Chelsea at Leeds United

Updated

Chelsea

65.2%20.1%14.7%
Chelsea WinDrawWin
2.07Projected Goals 0.86
3Final Score 0

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Wolverhampton-300
L 0-1 at Everton-140
T 1-1 at Manchester United+115
W 0-1 vs West Ham United-240
L 4-2 vs Arsenal-115
Leeds United
Money Line
L 1-2 at Arsenal+585
L 4-0 vs Manchester City+800
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace+190
W 3-0 at Watford+161
T 1-1 vs Southampton+141

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-155-150-145-142-153-145-142-133.6
Leeds United+420+380+380+415+373+380+415+404.3
Draw+290+310+325+315+311+325+325+335.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-160--160--170-150-150-133.6
Leeds United+440-+390-+350+370+390+404.3
Draw+300-+319-+260+320+320+335.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 20.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Leeds United: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -140 to -150
Leeds United ML moved from +390 to +370

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 20.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -149 to -160
Leeds United ML moved from +400 to +370

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o2¾-115o2¾-111o3+123-o2¾-111o3+123o2¾-104
Underu2¾-102u2¾-105u2¾-105u3-138-u2¾-105u3-138u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o3+115o3+115-o3-110o3+115o3+115o2¾-104
Underu2½+115u3-135u3-135-u3-120u3-135u3-120u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-150 to o3-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.5%
 
No49.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.35%
Exactly 222.93%
Exactly 416.39%
Exactly 64.68%
Exactly 80.72%
 
Exactly 115.66%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.60%
Exactly 71.96%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 012.68%
Exactly 126.19%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.61%
Exactly 49.61%
Exactly 53.97%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 042.18%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.72%
Exactly 34.52%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.77%
Exactly 223.69%
Exactly 43.63%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.94%
Exactly 310.71%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 038.44%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.57%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 067.05%
Exactly 126.80%
Exactly 25.36%
Exactly 30.71%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals40.89%
Wins by 3+ goals21.00%
Wins by 4+ goals8.96%
Wins by 5+ goals3.23%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals4.54%
Wins by 3+ goals1.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Leeds United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.29%
Wins by 2 goals19.89%
Wins by 3 goals12.04%
Wins by 4 goals5.73%
Wins by 5 goals2.24%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal10.15%
Wins by 2 goals3.47%
Wins by 3 goals0.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.65%5.35%
1.578.99%21.01%
2.556.05%43.95%
3.533.67%66.33%
4.517.28%82.72%
5.57.69%92.31%
6.53.00%97.00%
7.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.32%12.68%
1.561.13%38.87%
2.534.09%65.91%
3.515.48%84.52%
4.55.87%94.13%
5.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.82%42.18%
1.521.41%78.59%
2.55.69%94.31%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.23%25.77%
1.539.28%60.72%
2.515.59%84.41%
3.54.89%95.11%
4.51.26%98.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Leeds United
Score01234
0
5.35%
4.62%
1.99%
0.57%
0.12%
1
11.05%
9.54%
4.12%
1.18%
0.26%
2
11.41%
9.85%
4.25%
1.22%
0.26%
3
7.85%
6.78%
2.92%
0.84%
0.18%
4
4.05%
3.50%
1.51%
0.43%
0.09%
5
1.67%
1.44%
0.62%
0.18%
0.04%
Chelsea
1-011.05%
2-011.41%
2-19.85%
3-07.85%
3-16.78%
3-22.92%
4-04.05%
4-13.50%
4-21.51%
4-30.43%
5-01.67%
5-11.44%
5-20.62%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-05.35%
1-19.54%
2-24.25%
3-30.84%
Leeds United
0-14.62%
0-21.99%
1-24.12%
0-30.57%
1-31.18%
2-31.22%
0-40.12%
1-40.26%
2-40.26%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Leeds United
Score0123
0
25.78%
10.30%
2.06%
0.27%
1
24.64%
9.85%
1.97%
0.26%
2
11.78%
4.71%
0.94%
0.13%
3
3.75%
1.50%
0.30%
0.04%
4
0.90%
0.36%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-024.64%
2-011.78%
2-14.71%
3-03.75%
3-11.50%
3-20.30%
4-00.90%
4-10.36%
5-00.17%
Draw
0-025.78%
1-19.85%
2-20.94%
Leeds United
0-110.30%
0-22.06%
1-21.97%
0-30.27%
1-30.26%
2-30.13%