Southampton at Manchester City

Updated

Southampton

2.9%7.1%90.0%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.57Projected Goals 3.53
0Final Score 1

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Leicester City+125
L 1-3 at Arsenal+1700
L 1-3 at Bournemouth+500
T 1-1 vs Ipswich Town+135
L 3-0 vs Manchester United+340
Manchester City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Wolverhampton-293
W 2-3 vs Fulham-400
T 1-1 at Newcastle United-155
T 2-2 vs Arsenal-127
W 1-2 vs Brentford-576

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1922+1774+1700+2500+1632+2500+2500+2591.9
Manchester City-735-763-950-940-880-940-763-687.4
Draw+807+876+900+975+907+975+975+1013.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1950-+1900--+1900+1900+2591.9
Manchester City-1100--900---900-900-687.4
Draw+1050-+930--+900+930+1013.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 30.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1800 to +1700
Manchester City ML moved from -900 to -940

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +2100 to +1900
Manchester City ML moved from -1100 to -1200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-114o4-105o4+102o4-101o4-104o4-101o4+102o4+106
Underu3½-103u4-112u4-122u4-115u4-116u4-115u4-112u4-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-140o4+100o4+100o3½-140o3½-145o3½-150o3½-140o4+106
Underu3½+120u4-120u4-120u3½+120u3½+115u3½+130u4-120u4-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-140 to o4+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.1%
 
No57.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.66%
Exactly 213.96%
Exactly 419.51%
Exactly 610.91%
Exactly 83.27%
Exactly 100.61%
 
Exactly 16.81%
Exactly 319.06%
Exactly 515.99%
Exactly 76.39%
Exactly 91.49%
Exactly 110.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 056.63%
Exactly 132.20%
Exactly 29.16%
Exactly 31.74%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 02.94%
Exactly 110.36%
Exactly 218.28%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 418.95%
Exactly 513.37%
Exactly 67.86%
Exactly 73.96%
Exactly 81.75%
Exactly 90.68%
Exactly 100.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.01%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 48.09%
Exactly 60.97%
 
Exactly 128.46%
Exactly 317.06%
Exactly 53.07%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 076.85%
Exactly 120.23%
Exactly 22.66%
Exactly 30.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 019.53%
Exactly 131.90%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 314.18%
Exactly 45.79%
Exactly 51.89%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals0.58%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals75.84%
Wins by 3+ goals56.58%
Wins by 4+ goals36.94%
Wins by 5+ goals21.11%
Wins by 6+ goals10.61%
Wins by 7+ goals4.71%
Wins by 8+ goals1.83%
Wins by 9+ goals0.60%
Wins by 10+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal2.27%
Wins by 2 goals0.49%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal14.08%
Wins by 2 goals19.26%
Wins by 3 goals19.64%
Wins by 4 goals15.83%
Wins by 5 goals10.50%
Wins by 6 goals5.90%
Wins by 7 goals2.87%
Wins by 8 goals1.23%
Wins by 9 goals0.47%
Wins by 10 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.34%1.66%
1.591.52%8.48%
2.577.57%22.43%
3.558.51%41.49%
4.539.00%61.00%
5.523.01%76.99%
6.512.09%87.91%
7.55.71%94.29%
8.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.37%56.63%
1.511.17%88.83%
2.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.06%2.94%
1.586.70%13.30%
2.568.42%31.58%
3.546.93%53.07%
4.527.98%72.02%
5.514.61%85.39%
6.56.74%93.26%
7.52.78%97.22%
8.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.99%15.01%
1.556.53%43.47%
2.529.54%70.46%
3.512.47%87.53%
4.54.38%95.62%
5.51.31%98.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Manchester City
Score012345
0
1.66%
5.87%
10.35%
12.17%
10.73%
7.57%
1
0.95%
3.34%
5.89%
6.92%
6.10%
4.31%
2
0.27%
0.95%
1.67%
1.97%
1.74%
1.22%
Southampton
1-00.95%
2-00.27%
2-10.95%
Draw
0-01.66%
1-13.34%
2-21.67%
3-30.37%
Manchester City
0-15.87%
0-210.35%
1-25.89%
0-312.17%
1-36.92%
2-31.97%
0-410.73%
1-46.10%
2-41.74%
3-40.33%
0-57.57%
1-54.31%
2-51.22%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
15.01%
24.51%
20.02%
10.90%
4.45%
1.45%
0.40%
1
3.95%
6.45%
5.27%
2.87%
1.17%
0.38%
0.10%
2
0.52%
0.85%
0.69%
0.38%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Southampton
1-03.95%
2-00.52%
2-10.85%
Draw
0-015.01%
1-16.45%
2-20.69%
Manchester City
0-124.51%
0-220.02%
1-25.27%
0-310.90%
1-32.87%
2-30.38%
0-44.45%
1-41.17%
2-40.15%
0-51.45%
1-50.38%
0-60.40%
1-60.10%