Panathinaikos at Ajax

Updated

Panathinaikos

21.2%25.6%53.1%
Panathinaikos WinDrawAjax Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.55
12Final Score 13

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Panathinaikos
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Ajax+115
L 2-3 at Villarreal+320
L 1-3 at Rennes+380
L 2-1 vs Rennes+185
W 0-2 vs Villarreal+180
Ajax
Money Line
W 1-0 at Panathinaikos+180
W 3-1 at Vojvodina-220
W 0-1 vs Vojvodina
W 1-3 vs AEK Athens-125
L 3-4 at Marseille+450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Panathinaikos+355+419+390+370+407+370+419+425.1
Ajax-131-159-170-192-181-192-159-143.0
Draw+295+327+300+305+319+305+327+352.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Panathinaikos+310---+400-+400+425.1
Ajax-155----215--215-143.0
Draw+260---+305-+305+352.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Panathinaikos: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Panathinaikos: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Panathinaikos: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Panathinaikos ML moved from +410 to +389
Ajax ML moved from -185 to -192

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Panathinaikos: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Panathinaikos: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Panathinaikos: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Panathinaikos ML
Ajax ML moved from -180 to -210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-137o3+112o2¾-118o2¾-122o2¾-122o2¾-122o2¾-118o2¾-111
Underu2½+117u3-132u2¾-102u2¾+102u2¾-106u2¾+102u2¾+102u2¾+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135---o3-110-o3-110o2¾-111
Underu2½+105---u3-120-u3-120u2¾+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-135 to o3+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.90%
Exactly 226.04%
Exactly 412.70%
Exactly 62.48%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.53%
Exactly 321.00%
Exactly 56.14%
Exactly 70.86%
Exact Goals Scored - Panathinaikos
Exactly 041.75%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.92%
Exactly 34.64%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 021.32%
Exactly 132.95%
Exactly 225.46%
Exactly 313.12%
Exactly 45.07%
Exactly 51.57%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.63%
Exactly 220.46%
Exactly 42.14%
 
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 37.64%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Panathinaikos
Exactly 066.74%
Exactly 126.99%
Exactly 25.46%
Exactly 30.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 048.89%
Exactly 134.99%
Exactly 212.52%
Exactly 32.99%
Exactly 40.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Panathinaikos
Wins by 2+ goals6.88%
Wins by 3+ goals1.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals27.62%
Wins by 3+ goals11.32%
Wins by 4+ goals3.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.97%
Wins by 6+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Panathinaikos
Ajax
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Panathinaikos
Wins by 1 goal14.34%
Wins by 2 goals5.20%
Wins by 3 goals1.37%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal25.38%
Wins by 2 goals16.30%
Wins by 3 goals7.60%
Wins by 4 goals2.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.80%
Wins by 6 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.10%8.90%
1.569.57%30.43%
2.543.53%56.47%
3.522.53%77.47%
4.59.83%90.17%
5.53.68%96.32%
6.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Panathinaikos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.25%41.75%
1.521.78%78.22%
2.55.85%94.15%
3.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.68%21.32%
1.545.74%54.26%
2.520.27%79.73%
3.57.15%92.85%
4.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.37%32.63%
1.530.83%69.17%
2.510.37%89.63%
3.52.72%97.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Panathinaikos
Ajax
Score012345
0
8.90%
13.76%
10.63%
5.48%
2.12%
0.65%
1
7.77%
12.02%
9.29%
4.78%
1.85%
0.57%
2
3.39%
5.25%
4.06%
2.09%
0.81%
0.25%
3
0.99%
1.53%
1.18%
0.61%
0.24%
0.07%
4
0.22%
0.33%
0.26%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
Panathinaikos
1-07.77%
2-03.39%
2-15.25%
3-00.99%
3-11.53%
3-21.18%
4-00.22%
4-10.33%
4-20.26%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-08.90%
1-112.02%
2-24.06%
3-30.61%
Ajax
0-113.76%
0-210.63%
1-29.29%
0-35.48%
1-34.78%
2-32.09%
0-42.12%
1-41.85%
2-40.81%
3-40.24%
0-50.65%
1-50.57%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Panathinaikos
Ajax
Score01234
0
32.63%
23.35%
8.36%
1.99%
0.36%
1
13.19%
9.44%
3.38%
0.81%
0.14%
2
2.67%
1.91%
0.68%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.36%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Panathinaikos
1-013.19%
2-02.67%
2-11.91%
3-00.36%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-032.63%
1-19.44%
2-20.68%
Ajax
0-123.35%
0-28.36%
1-23.38%
0-31.99%
1-30.81%
2-30.16%
0-40.36%
1-40.14%