Aston Villa at West Ham

Updated

Aston Villa

36.8%27.7%35.5%
Aston Villa WinDrawWest Ham Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.18
2Final Score 1

West Ham United

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-5 at Crystal Palace+370
T 3-3 vs Liverpool+280
L 0-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+165
T 2-2 vs Chelsea+105
W 1-3 vs Bournemouth-115
West Ham United
Money Line
L 1-3 at Manchester City+2750
W 1-3 vs Luton Town-115
L 0-5 at Chelsea+450
T 2-2 vs Liverpool+440
L 2-5 at Crystal Palace+227

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+165+184+180+183+193+186+193+195.9
West Ham+155+147+145+148+142+148+148+156.6
Draw+268+253+250+258+257+255+257+267.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+175-+179+160+155+175+179+195.9
West Ham+140-+145+135+125+145+145+156.6
Draw+270-+250+250+245+260+260+267.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
West Ham: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 20.0%
West Ham: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
West Ham: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +180 to +174
West Ham ML moved from +150 to +142

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
West Ham: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 20.0%
West Ham: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
West Ham: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML
West Ham ML moved from +151 to +145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-119o3+111o3-110o2¾-114o2¾-115o2¾-114o2¾-114o2¾-105
Underu3+101u3-130u3-110u2¾-102u2¾-101u2¾-102u3-110u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o2½-145o2½-145o3+110o3-110o3+110o2½-145o2¾-105
Underu3-110u2½+125u2½+125u3-130u3-120u3-130u3-120u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-120 to o3-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2½+125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.12%
Exactly 226.15%
Exactly 412.50%
Exactly 62.39%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.84%
Exactly 320.87%
Exactly 55.99%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 029.79%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 221.84%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - West Ham United
Exactly 030.61%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 221.45%
Exactly 38.47%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.99%
Exactly 220.28%
Exactly 42.08%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.50%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 057.08%
Exactly 132.00%
Exactly 28.97%
Exactly 31.68%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - West Ham United
Exactly 057.80%
Exactly 131.68%
Exactly 28.68%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals15.69%
Wins by 3+ goals5.18%
Wins by 4+ goals1.36%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
West Ham United
Wins by 2+ goals14.85%
Wins by 3+ goals4.81%
Wins by 4+ goals1.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
West Ham United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal21.09%
Wins by 2 goals10.51%
Wins by 3 goals3.82%
Wins by 4 goals1.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
West Ham United
Wins by 1 goal20.62%
Wins by 2 goals10.05%
Wins by 3 goals3.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.88%9.12%
1.569.04%30.96%
2.542.90%57.10%
3.522.02%77.98%
4.59.52%90.48%
5.53.54%96.46%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.21%29.79%
1.534.13%65.87%
2.512.29%87.71%
3.53.47%96.53%

Total Goals West Ham United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.39%30.61%
1.533.15%66.85%
2.511.70%88.30%
3.53.24%96.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.01%32.99%
1.530.42%69.58%
2.510.14%89.86%
3.52.64%97.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
West Ham United
Score012345
0
9.12%
10.80%
6.39%
2.52%
0.75%
0.18%
1
11.04%
13.07%
7.74%
3.05%
0.90%
0.21%
2
6.69%
7.92%
4.69%
1.85%
0.55%
0.13%
3
2.70%
3.20%
1.89%
0.75%
0.22%
0.05%
4
0.82%
0.97%
0.57%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.20%
0.23%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-011.04%
2-06.69%
2-17.92%
3-02.70%
3-13.20%
3-21.89%
4-00.82%
4-10.97%
4-20.57%
4-30.23%
5-00.20%
5-10.23%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.12%
1-113.07%
2-24.69%
3-30.75%
West Ham United
0-110.80%
0-26.39%
1-27.74%
0-32.52%
1-33.05%
2-31.85%
0-40.75%
1-40.90%
2-40.55%
3-40.22%
0-50.18%
1-50.21%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
West Ham United
Score01234
0
32.99%
18.09%
4.96%
0.91%
0.12%
1
18.50%
10.14%
2.78%
0.51%
0.07%
2
5.19%
2.84%
0.78%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.97%
0.53%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-018.50%
2-05.19%
2-12.84%
3-00.97%
3-10.53%
3-20.15%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-032.99%
1-110.14%
2-20.78%
West Ham United
0-118.09%
0-24.96%
1-22.78%
0-30.91%
1-30.51%
2-30.14%
0-40.12%