Ajax at Panathinaikos

Updated

Ajax

30.8%29.1%40.1%
Ajax WinDrawPanathinaikos Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.18
1Final Score 0

Panathinaikos

Last Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 3-1 at Vojvodina-220
W 0-1 vs Vojvodina
W 1-3 vs AEK Athens-125
L 3-4 at Marseille+450
L 2-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+310
Panathinaikos
Money Line
L 2-3 at Villarreal+320
L 1-3 at Rennes+380
L 2-1 vs Rennes+185
W 0-2 vs Villarreal+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:11.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+202+205+195+177+177+177+205+209.7
Panathinaikos+133+135+125+114+114+114+135+139.3
Draw+257+248+230+245+245+245+248+285.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+180---+180-+180+209.7
Panathinaikos+115---+115-+115+139.3
Draw+225---+225-+225+285.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Panathinaikos: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 10.0%
Panathinaikos: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Panathinaikos: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +212 to +205
Panathinaikos ML moved from +121 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Panathinaikos: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 10.0%
Panathinaikos: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Panathinaikos: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
No Steam Moves On Panathinaikos ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3+116o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-104
Underu2½+119u3-136u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u3-136u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140---o2½-140-o2½-140o2¾-104
Underu2½+110---u2½+110-u2½+110u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-112 to u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.9%
 
No56.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.26%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 410.68%
Exactly 61.70%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.59%
Exactly 319.55%
Exactly 54.66%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 036.76%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.41%
Exactly 36.14%
Exactly 41.54%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Panathinaikos
Exactly 030.62%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 221.45%
Exactly 38.46%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.37%
Exactly 218.60%
Exactly 41.59%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.27%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 062.92%
Exactly 129.15%
Exactly 26.75%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Panathinaikos
Exactly 057.81%
Exactly 131.68%
Exactly 28.68%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals11.39%
Wins by 3+ goals3.18%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%
Panathinaikos
Wins by 2+ goals17.11%
Wins by 3+ goals5.61%
Wins by 4+ goals1.46%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Panathinaikos
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.39%
Wins by 2 goals8.22%
Wins by 3 goals2.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%
Panathinaikos
Wins by 1 goal22.93%
Wins by 2 goals11.50%
Wins by 3 goals4.15%
Wins by 4 goals1.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.74%11.26%
1.564.16%35.84%
2.537.31%62.69%
3.517.76%82.24%
4.57.08%92.92%
5.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.24%36.76%
1.526.45%73.55%
2.58.04%91.96%
3.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Panathinaikos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.38%30.62%
1.533.14%66.86%
2.511.70%88.30%
3.53.24%96.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.63%36.37%
1.526.84%73.16%
2.58.24%91.76%
3.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Panathinaikos
Score012345
0
11.26%
13.32%
7.88%
3.11%
0.92%
0.22%
1
11.26%
13.33%
7.89%
3.11%
0.92%
0.22%
2
5.64%
6.67%
3.95%
1.56%
0.46%
0.11%
3
1.88%
2.23%
1.32%
0.52%
0.15%
0.04%
4
0.47%
0.56%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Ajax
1-011.26%
2-05.64%
2-16.67%
3-01.88%
3-12.23%
3-21.32%
4-00.47%
4-10.56%
4-20.33%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-011.26%
1-113.33%
2-23.95%
3-30.52%
Panathinaikos
0-113.32%
0-27.88%
1-27.89%
0-33.11%
1-33.11%
2-31.56%
0-40.92%
1-40.92%
2-40.46%
3-40.15%
0-50.22%
1-50.22%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Panathinaikos
Score01234
0
36.37%
19.93%
5.46%
1.00%
0.14%
1
16.85%
9.24%
2.53%
0.46%
0.06%
2
3.90%
2.14%
0.59%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.60%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-016.85%
2-03.90%
2-12.14%
3-00.60%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-036.37%
1-19.24%
2-20.59%
Panathinaikos
0-119.93%
0-25.46%
1-22.53%
0-31.00%
1-30.46%
2-30.11%
0-40.14%
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