Marseille at Ajax

Updated

Marseille

30.1%26.5%43.4%
Marseille WinDrawAjax Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.40
3Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Marseille
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Loko Moscow-310
L 2-4 at Galatasaray+165
T 2-2 vs Lazio+120
T 0-0 at Lazio+305
T 0-0 vs Galatasaray-170
Ajax
Money Line
L 1-3 at Union Berlin+235
T 0-0 vs Union Berlin+105
T 1-1 at Roma+210
L 2-1 vs Roma-105
W 2-0 at Young Boys-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marseille+212+174+160+175+175+175+175+188.4
Ajax+125+155+155+148+148+148+155+160.0
Draw+263+255+260+255+255+255+260+272.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marseille+180---+150+170+170+188.4
Ajax+145---+135+150+150+160.0
Draw+250---+235+255+255+272.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marseille: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marseille: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marseille: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marseille ML moved from +172 to +165
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marseille: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marseille: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marseille: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Marseille ML
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o3+109o2¾-112o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-112o2¾-107
Underu3-128u3-129u2¾-108u2¾-102u2¾-102u2¾-102u3-129u2¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145---o3+115o2½-140o2½-140o2¾-107
Underu2½+125---u3-145u2½+120u3-145u2¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.01%
Exactly 225.52%
Exactly 413.55%
Exactly 62.88%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.22%
Exactly 321.48%
Exactly 56.84%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Marseille
Exactly 032.59%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 220.48%
Exactly 37.65%
Exactly 42.15%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 024.58%
Exactly 134.49%
Exactly 224.20%
Exactly 311.32%
Exactly 43.97%
Exactly 51.11%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.07%
Exactly 221.23%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 38.27%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Marseille
Exactly 059.51%
Exactly 130.89%
Exactly 28.02%
Exactly 31.39%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 052.22%
Exactly 133.93%
Exactly 211.02%
Exactly 32.39%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Marseille
Wins by 2+ goals11.80%
Wins by 3+ goals3.55%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals20.62%
Wins by 3+ goals7.69%
Wins by 4+ goals2.30%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Marseille
Ajax
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Marseille
Wins by 1 goal18.16%
Wins by 2 goals8.25%
Wins by 3 goals2.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal22.73%
Wins by 2 goals12.93%
Wins by 3 goals5.39%
Wins by 4 goals1.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.99%8.01%
1.571.77%28.23%
2.546.24%53.76%
3.524.77%75.23%
4.511.21%88.79%
5.54.37%95.63%
6.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Marseille Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.41%32.59%
1.530.87%69.13%
2.510.39%89.61%
3.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.42%24.58%
1.540.93%59.07%
2.516.73%83.27%
3.55.41%94.59%
4.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.93%31.07%
1.532.61%67.39%
2.511.38%88.62%
3.53.11%96.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Marseille
Ajax
Score012345
0
8.01%
11.24%
7.89%
3.69%
1.29%
0.36%
1
8.98%
12.60%
8.84%
4.14%
1.45%
0.41%
2
5.03%
7.06%
4.96%
2.32%
0.81%
0.23%
3
1.88%
2.64%
1.85%
0.87%
0.30%
0.09%
4
0.53%
0.74%
0.52%
0.24%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.17%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.01%
Marseille
1-08.98%
2-05.03%
2-17.06%
3-01.88%
3-12.64%
3-21.85%
4-00.53%
4-10.74%
4-20.52%
4-30.24%
5-00.12%
5-10.17%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-08.01%
1-112.60%
2-24.96%
3-30.87%
Ajax
0-111.24%
0-27.89%
1-28.84%
0-33.69%
1-34.14%
2-32.32%
0-41.29%
1-41.45%
2-40.81%
3-40.30%
0-50.36%
1-50.41%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Marseille
Ajax
Score01234
0
31.07%
20.19%
6.56%
1.42%
0.23%
1
16.13%
10.48%
3.40%
0.74%
0.12%
2
4.19%
2.72%
0.88%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.72%
0.47%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Marseille
1-016.13%
2-04.19%
2-12.72%
3-00.72%
3-10.47%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-031.07%
1-110.48%
2-20.88%
Ajax
0-120.19%
0-26.56%
1-23.40%
0-31.42%
1-30.74%
2-30.19%
0-40.23%
1-40.12%