Luton Town at Manchester City

Updated

Luton Town

2.0%6.1%91.8%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.45Projected Goals 3.57
1Final Score 5

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Bournemouth+285
L 0-2 at Arsenal+1600
L 1-2 at Tottenham+1050
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+170
L 3-4 at Bournemouth+475
Manchester City
Money Line
W 4-2 at Crystal Palace-310
W 1-4 vs Aston Villa-450
T 0-0 vs Arsenal+105
T 1-1 at Liverpool+100
W 1-3 vs Manchester United-400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+2146+2211+1900+2500+2070+2500+2500+2592.6
Manchester City-998-1088-1000-1200-939-1200-939-820.3
Draw+1055+1136+1000+1250+1074+1250+1250+1298.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+2200-+2050--+2200+2200+2592.6
Manchester City-1250--1200---1300-1200-820.3
Draw+1150-+1100--+1150+1150+1298.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +2441 to +2070
Manchester City ML moved from -960 to -1093

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +2100 to +2050
Manchester City ML moved from -1100 to -1300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4+103o4-117o4-110o4-110o4-110o4-110o4-110o4-102
Underu4-121u4-101u4-110u4-106u4-104u4-106u4-101u4+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4+110o4-110o4-115o4+105o4-115o4-110o4+105o4-102
Underu4-130u4-110u4-105u4-125u4-115u4-110u4-105u4+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u4-130 to u3½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o4+105 to o4-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes35.5%
 
No64.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.79%
Exactly 214.48%
Exactly 419.54%
Exactly 610.54%
Exactly 83.05%
Exactly 100.55%
 
Exactly 17.20%
Exactly 319.42%
Exactly 515.72%
Exactly 76.06%
Exactly 91.36%
Exactly 110.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 063.44%
Exactly 128.87%
Exactly 26.57%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 02.82%
Exactly 110.06%
Exactly 217.95%
Exactly 321.36%
Exactly 419.05%
Exactly 513.60%
Exactly 68.09%
Exactly 74.12%
Exactly 81.84%
Exactly 90.73%
Exactly 100.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.52%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 47.79%
Exactly 60.90%
 
Exactly 128.91%
Exactly 316.73%
Exactly 52.90%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 081.00%
Exactly 117.07%
Exactly 21.80%
Exactly 30.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 019.16%
Exactly 131.66%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 314.41%
Exactly 45.95%
Exactly 51.97%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals0.35%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals78.56%
Wins by 3+ goals59.61%
Wins by 4+ goals39.59%
Wins by 5+ goals23.00%
Wins by 6+ goals11.75%
Wins by 7+ goals5.30%
Wins by 8+ goals2.10%
Wins by 9+ goals0.70%
Wins by 10+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal1.68%
Wins by 2 goals0.31%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal13.17%
Wins by 2 goals18.95%
Wins by 3 goals20.03%
Wins by 4 goals16.59%
Wins by 5 goals11.25%
Wins by 6 goals6.45%
Wins by 7 goals3.20%
Wins by 8 goals1.39%
Wins by 9 goals0.54%
Wins by 10 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.21%1.79%
1.591.01%8.99%
2.576.54%23.46%
3.557.12%42.88%
4.537.58%62.42%
5.521.86%78.14%
6.511.32%88.68%
7.55.26%94.74%
8.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.536.56%63.44%
1.57.69%92.31%
2.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.18%2.82%
1.587.12%12.88%
2.569.17%30.83%
3.547.81%52.19%
4.528.76%71.24%
5.515.16%84.84%
6.57.07%92.93%
7.52.95%97.05%
8.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.48%15.52%
1.555.56%44.44%
2.528.63%71.37%
3.511.90%88.10%
4.54.11%95.89%
5.51.21%98.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Manchester City
Score012345
0
1.79%
6.38%
11.39%
13.55%
12.09%
8.63%
1
0.81%
2.90%
5.18%
6.17%
5.50%
3.93%
2
0.19%
0.66%
1.18%
1.40%
1.25%
0.89%
Luton Town
1-00.81%
2-00.19%
2-10.66%
Draw
0-01.79%
1-12.90%
2-21.18%
3-30.21%
Manchester City
0-16.38%
0-211.39%
1-25.18%
0-313.55%
1-36.17%
2-31.40%
0-412.09%
1-45.50%
2-41.25%
3-40.19%
0-58.63%
1-53.93%
2-50.89%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Manchester City
Score01234567
0
15.52%
25.65%
21.19%
11.67%
4.82%
1.59%
0.44%
0.10%
1
3.27%
5.40%
4.46%
2.46%
1.02%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
2
0.34%
0.57%
0.47%
0.26%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Luton Town
1-03.27%
2-00.34%
2-10.57%
Draw
0-015.52%
1-15.40%
2-20.47%
Manchester City
0-125.65%
0-221.19%
1-24.46%
0-311.67%
1-32.46%
2-30.26%
0-44.82%
1-41.02%
2-40.11%
0-51.59%
1-50.34%
0-60.44%
0-70.10%