7%46.9%
Manchester Utd WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.51
0Final Score 0

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Tottenham+115
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace+145
W 3-0 at Southampton-125
L 3-0 vs Liverpool+260
L 1-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+190
Aston Villa
Money Line
T 2-2 at Ipswich Town+100
W 1-3 vs Wolverhampton-179
W 2-3 vs Everton-145
W 2-1 at Leicester City-115
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+360

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+170+207+195+215+218+215+218+226.1
Aston Villa+140+120+120+120+114+120+120+127.7
Draw+280+285+290+280+287+280+290+293.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+190-+183+200+205+210+210+226.1
Aston Villa+130-+125+115+105+115+115+127.7
Draw+270-+292+260+270+280+292+293.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +224 to +213
Aston Villa ML moved from +130 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +200 to +175
Aston Villa ML moved from +120 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3½+115o3¼-108o3¼-104o3¼-103o3¼-104o3¼-103o3¼+104
Underu3-112u3½-136u3¼-112u3¼-112u3¼-111u3¼-112u3½-136u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3½+120o3-135o3-125o3½+115o3-135o3-125o3¼+104
Underu3-105u3½-140u3+115u3+105u3½-145u3+115u3½-140u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.35%
Exactly 225.05%
Exactly 414.22%
Exactly 63.23%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.19%
Exactly 321.79%
Exactly 57.42%
Exactly 71.20%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 033.41%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.08%
Exactly 37.34%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 022.01%
Exactly 133.32%
Exactly 225.21%
Exactly 312.72%
Exactly 44.81%
Exactly 51.46%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.87%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 38.78%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 060.20%
Exactly 130.55%
Exactly 27.75%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 049.62%
Exactly 134.77%
Exactly 212.18%
Exactly 32.85%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals10.51%
Wins by 3+ goals3.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals23.46%
Wins by 3+ goals9.29%
Wins by 4+ goals2.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal16.88%
Wins by 2 goals7.43%
Wins by 3 goals2.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.31%
Wins by 2 goals14.17%
Wins by 3 goals6.33%
Wins by 4 goals2.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.65%7.35%
1.573.45%26.55%
2.548.41%51.59%
3.526.62%73.38%
4.512.40%87.60%
5.54.98%95.02%
6.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.59%33.41%
1.529.96%70.04%
2.59.88%90.12%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.99%22.01%
1.544.67%55.33%
2.519.46%80.54%
3.56.74%93.26%
4.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.13%29.87%
1.534.04%65.96%
2.512.23%87.77%
3.53.45%96.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.35%
11.13%
8.42%
4.25%
1.61%
0.49%
1
8.06%
12.20%
9.24%
4.66%
1.76%
0.53%
2
4.42%
6.69%
5.06%
2.55%
0.97%
0.29%
3
1.61%
2.44%
1.85%
0.93%
0.35%
0.11%
4
0.44%
0.67%
0.51%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
Manchester United
1-08.06%
2-04.42%
2-16.69%
3-01.61%
3-12.44%
3-21.85%
4-00.44%
4-10.67%
4-20.51%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-07.35%
1-112.20%
2-25.06%
3-30.93%
Aston Villa
0-111.13%
0-28.42%
1-29.24%
0-34.25%
1-34.66%
2-32.55%
0-41.61%
1-41.76%
2-40.97%
3-40.35%
0-50.49%
1-50.53%
2-50.29%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
29.87%
20.93%
7.33%
1.71%
0.30%
1
15.16%
10.62%
3.72%
0.87%
0.15%
2
3.85%
2.70%
0.94%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.65%
0.46%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Manchester United
1-015.16%
2-03.85%
2-12.70%
3-00.65%
3-10.46%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.87%
1-110.62%
2-20.94%
Aston Villa
0-120.93%
0-27.33%
1-23.72%
0-31.71%
1-30.87%
2-30.22%
0-40.30%
1-40.15%
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