Southampton at Arsenal

Updated

Southampton

5.0%10.4%84.6%
WinDrawArsenal Win
0.66Projected Goals 3.05
1Final Score 3

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 1-3 at Bournemouth+500
T 1-1 vs Ipswich Town+135
L 3-0 vs Manchester United+340
L 1-3 at Brentford+345
L 1-0 vs Nottingham Forest+140
Arsenal
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Leicester City-548
T 2-2 at Manchester City+415
W 1-0 at Tottenham+140
T 1-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-285
W 2-0 at Aston Villa-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1300+1363+1300+1675+1428+1675+1675+1738.3
Arsenal-600-519-575-590-589-590-519-473.6
Draw+675+651+675+705+671+705+705+733.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1750-+1700--+1300+1700+1738.3
Arsenal-800--700---600-600-473.6
Draw+825-+718--+700+718+733.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Arsenal: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1472 to +1428
Arsenal ML moved from -575 to -600

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Arsenal: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1400 to +1300
Arsenal ML moved from -600 to -700

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-120o3½+110o3¼-112o3¼-110o3¼-110o3¼-110o3¼-110o3¼-102
Underu3¼+100u3½-129u3¼-108u3¼-106u3¼-104u3¼-106u3½-129u3¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o3½+110o3½+110o3½-105o3½+100o3½+110o3½+110o3¼-102
Underu3½-115u3½-130u3½-130u3½-115u3½-130u3½-130u3½-115u3¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-102 to o3¼-122
The Under moved from u3¼+102 to u3¼-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.46%
Exactly 216.88%
Exactly 419.31%
Exactly 68.84%
Exactly 82.17%
Exactly 100.33%
 
Exactly 19.11%
Exactly 320.85%
Exactly 514.31%
Exactly 74.68%
Exactly 90.89%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 052.11%
Exactly 133.97%
Exactly 211.07%
Exactly 32.41%
Exactly 40.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 04.72%
Exactly 114.41%
Exactly 222.00%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 417.09%
Exactly 510.44%
Exactly 65.31%
Exactly 72.32%
Exactly 80.88%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.99%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 46.49%
Exactly 60.64%
 
Exactly 130.86%
Exactly 315.14%
Exactly 52.23%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 073.95%
Exactly 122.32%
Exactly 23.37%
Exactly 30.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 024.32%
Exactly 134.39%
Exactly 224.31%
Exactly 311.45%
Exactly 44.05%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals1.14%
Wins by 3+ goals0.19%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals66.55%
Wins by 3+ goals45.32%
Wins by 4+ goals26.55%
Wins by 5+ goals13.45%
Wins by 6+ goals5.92%
Wins by 7+ goals2.26%
Wins by 8+ goals0.72%
Wins by 9+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Arsenal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal3.82%
Wins by 2 goals0.96%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal17.91%
Wins by 2 goals21.24%
Wins by 3 goals18.77%
Wins by 4 goals13.10%
Wins by 5 goals7.52%
Wins by 6 goals3.66%
Wins by 7 goals1.54%
Wins by 8 goals0.56%
Wins by 9 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.54%2.46%
1.588.43%11.57%
2.571.55%28.45%
3.550.70%49.30%
4.531.38%68.62%
5.517.07%82.93%
6.58.23%91.77%
7.53.55%96.45%
8.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.89%52.11%
1.513.92%86.08%
2.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.28%4.72%
1.580.87%19.13%
2.558.87%41.13%
3.536.48%63.52%
4.519.38%80.62%
5.58.94%91.06%
6.53.63%96.37%
7.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.01%17.99%
1.551.16%48.84%
2.524.69%75.31%
3.59.55%90.45%
4.53.06%96.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Arsenal
Score012345
0
2.46%
7.51%
11.47%
11.67%
8.91%
5.44%
1
1.60%
4.89%
7.47%
7.61%
5.81%
3.55%
2
0.52%
1.60%
2.44%
2.48%
1.89%
1.16%
3
0.11%
0.35%
0.53%
0.54%
0.41%
0.25%
Southampton
1-01.60%
2-00.52%
2-11.60%
3-00.11%
3-10.35%
3-20.53%
Draw
0-02.46%
1-14.89%
2-22.44%
3-30.54%
Arsenal
0-17.51%
0-211.47%
1-27.47%
0-311.67%
1-37.61%
2-32.48%
0-48.91%
1-45.81%
2-41.89%
3-40.41%
0-55.44%
1-53.55%
2-51.16%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Arsenal
Score0123456
0
17.99%
25.43%
17.98%
8.47%
2.99%
0.85%
0.20%
1
5.43%
7.67%
5.42%
2.56%
0.90%
0.26%
0.06%
2
0.82%
1.16%
0.82%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Southampton
1-05.43%
2-00.82%
2-11.16%
Draw
0-017.99%
1-17.67%
2-20.82%
Arsenal
0-125.43%
0-217.98%
1-25.42%
0-38.47%
1-32.56%
2-30.39%
0-42.99%
1-40.90%
2-40.14%
0-50.85%
1-50.26%
0-60.20%