Ajax at Union Berlin

Updated

Ajax

29.7%26.2%44.0%
Ajax WinDrawUnion Berlin Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.44
1Final Score 3

Union Berlin

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Union Berlin+105
T 1-1 at Roma+210
L 2-1 vs Roma-105
W 2-0 at Young Boys-135
W 0-3 vs Young Boys-165
Union Berlin
Money Line
T 0-0 at Ajax+288
W 1-0 at Union SG-110
W 0-1 vs Braga-120
W 0-1 vs Malmo-275
W 1-0 at Malmo-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+200+236+220+237+243+237+243+248.7
Union Berlin+140+132+135+134+137+134+137+142.1
Draw+235+222+225+222+224+222+225+233.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+240-+223-+215+235+235+248.7
Union Berlin+125-+135-+110+130+135+142.1
Draw+220-+210-+200+215+215+233.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Union Berlin: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 10.0%
Union Berlin: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +250 to +243
Union Berlin ML moved from +130 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Union Berlin: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Union Berlin: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +230 to +223
No Steam Moves On Union Berlin ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2-140o2¼+102o2¼+102o2-129o2¼+102o2-129o2¼+111
Underu2¼+105u2+118u2¼-122u2¼-122u2+114u2¼-122u2¼-122u2¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120-o2-130-o2½+120o2-130o2-130o2¼+111
Underu2½-140-u2+110-u2½-150u2+110u2½-150u2¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.65%
Exactly 225.27%
Exactly 413.92%
Exactly 63.07%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.66%
Exactly 321.65%
Exactly 57.15%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 032.21%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 220.67%
Exactly 37.80%
Exactly 42.21%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Union Berlin
Exactly 023.75%
Exactly 134.14%
Exactly 224.54%
Exactly 311.76%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.42%
Exactly 221.54%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 059.19%
Exactly 131.04%
Exactly 28.14%
Exactly 31.42%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Union Berlin
Exactly 051.39%
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 211.39%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals11.72%
Wins by 3+ goals3.55%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Union Berlin
Wins by 2+ goals21.24%
Wins by 3+ goals8.06%
Wins by 4+ goals2.46%
Wins by 5+ goals0.59%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Union Berlin
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal17.92%
Wins by 2 goals8.17%
Wins by 3 goals2.73%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Union Berlin
Wins by 1 goal22.74%
Wins by 2 goals13.17%
Wins by 3 goals5.61%
Wins by 4 goals1.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.35%7.65%
1.572.69%27.31%
2.547.41%52.59%
3.525.76%74.24%
4.511.84%88.16%
5.54.69%95.31%
6.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.79%32.21%
1.531.30%68.70%
2.510.63%89.37%
3.52.82%97.18%

Total Goals Union Berlin Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.25%23.75%
1.542.11%57.89%
2.517.57%82.43%
3.55.81%94.19%
4.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.58%30.42%
1.533.38%66.62%
2.511.84%88.16%
3.53.29%96.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Union Berlin
Score012345
0
7.65%
11.00%
7.91%
3.79%
1.36%
0.39%
1
8.67%
12.46%
8.96%
4.29%
1.54%
0.44%
2
4.91%
7.06%
5.07%
2.43%
0.87%
0.25%
3
1.85%
2.66%
1.92%
0.92%
0.33%
0.09%
4
0.52%
0.75%
0.54%
0.26%
0.09%
0.03%
5
0.12%
0.17%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Ajax
1-08.67%
2-04.91%
2-17.06%
3-01.85%
3-12.66%
3-21.92%
4-00.52%
4-10.75%
4-20.54%
4-30.26%
5-00.12%
5-10.17%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-07.65%
1-112.46%
2-25.07%
3-30.92%
Union Berlin
0-111.00%
0-27.91%
1-28.96%
0-33.79%
1-34.29%
2-32.43%
0-41.36%
1-41.54%
2-40.87%
3-40.33%
0-50.39%
1-50.44%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Union Berlin
Score01234
0
30.42%
20.25%
6.74%
1.50%
0.25%
1
15.95%
10.62%
3.53%
0.78%
0.13%
2
4.18%
2.78%
0.93%
0.21%
0.03%
3
0.73%
0.49%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Ajax
1-015.95%
2-04.18%
2-12.78%
3-00.73%
3-10.49%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-030.42%
1-110.62%
2-20.93%
Union Berlin
0-120.25%
0-26.74%
1-23.53%
0-31.50%
1-30.78%
2-30.21%
0-40.25%
1-40.13%