Manchester City at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Manchester City

65.3%20.0%14.7%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.07Projected Goals 0.87
1Final Score 1

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Arsenal-127
W 1-2 vs Brentford-576
W 3-1 at West Ham United-259
W 1-4 vs Ipswich Town-1315
W 2-0 at Chelsea+100
Newcastle United
Money Line
L 1-3 at Fulham+140
W 2-1 at Wolverhampton+100
W 1-2 vs Tottenham+145
T 1-1 at Bournemouth+170
W 0-1 vs Southampton-280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-160-151-165-152-155-152-151-139.7
Newcastle Utd+400+399+400+405+402+405+405+422.6
Draw+355+321+350+328+330+328+350+342.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-160--155-175-190-170-155-139.7
Newcastle Utd+390-+385+390+395+410+410+422.6
Draw+330-+319+330+335+340+340+342.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -165 to -172
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +411 to +399

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -160 to -170
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +427 to +385

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+103o3-109o3¼+100o3-107o3-104o3-107o3-104o3+101
Underu3¼-119u3-108u3¼-120u3-109u3-110u3-109u3¼-120u3-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-135o3-105o3-130o3-140o3-135o3-105o3+101
Underu3+115u3+115u3-115u3+110u3+110u3+115u3+115u3-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-111 to u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.26%
Exactly 222.82%
Exactly 416.48%
Exactly 64.76%
Exactly 80.74%
 
Exactly 115.50%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.71%
Exactly 72.00%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 012.55%
Exactly 126.04%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 318.70%
Exactly 49.71%
Exactly 54.03%
Exactly 61.39%
Exactly 70.41%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 041.96%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 215.82%
Exactly 34.58%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.59%
Exactly 223.77%
Exactly 43.68%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.88%
Exactly 310.80%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 038.25%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.66%
Exactly 35.66%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 066.89%
Exactly 126.90%
Exactly 25.41%
Exactly 30.72%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals41.04%
Wins by 3+ goals21.15%
Wins by 4+ goals9.06%
Wins by 5+ goals3.28%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals4.55%
Wins by 3+ goals1.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.22%
Wins by 2 goals19.89%
Wins by 3 goals12.09%
Wins by 4 goals5.78%
Wins by 5 goals2.27%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal10.13%
Wins by 2 goals3.48%
Wins by 3 goals0.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.74%5.26%
1.579.24%20.76%
2.556.42%43.58%
3.534.03%65.97%
4.517.54%82.46%
5.57.84%92.16%
6.53.08%96.92%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.45%12.55%
1.561.41%38.59%
2.534.38%65.62%
3.515.68%84.32%
4.55.98%94.02%
5.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.04%41.96%
1.521.60%78.40%
2.55.77%94.23%
3.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.41%25.59%
1.539.54%60.46%
2.515.77%84.23%
3.54.97%95.03%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
5.26%
4.57%
1.98%
0.57%
0.12%
1
10.93%
9.49%
4.12%
1.19%
0.26%
2
11.34%
9.85%
4.28%
1.24%
0.27%
3
7.85%
6.82%
2.96%
0.86%
0.19%
4
4.07%
3.54%
1.54%
0.44%
0.10%
5
1.69%
1.47%
0.64%
0.18%
0.04%
Manchester City
1-010.93%
2-011.34%
2-19.85%
3-07.85%
3-16.82%
3-22.96%
4-04.07%
4-13.54%
4-21.54%
4-30.44%
5-01.69%
5-11.47%
5-20.64%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-05.26%
1-19.49%
2-24.28%
3-30.86%
Newcastle United
0-14.57%
0-21.98%
1-24.12%
0-30.57%
1-31.19%
2-31.24%
0-40.12%
1-40.26%
2-40.27%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
25.59%
10.29%
2.07%
0.28%
1
24.59%
9.89%
1.99%
0.27%
2
11.82%
4.75%
0.96%
0.13%
3
3.79%
1.52%
0.31%
0.04%
4
0.91%
0.37%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-024.59%
2-011.82%
2-14.75%
3-03.79%
3-11.52%
3-20.31%
4-00.91%
4-10.37%
5-00.17%
Draw
0-025.59%
1-19.89%
2-20.96%
Newcastle United
0-110.29%
0-22.07%
1-21.99%
0-30.28%
1-30.27%
2-30.13%