England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Burnley
Bristol City 		34.1%
37.4%		28.6%
+169
+181
+160
+185
1.10
1.17		2.27
o2¼+115
u2¼-122

Sheffield United
Coventry City 		33.1%
37.1%		29.8%
+188
+154
+180
+155
1.01
1.10		2.11
o2¼-120
u2½-121

Volatility Bet Value Active
Cardiff City
Sheffield Wednesday 		22.4%
53.1%		24.5%
+278
+104
+285
+100
0.98
1.65		2.63
o2½-104
u2½-109

Portsmouth
Blackburn 		19.2%
58.0%		22.8%
+400
-137
+400
-150
0.94
1.81		2.75
o2½-117
u2¾-122

Hull City
Luton Town 		21.3%
54.3%		24.4%
+273
+103
+265
+100
0.94
1.66		2.60
o2½-110
u2½-101

Sunderland
Millwall 		30.1%
41.3%		28.5%
+238
+131
+215
+145
1.01
1.24		2.25
o2-122
u2+111

Middlesbrough
Oxford United 		58.2%
19.4%		22.5%
-161
+435
-165
+425
1.86
0.97		2.83
o2½-116
u2½+106

Derby County
Preston North End 		29.9%
41.6%		28.4%
+245
+124
+245
+115
1.01
1.25		2.26
o2¼-105
u2½-140

Volatility Bet Value Active
Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers 		32.7%
39.6%		27.6%
+166
+173
+175
+155
1.12
1.27		2.39
o2½-105
u2½-109

Norwich City
West Bromwich Albion 		25.5%
47.7%		26.8%
+313
-108
+320
-115
0.97
1.43		2.40
o2½+102
u2½-116

Games for Nov 22, 2024
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Watford
Plymouth Argyle		39.2%
32.8%		28.0%
+122
+221
+125
+210
2
2		-1.31789-1.30416-1.27429
Swansea City
Burnley		18.6%
58.3%		23.0%
+301
+100
+295
-105
0
1		-0.73245-0.71885-0.53876
West Bromwich Albion
Hull City		35.8%
35.4%		28.8%
+144
+203
+140
+200
2
1		-0.93224-0.92712-1.02733
Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield United		14.8%
63.4%		21.7%
+385
-125
+370
-130
0
1		-0.62001-0.62120-0.45541
Coventry City
Sunderland		28.3%
44.1%		27.6%
+250
+120
+225
+125
2
2		-1.24698-1.26897-1.28808
Preston North End
Portsmouth		27.5%
45.5%		26.9%
+160
+193
+155
+190
1
3		-1.11082-1.11301-0.78686
Bristol City
Norwich City		21.9%
53.4%		24.7%
+242
+120
+230
+120
2
0		-1.26496-1.24434-1.51891
Queens Park Rangers
Leeds United		7.6%
79.1%		13.4%
+1038
-337
+1175
-420
0
2		-0.29769-0.26502-0.23475
Plymouth Argyle
Derby County		19.7%
56.9%		23.4%
+386
-136
+375
-140
1
1		-1.40637-1.41001-1.45333
Millwall
Stoke City		24.3%
49.0%		26.7%
+231
+133
+180
+165
1
1		-1.21905-1.19806-1.32227
Luton Town
Middlesbrough		18.4%
58.7%		22.9%
+468
-172
+340
-130
1
5		-0.49794-0.62146-0.46482
Blackburn
Cardiff City		29.3%
44.2%		26.5%
+202
+141
+205
+130
3
1		-1.14382-1.16632-1.22885
Oxford United
Watford		14.8%
64.8%		20.5%
+390
-130
+370
-135
0
1		-0.60248-0.59704-0.43436
Burnley
West Bromwich Albion		28.8%
43.4%		27.8%
+213
+148
+220
+140
0
0		-1.18679-1.18185-1.27920
Sunderland
Preston North End		37.4%
33.6%		29.0%
+178
+181
+145
+215
0
0		-1.16664-1.17847-1.23867
Cardiff City
Luton Town		20.4%
55.8%		23.8%
+315
-113
+370
-135
0
1		-0.67340-0.60347-0.58255
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31789 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.30416 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27429
0.04360
0.02987

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.