Brighton at Ajax

Updated

Brighton and Hove Albion

35.0%27.8%37.1%
Brighton WinDrawAjax Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.21
2Final Score 0

Ajax

Last Games

Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Ajax-365
T 2-2 at Marseille+110
L 3-2 vs AEK Athens-530
Ajax
Money Line
L 0-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+820
T 1-1 at AEK Athens+275
T 3-3 vs Marseille+150
L 1-3 at Union Berlin+235
T 0-0 vs Union Berlin+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton-130--135-140-140-140-135-125.1
Ajax+300-+310+320+320+320+320+340.9
Draw+330-+340+338+338+338+340+359.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton-135----165-140-140-125.1
Ajax+300---+290+310+310+340.9
Draw+340---+300+345+345+359.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from -133 to -142
Ajax ML moved from +320 to +310

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from -155 to -165
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-110-o3½+100o3½-102o3½-115o3½-102o3½+100o3½+107
Underu3¼-110-u3½-120u3½-118u3½-115u3½-118u3½-115u3½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+120---o3½-110o3½-105o3½-105o3½+107
Underu3½-140---u3½-120u3½-115u3½-115u3½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-113 to o3½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+110 to o3½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.30%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 412.33%
Exactly 62.32%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.09%
Exactly 320.77%
Exactly 55.86%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 031.16%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 221.18%
Exactly 38.23%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 029.85%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 221.82%
Exactly 38.79%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.30%
Exactly 220.13%
Exactly 42.03%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.38%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 058.28%
Exactly 131.47%
Exactly 28.49%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 057.13%
Exactly 131.98%
Exactly 28.95%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals14.51%
Wins by 3+ goals4.64%
Wins by 4+ goals1.18%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals15.84%
Wins by 3+ goals5.23%
Wins by 4+ goals1.38%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion
Ajax
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal20.51%
Wins by 2 goals9.87%
Wins by 3 goals3.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.27%
Wins by 2 goals10.61%
Wins by 3 goals3.85%
Wins by 4 goals1.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.70%9.30%
1.568.61%31.39%
2.542.38%57.62%
3.521.61%78.39%
4.59.28%90.72%
5.53.42%96.58%
6.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.84%31.16%
1.532.51%67.49%
2.511.32%88.68%
3.53.09%96.91%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.15%29.85%
1.534.06%65.94%
2.512.25%87.75%
3.53.46%96.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.70%33.30%
1.530.08%69.92%
2.59.95%90.05%
3.52.57%97.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton
Ajax
Score012345
0
9.30%
11.24%
6.80%
2.74%
0.83%
0.20%
1
10.85%
13.11%
7.93%
3.19%
0.97%
0.23%
2
6.32%
7.64%
4.62%
1.86%
0.56%
0.14%
3
2.46%
2.97%
1.80%
0.72%
0.22%
0.05%
4
0.72%
0.87%
0.52%
0.21%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.17%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-010.85%
2-06.32%
2-17.64%
3-02.46%
3-12.97%
3-21.80%
4-00.72%
4-10.87%
4-20.52%
4-30.21%
5-00.17%
5-10.20%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.30%
1-113.11%
2-24.62%
3-30.72%
Ajax
0-111.24%
0-26.80%
1-27.93%
0-32.74%
1-33.19%
2-31.86%
0-40.83%
1-40.97%
2-40.56%
3-40.22%
0-50.20%
1-50.23%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton
Ajax
Score01234
0
33.30%
18.64%
5.22%
0.97%
0.14%
1
17.98%
10.06%
2.82%
0.53%
0.07%
2
4.85%
2.72%
0.76%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.87%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-017.98%
2-04.85%
2-12.72%
3-00.87%
3-10.49%
3-20.14%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-033.30%
1-110.06%
2-20.76%
Ajax
0-118.64%
0-25.22%
1-22.82%
0-30.97%
1-30.53%
2-30.14%
0-40.14%