Arsenal at Manchester City

Updated

Arsenal

14.3%19.4%66.3%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.88Projected Goals 2.15
2Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 1-0 at Tottenham+140
T 1-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-285
W 2-0 at Aston Villa-135
W 0-2 vs Wolverhampton-750
W 1-2 vs Everton-500
Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Brentford-576
W 3-1 at West Ham United-259
W 1-4 vs Ipswich Town-1315
W 2-0 at Chelsea+100
W 1-3 vs West Ham United-1750

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+361+386+380+420+404+420+420+438.4
Manchester City-125-124-135-128-127-128-124-118.4
Draw+274+256+270+255+254+255+270+267.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+345-+384+400+400+415+415+438.4
Manchester City-125--127-135-150-135-127-118.4
Draw+270-+256+250+245+255+256+267.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Manchester City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +378 to +368
Manchester City ML moved from +140 to -132

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Manchester City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +399 to +384
Manchester City ML moved from -125 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-113o2½-101o2¼-120o2½+104o2½-101o2½+104o2¼-120o2½+111
Underu2½-104u2½-116u2¼+100u2½-120u2½-115u2½-120u2½-115u2½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+110o2½+100o2½+110o2½+100o2½+105o2½+110o2½+111
Underu2½-105u2½-130u2½-120u2½-130u2½-130u2½-125u2½-120u2½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-119 to o2½-105
The Under moved from u2½-112 to u2¼+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.83%
Exactly 222.18%
Exactly 416.97%
Exactly 65.19%
Exactly 80.85%
 
Exactly 114.64%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.28%
Exactly 72.25%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 041.31%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 216.15%
Exactly 34.76%
Exactly 41.05%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 011.70%
Exactly 125.10%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 319.26%
Exactly 410.33%
Exactly 54.43%
Exactly 61.59%
Exactly 70.49%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.59%
Exactly 224.20%
Exactly 43.97%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.49%
Exactly 311.32%
Exactly 51.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 066.41%
Exactly 127.18%
Exactly 25.56%
Exactly 30.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 037.03%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.27%
Exactly 36.05%
Exactly 41.50%
Exactly 50.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals4.46%
Wins by 3+ goals1.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals42.40%
Wins by 3+ goals22.35%
Wins by 4+ goals9.82%
Wins by 5+ goals3.65%
Wins by 6+ goals1.16%
Wins by 7+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal9.83%
Wins by 2 goals3.40%
Wins by 3 goals0.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.85%
Wins by 2 goals20.06%
Wins by 3 goals12.53%
Wins by 4 goals6.17%
Wins by 5 goals2.50%
Wins by 6 goals0.85%
Wins by 7 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.17%4.83%
1.580.53%19.47%
2.558.35%41.65%
3.535.95%64.05%
4.518.98%81.02%
5.58.70%91.30%
6.53.50%96.50%
7.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.69%41.31%
1.522.17%77.83%
2.56.03%93.97%
3.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.30%11.70%
1.563.20%36.80%
2.536.27%63.73%
3.517.01%82.99%
4.56.68%93.32%
5.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.41%24.59%
1.540.92%59.08%
2.516.72%83.28%
3.55.41%94.59%
4.51.44%98.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Manchester City
Score012345
0
4.83%
10.37%
11.12%
7.96%
4.27%
1.83%
1
4.27%
9.17%
9.84%
7.03%
3.77%
1.62%
2
1.89%
4.05%
4.35%
3.11%
1.67%
0.72%
3
0.56%
1.19%
1.28%
0.92%
0.49%
0.21%
4
0.12%
0.26%
0.28%
0.20%
0.11%
0.05%
Arsenal
1-04.27%
2-01.89%
2-14.05%
3-00.56%
3-11.19%
3-21.28%
4-00.12%
4-10.26%
4-20.28%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-04.83%
1-19.17%
2-24.35%
3-30.92%
4-40.11%
Manchester City
0-110.37%
0-211.12%
1-29.84%
0-37.96%
1-37.03%
2-33.11%
0-44.27%
1-43.77%
2-41.67%
3-40.49%
0-51.83%
1-51.62%
2-50.72%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Manchester City
Score012345
0
24.59%
24.43%
12.14%
4.02%
1.00%
0.20%
1
10.07%
10.00%
4.97%
1.65%
0.41%
0.08%
2
2.06%
2.05%
1.02%
0.34%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.28%
0.28%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-010.07%
2-02.06%
2-12.05%
3-00.28%
3-10.28%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-024.59%
1-110.00%
2-21.02%
Manchester City
0-124.43%
0-212.14%
1-24.97%
0-34.02%
1-31.65%
2-30.34%
0-41.00%
1-40.41%
0-50.20%