Lorient at Bastia

Updated

Lorient

54.3%25.1%20.7%
Lorient WinDrawBastia Win
1.60Projected Goals 0.88
4Final Score 1

Bastia

Last Games

Lorient
Money Line
L 0-1 at Rennes
Bastia
Money Line
L 0-2 at Nantes+420
W 5-3 at Reims+330
W 0-2 vs Clermont Foot

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lorient+105+176+170+154+181+154+181+192.2
Bastia+240+176+170+162+176+162+176+187.0
Draw+240+217+200+205+211+205+217+223.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lorient+105---+135-+135+192.2
Bastia+220---+180-+180+187.0
Draw+205---+190-+190+223.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lorient: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bastia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lorient: 50.0%
Bastia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lorient: 0.0%
Bastia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lorient ML moved from +158 to +152
Bastia ML moved from +187 to +173

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lorient: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bastia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lorient: 40.0%
Bastia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lorient: 0.0%
Bastia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Lorient ML
Bastia ML moved from +195 to +180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+120o2¼-112o2¼-106o2½+130o2¼-106o2¼-106o2½+136
Underu2½-118u2½-142u2¼-118u2¼-114u2½-145u2¼-114u2½-142u2½-136
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+136
Under-----u2½-136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.41%
Exactly 225.77%
Exactly 413.17%
Exactly 62.69%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.82%
Exactly 321.27%
Exactly 56.52%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Lorient
Exactly 020.26%
Exactly 132.34%
Exactly 225.82%
Exactly 313.74%
Exactly 45.49%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 60.47%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Bastia
Exactly 041.51%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.04%
Exactly 34.70%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.78%
Exactly 220.88%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lorient
Exactly 047.75%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 213.05%
Exactly 33.22%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bastia
Exactly 066.56%
Exactly 127.09%
Exactly 25.51%
Exactly 30.75%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lorient
Wins by 2+ goals28.90%
Wins by 3+ goals12.20%
Wins by 4+ goals4.19%
Wins by 5+ goals1.19%
Bastia
Wins by 2+ goals6.70%
Wins by 3+ goals1.64%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Lorient
Bastia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Lorient
Wins by 1 goal25.33%
Wins by 2 goals16.70%
Wins by 3 goals8.01%
Wins by 4 goals3.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.91%
Bastia
Wins by 1 goal13.95%
Wins by 2 goals5.06%
Wins by 3 goals1.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.59%8.41%
1.570.77%29.23%
2.545.00%55.00%
3.523.73%76.27%
4.510.56%89.44%
5.54.04%95.96%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Lorient Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.74%20.26%
1.547.40%52.60%
2.521.58%78.42%
3.57.84%92.16%
4.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals Bastia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.49%41.51%
1.521.99%78.01%
2.55.95%94.05%
3.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.22%31.78%
1.531.79%68.21%
2.510.91%89.09%
3.52.93%97.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lorient
Bastia
Score01234
0
8.41%
7.39%
3.25%
0.95%
0.21%
1
13.43%
11.80%
5.19%
1.52%
0.33%
2
10.72%
9.42%
4.14%
1.21%
0.27%
3
5.71%
5.02%
2.21%
0.65%
0.14%
4
2.28%
2.00%
0.88%
0.26%
0.06%
5
0.73%
0.64%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
Lorient
1-013.43%
2-010.72%
2-19.42%
3-05.71%
3-15.02%
3-22.21%
4-02.28%
4-12.00%
4-20.88%
4-30.26%
5-00.73%
5-10.64%
5-20.28%
Draw
0-08.41%
1-111.80%
2-24.14%
3-30.65%
Bastia
0-17.39%
0-23.25%
1-25.19%
0-30.95%
1-31.52%
2-31.21%
0-40.21%
1-40.33%
2-40.27%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Lorient
Bastia
Score0123
0
31.78%
12.94%
2.63%
0.36%
1
23.49%
9.56%
1.95%
0.26%
2
8.68%
3.54%
0.72%
0.10%
3
2.14%
0.87%
0.18%
0.02%
4
0.40%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
Lorient
1-023.49%
2-08.68%
2-13.54%
3-02.14%
3-10.87%
3-20.18%
4-00.40%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-031.78%
1-19.56%
2-20.72%
Bastia
0-112.94%
0-22.63%
1-21.95%
0-30.36%
1-30.26%