Wolves at Aston Villa

Updated

Wolverhampton

14.0%20.4%65.7%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.01
1Final Score 3

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Wolverhampton
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Newcastle United+260
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest+269
L 6-2 vs Chelsea+330
L 0-2 at Arsenal+1825
L 0-2 at Liverpool+1475
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Everton-145
W 2-1 at Leicester City-115
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+360
W 2-1 at West Ham United+179
L 0-5 at Crystal Palace+370

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolves+461+421+440+445+433+445+445+464.5
Aston Villa-178-158-180-160-168-160-158-146.4
Draw+352+323+340+322+324+322+340+337.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolves+425-+447+400+440+425+447+464.5
Aston Villa-175--179-180-195-175-179-146.4
Draw+345-+338+340+315+345+345+337.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolves: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Wolves ML moved from +434 to +421
Aston Villa ML moved from -180 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolves: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Wolves ML
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-107o3+102o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-123o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-111
Underu3-110u3-119u2¾+100u2¾+104u2¾+107u2¾+104u3-119u2¾+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-105o3+105o3-120o3+100o3+100o3+105o2¾-111
Underu3-115u3-115u3-125u3+100u3-130u3-120u3+100u2¾+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-105 to o3-125
The Under moved from u3-105 to u3-130

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.02%
Exactly 223.77%
Exactly 415.64%
Exactly 64.11%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.92%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.79%
Exactly 71.65%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Wolverhampton
Exactly 044.98%
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 214.36%
Exactly 33.82%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 013.39%
Exactly 126.93%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.14%
Exactly 49.12%
Exactly 53.67%
Exactly 61.23%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.23%
Exactly 223.04%
Exactly 43.25%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 39.99%
Exactly 50.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Wolverhampton
Exactly 069.08%
Exactly 125.56%
Exactly 24.73%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 039.42%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.08%
Exactly 35.30%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Wolverhampton
Wins by 2+ goals4.08%
Wins by 3+ goals0.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.15%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals40.75%
Wins by 3+ goals20.60%
Wins by 4+ goals8.59%
Wins by 5+ goals2.98%
Wins by 6+ goals0.84%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Wolverhampton
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Wolverhampton
Wins by 1 goal9.86%
Wins by 2 goals3.18%
Wins by 3 goals0.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.82%
Wins by 2 goals20.15%
Wins by 3 goals12.01%
Wins by 4 goals5.61%
Wins by 5 goals2.14%
Wins by 6 goals0.68%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.98%6.02%
1.577.05%22.95%
2.553.28%46.72%
3.531.02%68.98%
4.515.38%84.62%
5.56.59%93.41%
6.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Wolverhampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.02%44.98%
1.519.09%80.91%
2.54.73%95.27%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.61%13.39%
1.559.68%40.32%
2.532.61%67.39%
3.514.48%85.52%
4.55.36%94.64%
5.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.77%27.23%
1.537.34%62.66%
2.514.31%85.69%
3.54.32%95.68%
4.51.07%98.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Wolves
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.02%
12.11%
12.17%
8.16%
4.10%
1.65%
1
4.81%
9.68%
9.73%
6.52%
3.28%
1.32%
2
1.92%
3.87%
3.89%
2.60%
1.31%
0.53%
3
0.51%
1.03%
1.04%
0.69%
0.35%
0.14%
4
0.10%
0.21%
0.21%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
Wolverhampton
1-04.81%
2-01.92%
2-13.87%
3-00.51%
3-11.03%
3-21.04%
4-00.10%
4-10.21%
4-20.21%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-06.02%
1-19.68%
2-23.89%
3-30.69%
Aston Villa
0-112.11%
0-212.17%
1-29.73%
0-38.16%
1-36.52%
2-32.60%
0-44.10%
1-43.28%
2-41.31%
3-40.35%
0-51.65%
1-51.32%
2-50.53%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Wolves
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
27.23%
25.35%
11.80%
3.66%
0.85%
0.16%
1
10.07%
9.38%
4.36%
1.35%
0.32%
0.06%
2
1.86%
1.73%
0.81%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.23%
0.21%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Wolverhampton
1-010.07%
2-01.86%
2-11.73%
3-00.23%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-027.23%
1-19.38%
2-20.81%
Aston Villa
0-125.35%
0-211.80%
1-24.36%
0-33.66%
1-31.35%
2-30.25%
0-40.85%
1-40.32%
0-50.16%