Southampton at Bournemouth

Updated

Southampton

19.5%22.5%57.9%
WinDrawBournemouth Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.85
1Final Score 3

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Ipswich Town+135
L 3-0 vs Manchester United+340
L 1-3 at Brentford+345
L 1-0 vs Nottingham Forest+140
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+670
Bournemouth
Money Line
L 0-3 at Liverpool+970
L 1-0 vs Chelsea+213
W 3-2 at Everton+145
T 1-1 vs Newcastle United+200
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest+219

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+403+506+440+535+527+535+535+557.8
Bournemouth-154-187-190-195-195-195-187-176.3
Draw+326+347+370+360+356+360+370+376.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+400-+460+485+485+500+500+557.8
Bournemouth-160--184-220-225-200-184-176.3
Draw+325-+340+340+345+360+360+376.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 30.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 20.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +500 to +440
Bournemouth ML moved from -187 to -195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 20.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +500 to +485
Bournemouth ML moved from -210 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-124o3-114o3-112o3-110o3-109o3-110o3-109o3-102
Underu3+105u3-103u3-108u3-106u3-105u3-106u3-103u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3-120o3-115o3-120o3-130o3-120o3-115o3-102
Underu3+105u3+100u3-105u3+100u3+100u3+100u3+100u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+120 to u3+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%
 
No47.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.92%
Exactly 223.66%
Exactly 415.75%
Exactly 64.19%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.74%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.90%
Exactly 71.69%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 037.72%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.93%
Exactly 35.83%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 015.70%
Exactly 129.07%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 316.61%
Exactly 47.69%
Exactly 52.85%
Exactly 60.88%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.02%
Exactly 223.13%
Exactly 43.30%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.36%
Exactly 310.09%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 063.67%
Exactly 128.74%
Exactly 26.49%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 042.44%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.59%
Exactly 34.45%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals6.69%
Wins by 3+ goals1.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals33.53%
Wins by 3+ goals15.71%
Wins by 4+ goals6.06%
Wins by 5+ goals1.94%
Wins by 6+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Bournemouth
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal12.81%
Wins by 2 goals4.94%
Wins by 3 goals1.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal24.33%
Wins by 2 goals17.81%
Wins by 3 goals9.66%
Wins by 4 goals4.12%
Wins by 5 goals1.44%
Wins by 6 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.08%5.92%
1.577.34%22.66%
2.553.68%46.32%
3.531.39%68.61%
4.515.64%84.36%
5.56.74%93.26%
6.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.28%37.72%
1.525.50%74.50%
2.57.57%92.43%
3.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.30%15.70%
1.555.23%44.77%
2.528.32%71.68%
3.511.71%88.29%
4.54.02%95.98%
5.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.98%27.02%
1.537.62%62.38%
2.514.49%85.51%
3.54.40%95.60%
4.51.09%98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Bournemouth
Score012345
0
5.92%
10.97%
10.15%
6.26%
2.90%
1.07%
1
5.77%
10.69%
9.90%
6.11%
2.83%
1.05%
2
2.82%
5.21%
4.82%
2.98%
1.38%
0.51%
3
0.91%
1.69%
1.57%
0.97%
0.45%
0.17%
4
0.22%
0.41%
0.38%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
Southampton
1-05.77%
2-02.82%
2-15.21%
3-00.91%
3-11.69%
3-21.57%
4-00.22%
4-10.41%
4-20.38%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-05.92%
1-110.69%
2-24.82%
3-30.97%
4-40.11%
Bournemouth
0-110.97%
0-210.15%
1-29.90%
0-36.26%
1-36.11%
2-32.98%
0-42.90%
1-42.83%
2-41.38%
3-40.45%
0-51.07%
1-51.05%
2-50.51%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Bournemouth
Score012345
0
27.02%
23.16%
9.93%
2.84%
0.61%
0.10%
1
12.20%
10.45%
4.48%
1.28%
0.27%
0.05%
2
2.75%
2.36%
1.01%
0.29%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.41%
0.36%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-012.20%
2-02.75%
2-12.36%
3-00.41%
3-10.36%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-027.02%
1-110.45%
2-21.01%
Bournemouth
0-123.16%
0-29.93%
1-24.48%
0-32.84%
1-31.28%
2-30.29%
0-40.61%
1-40.27%
0-50.10%