Benfica at Marseille

Updated

Benfica

33.9%27.6%38.5%
Benfica WinDrawMarseille Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.25
2Final Score 4

Marseille

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Marseille-135
W 1-0 at Rangers+125
T 2-2 vs Rangers-180
T 0-0 at Toulouse-110
W 1-2 vs Toulouse-299
Marseille
Money Line
L 1-2 at Benfica+377
L 1-3 at Villarreal+223
W 0-4 vs Villarreal-145
W 1-3 vs Shakhtar-185
T 2-2 at Shakhtar+128

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+180+187+180+195+195+195+195+205.3
Marseille+140+144+140+140+140+140+144+148.4
Draw+260+255+255+258+259+258+259+270.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+185-+192+180+175+185+192+205.3
Marseille+145-+138+125+115+140+140+148.4
Draw+245-+252+240+230+250+252+270.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marseille: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +192 to +185
Marseille ML moved from +145 to +138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marseille: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Benfica ML
Marseille ML moved from +135 to +125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o2½-133o2¾-102o2½-118o2¾+102o2½-118o2½-118o2½-107
Underu2¾-112u2½+113u2¾-118u2½-102u2¾-118u2½-102u2¾-118u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135-o2½-125o2½-130o2½-140o2½-125o2½-125o2½-107
Underu2½+115-u2½+105u2½+110u2½+110u2½+105u2½+110u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.01%
Exactly 226.10%
Exactly 412.60%
Exactly 62.43%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.69%
Exactly 320.94%
Exactly 56.06%
Exactly 70.84%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 031.51%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.01%
Exactly 38.09%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Marseille
Exactly 028.60%
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 222.41%
Exactly 39.35%
Exactly 42.93%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.82%
Exactly 220.37%
Exactly 42.11%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.57%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 058.58%
Exactly 131.33%
Exactly 28.38%
Exactly 31.49%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Marseille
Exactly 056.02%
Exactly 132.46%
Exactly 29.41%
Exactly 31.82%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals13.87%
Wins by 3+ goals4.39%
Wins by 4+ goals1.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%
Marseille
Wins by 2+ goals16.87%
Wins by 3+ goals5.73%
Wins by 4+ goals1.55%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Marseille
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal19.98%
Wins by 2 goals9.48%
Wins by 3 goals3.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%
Marseille
Wins by 1 goal21.65%
Wins by 2 goals11.14%
Wins by 3 goals4.18%
Wins by 4 goals1.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.99%9.01%
1.569.30%30.70%
2.543.20%56.80%
3.522.27%77.73%
4.59.67%90.33%
5.53.61%96.39%
6.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.49%31.51%
1.532.10%67.90%
2.511.09%88.91%
3.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals Marseille Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.40%28.60%
1.535.60%64.40%
2.513.19%86.81%
3.53.84%96.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.18%32.82%
1.530.62%69.38%
2.510.25%89.75%
3.52.68%97.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Marseille
Score012345
0
9.01%
11.28%
7.06%
2.95%
0.92%
0.23%
1
10.41%
13.03%
8.15%
3.40%
1.06%
0.27%
2
6.01%
7.52%
4.71%
1.96%
0.61%
0.15%
3
2.31%
2.90%
1.81%
0.76%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.67%
0.84%
0.52%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.15%
0.19%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Benfica
1-010.41%
2-06.01%
2-17.52%
3-02.31%
3-12.90%
3-21.81%
4-00.67%
4-10.84%
4-20.52%
4-30.22%
5-00.15%
5-10.19%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.01%
1-113.03%
2-24.71%
3-30.76%
Marseille
0-111.28%
0-27.06%
1-28.15%
0-32.95%
1-33.40%
2-31.96%
0-40.92%
1-41.06%
2-40.61%
3-40.24%
0-50.23%
1-50.27%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Marseille
Score01234
0
32.82%
19.02%
5.51%
1.06%
0.15%
1
17.55%
10.17%
2.95%
0.57%
0.08%
2
4.69%
2.72%
0.79%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.84%
0.48%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Benfica
1-017.55%
2-04.69%
2-12.72%
3-00.84%
3-10.48%
3-20.14%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-032.82%
1-110.17%
2-20.79%
Marseille
0-119.02%
0-25.51%
1-22.95%
0-31.06%
1-30.57%
2-30.15%
0-40.15%