Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Twente
AZ Alkmaar		24.0%
51.9%		24.0%
+411
-156

2
3		-0.53225-0.65587
NEC Nijmegen
Twente		16.9%
61.5%		21.6%
+350
-130

2
3		-0.60791-0.48649
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar		11.4%
72.1%		16.5%
+828
-309

1
4		-0.31542-0.32732
NEC Nijmegen
Heracles Almelo		39.5%
33.0%		27.5%
+206
+132

2
1		-1.15715-0.93003
Almere City
AZ Alkmaar		6.5%
80.6%		12.9%
+1005
-408

1
1		-1.96940-2.04694
Willem II
NAC Breda		22.4%
56.1%		21.5%
+360
-126

1
1		-1.38015-1.53851
Twente
Ajax		17.8%
61.3%		20.9%
+510
-216

0
2		-0.41737-0.48910
Groningen
Zwolle		29.9%
43.5%		26.6%
+258
+107

0
2		-0.75624-0.83310
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam		74.9%
9.9%		15.2%
-325
+770

3
1		-0.30259-0.28903
Feyenoord
Heerenveen		53.0%
23.7%		23.3%
+106
+228

0
2		-1.22265-1.44007
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard		47.2%
27.9%		25.0%
+120
+219

0
0		-1.33991-1.38766
Go Ahead Eagles
RKC Waalwijk		45.0%
29.0%		26.0%
+150
+158

3
5		-0.98591-1.23629
Fortuna Sittard
Almere City		31.3%
41.5%		27.2%
+329
-115

1
1		-1.36956-1.30111
Ajax
Groningen		61.2%
17.6%		21.2%
-158
+446

2
2		-1.45899-1.55051
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen		16.2%
64.6%		19.1%
+611
-222

0
3		-0.41127-0.43637
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht		18.7%
59.5%		21.7%
+321
-114

1
1		-1.36783-1.52592
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.