Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Barcelona
Athletic Club		42.1%
30.1%		27.8%
+111
+240
+105
+225
3
0		-0.76583-0.76535-0.86569
Sevilla
Villarreal		17.0%
61.2%		21.8%
+332
-127
+450
-130
2
4		-0.60939-0.53931-0.49127
Atletico Madrid
Girona		49.4%
24.3%		26.4%
+118
+232
+115
+235
4
0		-0.81121-0.80602-0.70609
Celta Vigo
Getafe		34.3%
35.7%		30.0%
-131
+387
-130
+360
2
1		-0.60153-0.61865-1.06944
Osasuna
Alaves		22.3%
51.3%		26.4%
+140
+241
+135
+230
1
1		-1.20681-1.20775-1.33253
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano		22.7%
51.1%		26.2%
+665
-212
+600
-200
0
0		-1.53600-1.51777-1.33995
Las Palmas
Espanyol		27.9%
44.3%		27.8%
+780
-257
+825
-288
0
2		-0.35238-0.33635-0.81396
Valladolid
Leganes		22.5%
50.9%		26.6%
+860
-290
+875
-300
0
3		-0.32164-0.32149-0.67546
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid		9.2%
74.4%		16.3%
+660
-272
+700
-285
0
2		-0.34210-0.33917-0.29511
Valencia
Betis		21.6%
54.7%		23.7%
+275
-105
+273
-105
1
1		-1.39566-1.37753-1.43889
Villarreal
Barcelona		11.0%
72.2%		16.8%
+330
-139
+300
-125
3
2		-1.48966-1.41614-2.20464
Espanyol
Osasuna		16.6%
61.0%		22.3%
+340
-103
+355
-115
0
2		-0.69864-0.66219-0.49387
Getafe
Mallorca		27.9%
42.2%		29.8%
+265
+146
+260
+140
2
1		-1.31972-1.32407-1.27554
Real Madrid
Sevilla		60.3%
17.2%		22.5%
+120
+223
+120
+224
2
0		-0.81880-0.81446-0.50650
Leganes
Las Palmas		20.3%
53.5%		26.2%
+125
+240
+125
+220
1
0		-0.84144-0.85271-1.59312
Girona
Real Sociedad		21.2%
54.0%		24.9%
+415
-132
+400
-120
2
3		-0.58329-0.62538-0.61704
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/25/25
Previous columnNext column
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Barcelona (28-6-4, 88 pts)28.06.04.088.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Real Madrid (26-6-6, 84 pts)26.06.06.084.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Atletico Madrid (22-6-10, 76 pts)22.06.010.076.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Athletic Club (19-6-13, 70 pts)19.06.013.070.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Villarreal (20-8-10, 70 pts)20.08.010.070.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
6Betis (16-10-12, 60 pts)16.010.012.060.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
7Celta Vigo (16-15-7, 55 pts)16.015.07.055.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
8Rayo Vallecano (13-12-13, 52 pts)13.012.013.052.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Osasuna (12-10-16, 52 pts)12.010.016.052.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Mallorca (13-16-9, 48 pts)13.016.09.048.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Valencia (11-14-13, 46 pts)11.014.013.046.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Real Sociedad (13-18-7, 46 pts)13.018.07.046.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Getafe (11-18-9, 42 pts)11.018.09.042.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Alaves (10-16-12, 42 pts)10.016.012.042.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Espanyol (11-18-9, 42 pts)11.018.09.042.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Sevilla (10-17-11, 41 pts)10.017.011.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Girona (11-19-8, 41 pts)11.019.08.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Leganes (9-16-13, 40 pts)9.016.013.040.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
19Las Palmas (8-22-8, 32 pts)8.022.08.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
20Valladolid (4-30-4, 16 pts)4.030.04.016.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.