Ajax at AEK Athens

Updated

Ajax

39.4%27.7%32.9%
Ajax WinDrawAEK Athens Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.12
1Final Score 1

AEK Athens

Last Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Marseille+150
L 1-3 at Union Berlin+235
T 0-0 vs Union Berlin+105
T 1-1 at Roma+210
L 2-1 vs Roma-105
AEK Athens
Money Line
W 3-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+1150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+225+277+275+299+299+299+299+313.1
AEK Athens+117-105-110-112-110-112-105-104.2
Draw+268+281+280+290+285+290+290+303.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+230---+240+275+275+313.1
AEK Athens+110----125-110-110-104.2
Draw+270---+260+280+280+303.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AEK Athens: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 50.0%
AEK Athens: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 10.0%
AEK Athens: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +298 to +290
AEK Athens ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AEK Athens: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 50.0%
AEK Athens: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
AEK Athens: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +215 to +195
AEK Athens ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3+102o3+102o3-102o3+100o3-102o3+102o3+107
Underu3-120u3-120u3-122u3-118u3-120u3-118u3-118u3-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105---o3-115o3-105o3-105o3+107
Underu3-115---u3-115u3-115u3-115u3-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.29%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 412.34%
Exactly 62.32%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.08%
Exactly 320.77%
Exactly 55.86%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 028.52%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 222.45%
Exactly 39.39%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - AEK Athens
Exactly 032.58%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 220.49%
Exactly 37.66%
Exactly 42.15%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.28%
Exactly 220.14%
Exactly 42.03%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.39%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 055.94%
Exactly 132.49%
Exactly 29.44%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AEK Athens
Exactly 059.50%
Exactly 130.89%
Exactly 28.02%
Exactly 31.39%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals17.31%
Wins by 3+ goals5.91%
Wins by 4+ goals1.61%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
AEK Athens
Wins by 2+ goals13.09%
Wins by 3+ goals3.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
AEK Athens
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal22.02%
Wins by 2 goals11.41%
Wins by 3 goals4.30%
Wins by 4 goals1.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
AEK Athens
Wins by 1 goal19.69%
Wins by 2 goals9.11%
Wins by 3 goals3.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.71%9.29%
1.568.63%31.37%
2.542.40%57.60%
3.521.63%78.37%
4.59.29%90.71%
5.53.43%96.57%
6.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.48%28.52%
1.535.70%64.30%
2.513.26%86.74%
3.53.87%96.13%

Total Goals AEK Athens Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.42%32.58%
1.530.88%69.12%
2.510.39%89.61%
3.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.72%33.28%
1.530.10%69.90%
2.59.96%90.04%
3.52.58%97.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
AEK Athens
Score012345
0
9.29%
10.42%
5.84%
2.18%
0.61%
0.14%
1
11.66%
13.07%
7.33%
2.74%
0.77%
0.17%
2
7.31%
8.20%
4.60%
1.72%
0.48%
0.11%
3
3.06%
3.43%
1.92%
0.72%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.96%
1.08%
0.60%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.24%
0.27%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-011.66%
2-07.31%
2-18.20%
3-03.06%
3-13.43%
3-21.92%
4-00.96%
4-11.08%
4-20.60%
4-30.23%
5-00.24%
5-10.27%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.29%
1-113.07%
2-24.60%
3-30.72%
AEK Athens
0-110.42%
0-25.84%
1-27.33%
0-32.18%
1-32.74%
2-31.72%
0-40.61%
1-40.77%
2-40.48%
3-40.20%
0-50.14%
1-50.17%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
AEK Athens
Score01234
0
33.28%
17.28%
4.49%
0.78%
0.10%
1
19.33%
10.04%
2.61%
0.45%
0.06%
2
5.62%
2.92%
0.76%
0.13%
0.02%
3
1.09%
0.56%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Ajax
1-019.33%
2-05.62%
2-12.92%
3-01.09%
3-10.56%
3-20.15%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-033.28%
1-110.04%
2-20.76%
AEK Athens
0-117.28%
0-24.49%
1-22.61%
0-30.78%
1-30.45%
2-30.13%
0-40.10%