Watford at Chelsea

Updated

Watford

4.1%10.2%85.7%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.52Projected Goals 2.92
1Final Score 2

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Leicester City+390
T 0-0 vs Everton+500
L 0-1 at Crystal Palace+435
L 2-1 vs Burnley+160
L 1-5 at Manchester City+1975
Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Leicester City-245
W 3-0 at Leeds United-150
T 2-2 vs Wolverhampton-300
L 0-1 at Everton-140
T 1-1 at Manchester United+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+1423+1300+1500+1435+1520+1500+1520+1486.7
Chelsea-588-530-525-490-669-525-490-417.1
Draw+616+600+675+618+655+675+675+667.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+1400-+1500--+1550+1550+1486.7
Chelsea-595--550---600-550-417.1
Draw+639-+590--+650+650+667.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +1618 to +1435
Chelsea ML moved from -511 to -528

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +1550 to +1200
Chelsea ML moved from -550 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3¼-105o3¼-106o3-138-o3¼-106o3¼-105o3¼+104
Underu3-102u3¼-115u3¼-110u3+123-u3¼-110u3+123u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-140o3-140-o3-145o3-135o3-135o3¼+104
Underu3+115u3+120u3+120-u3+115u3+115u3+120u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-110 to o3-140
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.1%
 
No61.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.22%
Exactly 219.01%
Exactly 418.69%
Exactly 67.35%
Exactly 81.55%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.07%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 512.84%
Exactly 73.61%
Exactly 90.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 059.72%
Exactly 130.79%
Exactly 27.94%
Exactly 31.36%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 05.39%
Exactly 115.75%
Exactly 222.99%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 416.34%
Exactly 59.54%
Exactly 64.64%
Exactly 71.94%
Exactly 80.71%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.38%
Exactly 225.78%
Exactly 45.44%
Exactly 60.46%
 
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 313.67%
Exactly 51.73%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 078.77%
Exactly 118.80%
Exactly 22.24%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 025.87%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 223.64%
Exactly 310.66%
Exactly 43.60%
Exactly 50.97%
Exactly 60.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals0.79%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals67.10%
Wins by 3+ goals45.05%
Wins by 4+ goals25.83%
Wins by 5+ goals12.74%
Wins by 6+ goals5.45%
Wins by 7+ goals2.02%
Wins by 8+ goals0.63%
Wins by 9+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Chelsea
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Watford
Wins by 1 goal3.26%
Wins by 2 goals0.68%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal18.50%
Wins by 2 goals22.06%
Wins by 3 goals19.22%
Wins by 4 goals13.09%
Wins by 5 goals7.29%
Wins by 6 goals3.43%
Wins by 7 goals1.39%
Wins by 8 goals0.49%
Wins by 9 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.78%3.22%
1.585.71%14.29%
2.566.70%33.30%
3.544.94%55.06%
4.526.24%73.76%
5.513.40%86.60%
6.56.04%93.96%
7.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.28%59.72%
1.59.50%90.50%
2.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.61%5.39%
1.578.86%21.14%
2.555.86%44.14%
3.533.48%66.52%
4.517.15%82.85%
5.57.61%92.39%
6.52.96%97.04%
7.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.62%20.38%
1.547.20%52.80%
2.521.42%78.58%
3.57.75%92.25%
4.52.32%97.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Chelsea
Score012345
0
3.22%
9.41%
13.73%
13.36%
9.76%
5.70%
1
1.66%
4.85%
7.08%
6.89%
5.03%
2.94%
2
0.43%
1.25%
1.82%
1.78%
1.30%
0.76%
Watford
1-01.66%
2-00.43%
2-11.25%
Draw
0-03.22%
1-14.85%
2-21.82%
3-30.31%
Chelsea
0-19.41%
0-213.73%
1-27.08%
0-313.36%
1-36.89%
2-31.78%
0-49.76%
1-45.03%
2-41.30%
3-40.22%
0-55.70%
1-52.94%
2-50.76%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Chelsea
Score0123456
0
20.38%
27.55%
18.62%
8.39%
2.84%
0.77%
0.17%
1
4.86%
6.58%
4.45%
2.00%
0.68%
0.18%
0.04%
2
0.58%
0.78%
0.53%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-04.86%
2-00.58%
2-10.78%
Draw
0-020.38%
1-16.58%
2-20.53%
Chelsea
0-127.55%
0-218.62%
1-24.45%
0-38.39%
1-32.00%
2-30.24%
0-42.84%
1-40.68%
0-50.77%
1-50.18%
0-60.17%