English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 25, 2025

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Everton
Newcastle United 		16.8%
61.8%		21.4%
+760
-282
+750
-290
0.90
1.95		2.85
o3-115
u3+100
o3-115
u3-105
Aston Villa
Manchester United 		27.3%
47.1%		25.6%
-132
+331
-135
+320
1.09
1.52		2.61
o3+100
u3-110
o3-105
u3-115
Brentford
Wolverhampton 		31.5%
39.7%		28.8%
+140
+180
+135
+175
1.03
1.19		2.22
o3-122
u3¼-120
o3-120
u3+110
Arsenal
Southampton 		74.3%
10.0%		15.8%
-315
+848
-325
+835
2.50
0.80		3.30
o3¼+102
u3¼-117
o3-120
u3½+115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Brighton and Hove Albion
Tottenham 		30.8%
42.7%		26.4%
-120
+282
-115
+260
1.15
1.40		2.55
o3½-118
u3½+102
o3½-115
u3½+110
West Ham United
Ipswich Town 		39.9%
32.3%		27.8%
+124
+200
+120
+200
1.27
1.10		2.37
o3-122
u3¼-119
o3-125
u3+115
Leicester City
Bournemouth 		7.2%
79.4%		13.4%
+685
-267
+675
-285
0.70
2.70		3.40
o3¼+102
u3¼-116
o3-120
u3+115
Manchester City
Fulham 		49.4%
25.3%		25.3%
-162
+460
-165
+450
1.56
1.04		2.60
o3-117
u3+104
o3-115
u3-105
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest 		43.2%
28.7%		28.1%
+115
+231
+110
+230
1.29
0.99		2.28
o2¾-116
u2¾+101
o2½-140
u2½+130
Crystal Palace
Liverpool 		8.3%
76.6%		15.1%
+563
-249
+560
-255
0.69
2.48		3.17
o3½-120
u3¾-117
o3½-115
u3½-105
Games for May 24, 2025
Games for May 26, 2025

Completed Games

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bournemouth
Manchester City		15.5%
63.7%		20.7%
+755
-290
+785
-300
1
3		-0.33014-0.32392-0.45055
Wolverhampton
Crystal Palace		18.7%
56.9%		24.4%
+223
+138
+209
+135
2
4		-0.88489-0.90098-0.56461
Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion		53.1%
22.6%		24.3%
+196
+128
+195
+120
2
3		-0.84725-0.83409-1.48642
Newcastle United
Arsenal		16.0%
63.2%		20.8%
+315
-110
+310
-110
0
1		-0.67283-0.67704-0.45868
Fulham
Brentford		28.2%
44.9%		26.9%
+261
+103
+260
+100
3
2		-1.31595-1.31453-1.26695
Ipswich Town
Leicester City		27.8%
46.3%		25.9%
+213
+127
+205
+128
0
2		-0.85320-0.86748-0.77091
Nottingham Forest
West Ham United		32.2%
39.5%		28.3%
+147
+203
+155
+195
2
1		-0.93115-0.96103-1.13454
Southampton
Everton		12.0%
70.4%		17.5%
+660
-234
+685
-250
0
2		-0.38945-0.38322-0.35037
Manchester United
Chelsea		14.9%
64.8%		20.4%
+460
-173
+600
-190
0
1		-0.48633-0.42920-0.43428
Tottenham
Aston Villa		23.7%
52.8%		23.4%
+1000
-375
+950
-330
0
2		-0.26242-0.28109-0.63775
Arsenal
Liverpool		18.7%
59.2%		22.1%
+225
+125
+215
+125
2
2		-1.31037-1.31983-1.51145
West Ham United
Manchester United		18.5%
59.5%		21.9%
+273
+105
+280
+100
2
0		-1.34224-1.37145-1.68664
Crystal Palace
Tottenham		27.4%
46.9%		25.8%
+127
+212
+145
+210
2
0		-0.85275-0.90079-1.29623
Leicester City
Nottingham Forest		10.8%
71.9%		17.3%
+725
-251
+700
-250
2
2		-1.67686-1.67975-1.75423
Chelsea
Newcastle United		34.9%
36.6%		28.5%
+211
+128
+220
+120
0
2		-0.85062-0.82508-1.00455
Aston Villa
Bournemouth		21.7%
54.2%		24.1%
+172
+161
+165
+155
1
0		-1.03260-1.01357-1.52933
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/20/25
Previous columnNext column
#TeamWLTPtsWin PLChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Liverpool (25-4-8, 83 pts)25.54.28.384.7100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Arsenal (19-4-14, 71 pts)19.84.114.173.40.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Newcastle United (20-11-6, 66 pts)20.411.36.367.40.0%70.6%29.4%0.0%
4Chelsea (19-9-9, 66 pts)19.59.29.267.90.0%73.5%12.0%0.0%
5Aston Villa (19-9-9, 66 pts)19.49.39.367.50.0%51.5%35.1%0.0%
6Manchester City (19-9-8, 65 pts)20.09.58.568.50.0%84.5%12.8%0.0%
7Nottingham Forest (19-10-8, 65 pts)19.210.58.265.90.0%19.9%10.7%0.0%
8Brighton and Hove Albion (15-9-13, 58 pts)15.59.213.359.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Brentford (16-14-7, 55 pts)16.514.37.356.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Fulham (15-13-9, 54 pts)15.213.69.254.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Bournemouth (14-11-11, 53 pts)14.811.611.656.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Crystal Palace (12-11-13, 49 pts)12.611.813.651.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Everton (10-12-15, 45 pts)10.312.415.346.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Wolverhampton (12-19-5, 41 pts)12.619.85.643.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15West Ham United (10-17-10, 40 pts)10.517.210.341.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Manchester United (10-18-9, 39 pts)10.318.49.340.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Tottenham (11-21-5, 38 pts)11.221.55.339.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Leicester City (6-24-7, 25 pts)6.224.57.326.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
19Ipswich Town (4-23-10, 22 pts)4.223.510.322.90.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
20Southampton (2-29-6, 12 pts)2.129.86.112.40.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.