Arsenal at Aston Villa

Updated

Arsenal

45.5%26.0%28.4%
Arsenal WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.47Projected Goals 1.10
2Final Score 0

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Wolverhampton-750
W 1-2 vs Everton-500
W 1-0 at Manchester United-340
W 0-3 vs Bournemouth-500
W 3-2 at Tottenham-130
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-1 at West Ham United+179
L 0-5 at Crystal Palace+370
T 3-3 vs Liverpool+280
L 0-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+165
T 2-2 vs Chelsea+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-126-132-140-138-141-138-132-127.5
Aston Villa+333+356+350+388+380+388+388+405.0
Draw+299+298+310+300+310+300+310+313.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-130--135-150-170-140-135-127.5
Aston Villa+335-+339+350+350+360+360+405.0
Draw+290-+300+285+285+300+300+313.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -135 to -141
Aston Villa ML moved from +350 to +340

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -130 to -150
Aston Villa ML moved from +375 to +360

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+116o3+117o2¾-110o2¾-106o2¾-110o2¾-106o2¾-106o2¾+102
Underu3-137u3-137u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾-104u2¾-110u2¾-104u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-135o2½-135o2½-140o3+110o2½-140o2½-135o2¾+102
Underu2½+120u2½+115u2½+115u2½+120u3-140u2½+120u3-140u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.62%
Exactly 225.25%
Exactly 413.95%
Exactly 63.08%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.61%
Exactly 321.67%
Exactly 57.18%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 022.99%
Exactly 133.80%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 312.17%
Exactly 44.47%
Exactly 51.32%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 033.13%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.22%
Exactly 37.44%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.36%
Exactly 221.57%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 38.57%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 050.63%
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 211.73%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 059.96%
Exactly 130.67%
Exactly 27.84%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals22.34%
Wins by 3+ goals8.65%
Wins by 4+ goals2.69%
Wins by 5+ goals0.66%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals10.98%
Wins by 3+ goals3.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.73%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.11%
Wins by 2 goals13.69%
Wins by 3 goals5.96%
Wins by 4 goals2.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.55%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal17.37%
Wins by 2 goals7.73%
Wins by 3 goals2.52%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.38%7.62%
1.572.77%27.23%
2.547.52%52.48%
3.525.85%74.15%
4.511.90%88.10%
5.54.72%95.28%
6.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.01%22.99%
1.543.21%56.79%
2.518.37%81.63%
3.56.19%93.81%
4.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.87%33.13%
1.530.27%69.73%
2.510.05%89.95%
3.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.64%30.36%
1.533.45%66.55%
2.511.88%88.12%
3.53.31%96.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.62%
8.42%
4.65%
1.71%
0.47%
0.10%
1
11.20%
12.37%
6.83%
2.52%
0.69%
0.15%
2
8.23%
9.09%
5.02%
1.85%
0.51%
0.11%
3
4.03%
4.46%
2.46%
0.91%
0.25%
0.06%
4
1.48%
1.64%
0.90%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.44%
0.48%
0.27%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Arsenal
1-011.20%
2-08.23%
2-19.09%
3-04.03%
3-14.46%
3-22.46%
4-01.48%
4-11.64%
4-20.90%
4-30.33%
5-00.44%
5-10.48%
5-20.27%
Draw
0-07.62%
1-112.37%
2-25.02%
3-30.91%
Aston Villa
0-18.42%
0-24.65%
1-26.83%
0-31.71%
1-32.52%
2-31.85%
0-40.47%
1-40.69%
2-40.51%
3-40.25%
0-50.10%
1-50.15%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Aston Villa
Score0123
0
30.36%
15.53%
3.97%
0.68%
1
20.66%
10.57%
2.70%
0.46%
2
7.03%
3.60%
0.92%
0.16%
3
1.60%
0.82%
0.21%
0.04%
4
0.27%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Arsenal
1-020.66%
2-07.03%
2-13.60%
3-01.60%
3-10.82%
3-20.21%
4-00.27%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-030.36%
1-110.57%
2-20.92%
Aston Villa
0-115.53%
0-23.97%
1-22.70%
0-30.68%
1-30.46%
2-30.16%