Roma vs Sevilla

Updated

Roma

29.2%26.9%43.9%
Roma WinDrawSevilla Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.38
1Final Score 4

Sevilla

Last 5 Games

Roma
Money Line
T 0-0 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+280
W 0-1 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+135
W 1-4 vs Feyenoord-130
L 0-1 at Feyenoord+230
T 0-0 at Real Sociedad+358
Sevilla
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Juventus+141
T 1-1 at Juventus+415
W 0-3 vs Manchester United+280
T 2-2 at Manchester United+810
L 0-1 at Fenerbahce+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+185+175+170+168+188+168+188+177.4
Sevilla+177+216+215+228+177+228+228+239.5
Draw+195+178+180+180+193+180+193+189.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+195-+168-+175+175+175+177.4
Sevilla+165-+216-+180+200+216+239.5
Draw+200-+175-+185+180+185+189.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Sevilla: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 0.0%
Sevilla: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +178 to +172
Sevilla ML moved from +173 to +167

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Sevilla: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 0.0%
Sevilla: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +190 to +170
Sevilla ML moved from +178 to +171

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-115o2+124o1¾-110o1¾-108o2-110o1¾-108o1¾-108o1¾+102
Underu2-105u2-148u1¾-110u1¾-112u2-110u1¾-112u2-110u1¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-115-o1½-143-o2+120o1½-145o1½-143o1¾+102
Underu2-105-u1½+123-u2-150u1½+125u1½+125u1¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.4%
 
No50.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.52%
Exactly 225.84%
Exactly 413.06%
Exactly 62.64%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.99%
Exactly 321.21%
Exactly 56.43%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 034.03%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.77%
Exactly 37.10%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 025.05%
Exactly 134.68%
Exactly 224.00%
Exactly 311.08%
Exactly 43.83%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.98%
Exactly 220.78%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.90%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 060.71%
Exactly 130.30%
Exactly 27.56%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 052.68%
Exactly 133.77%
Exactly 210.82%
Exactly 32.31%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Roma
Wins by 2+ goals11.19%
Wins by 3+ goals3.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.73%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals20.75%
Wins by 3+ goals7.68%
Wins by 4+ goals2.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Roma
Sevilla
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Roma
Wins by 1 goal17.98%
Wins by 2 goals7.92%
Wins by 3 goals2.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal23.09%
Wins by 2 goals13.07%
Wins by 3 goals5.40%
Wins by 4 goals1.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.48%8.52%
1.570.49%29.51%
2.544.65%55.35%
3.523.44%76.56%
4.510.38%89.62%
5.53.96%96.04%
6.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.97%34.03%
1.529.29%70.71%
2.59.52%90.48%
3.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.95%25.05%
1.540.28%59.72%
2.516.28%83.72%
3.55.20%94.80%
4.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.02%31.98%
1.531.56%68.44%
2.510.78%89.22%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Roma
Sevilla
Score012345
0
8.52%
11.80%
8.17%
3.77%
1.30%
0.36%
1
9.19%
12.72%
8.80%
4.06%
1.41%
0.39%
2
4.95%
6.86%
4.75%
2.19%
0.76%
0.21%
3
1.78%
2.46%
1.70%
0.79%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.48%
0.66%
0.46%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.10%
0.14%
0.10%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Roma
1-09.19%
2-04.95%
2-16.86%
3-01.78%
3-12.46%
3-21.70%
4-00.48%
4-10.66%
4-20.46%
4-30.21%
5-00.10%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-08.52%
1-112.72%
2-24.75%
3-30.79%
Sevilla
0-111.80%
0-28.17%
1-28.80%
0-33.77%
1-34.06%
2-32.19%
0-41.30%
1-41.41%
2-40.76%
3-40.27%
0-50.36%
1-50.39%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Roma
Sevilla
Score01234
0
31.98%
20.50%
6.57%
1.40%
0.22%
1
15.96%
10.23%
3.28%
0.70%
0.11%
2
3.98%
2.55%
0.82%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.66%
0.42%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Roma
1-015.96%
2-03.98%
2-12.55%
3-00.66%
3-10.42%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-031.98%
1-110.23%
2-20.82%
Sevilla
0-120.50%
0-26.57%
1-23.28%
0-31.40%
1-30.70%
2-30.17%
0-40.22%
1-40.11%