Aston Villa at Chelsea

Updated

Aston Villa

16.8%13.4%69.7%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.64Projected Goals 2.62
0Final Score 3

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Brentford+110
W 0-2 vs Newcastle United-120
L 2-3 at Watford+120
W 1-2 vs Chelsea+610
W 2-1 at Tottenham+435
Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 at Liverpool+215
W 2-0 at Arsenal-115
W 0-3 vs Crystal Palace-310
L 1-2 at Aston Villa-230
W 1-2 vs Leicester City-142

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+900+825+840+860+809+840+860-
Chelsea-325-305-285-283-314-285-283-
Draw+425+425+430+417+422+430+430-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+1175-+890--+850+890-
Chelsea-375--315---300-300-
Draw+450-+415--+410+415-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +889 to +836
Chelsea ML moved from -277 to -283

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +900 to +850
Chelsea ML moved from -322 to -330

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2¾-118o2¾-119o2¾-112-o2¾-119o2¾-112-
Underu2¾-115u2¾-102u2¾-101u2¾+102-u2¾-101u2¾+102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-150o2½-143-o2½-150o2½-145o2½-143-
Underu2½+120u2½+130u2½+123-u2½+120u2½+125u2½+130-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3-105
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.84%
Exactly 220.41%
Exactly 418.06%
Exactly 66.39%
Exactly 81.21%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.52%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 511.77%
Exactly 72.98%
Exactly 90.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 053.03%
Exactly 133.64%
Exactly 210.67%
Exactly 32.26%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 07.25%
Exactly 119.02%
Exactly 224.96%
Exactly 321.84%
Exactly 414.33%
Exactly 57.52%
Exactly 63.29%
Exactly 71.23%
Exactly 80.40%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.11%
Exactly 225.18%
Exactly 44.78%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.37%
Exactly 312.66%
Exactly 51.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 074.55%
Exactly 121.90%
Exactly 23.22%
Exactly 30.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 029.67%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 221.90%
Exactly 38.87%
Exactly 42.70%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals1.55%
Wins by 3+ goals0.26%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals58.64%
Wins by 3+ goals36.35%
Wins by 4+ goals19.07%
Wins by 5+ goals8.56%
Wins by 6+ goals3.33%
Wins by 7+ goals1.12%
Wins by 8+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Chelsea
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal5.11%
Wins by 2 goals1.29%
Wins by 3 goals0.23%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal21.16%
Wins by 2 goals22.29%
Wins by 3 goals17.28%
Wins by 4 goals10.51%
Wins by 5 goals5.24%
Wins by 6 goals2.21%
Wins by 7 goals0.80%
Wins by 8 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.16%3.84%
1.583.63%16.37%
2.563.23%36.77%
3.541.06%58.94%
4.523.00%77.00%
5.511.22%88.78%
6.54.83%95.17%
7.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.97%53.03%
1.513.34%86.66%
2.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.75%7.25%
1.573.73%26.27%
2.548.77%51.23%
3.526.94%73.06%
4.512.61%87.39%
5.55.09%94.91%
6.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.89%22.11%
1.544.52%55.48%
2.519.34%80.66%
3.56.68%93.32%
4.51.90%98.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Chelsea
Score012345
0
3.84%
10.09%
13.24%
11.58%
7.60%
3.99%
1
2.44%
6.40%
8.40%
7.35%
4.82%
2.53%
2
0.77%
2.03%
2.66%
2.33%
1.53%
0.80%
3
0.16%
0.43%
0.56%
0.49%
0.32%
0.17%
Aston Villa
1-02.44%
2-00.77%
2-12.03%
3-00.16%
3-10.43%
3-20.56%
Draw
0-03.84%
1-16.40%
2-22.66%
3-30.49%
Chelsea
0-110.09%
0-213.24%
1-28.40%
0-311.58%
1-37.35%
2-32.33%
0-47.60%
1-44.82%
2-41.53%
3-40.32%
0-53.99%
1-52.53%
2-50.80%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Chelsea
Score012345
0
22.11%
26.87%
16.33%
6.61%
2.01%
0.49%
1
6.50%
7.89%
4.80%
1.94%
0.59%
0.14%
2
0.95%
1.16%
0.70%
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
Aston Villa
1-06.50%
2-00.95%
2-11.16%
Draw
0-022.11%
1-17.89%
2-20.70%
Chelsea
0-126.87%
0-216.33%
1-24.80%
0-36.61%
1-31.94%
2-30.29%
0-42.01%
1-40.59%
0-50.49%
1-50.14%