Ajaccio at Toulouse

Updated

Ajaccio

22.0%26.6%51.4%
Ajaccio WinDrawToulouse Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.46
0Final Score 2

Toulouse

Last Games

Ajaccio
Money Line
Toulouse
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Nimes

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajaccio+225+357+310+300+372+300+372+390.9
Toulouse+110-120-120-130-122-130-120-112.1
Draw+240+264+240+250+259+250+264+273.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajaccio+330---+345-+345+390.9
Toulouse-155----155--155-112.1
Draw+245---+240-+240+273.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajaccio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toulouse: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajaccio: 10.0%
Toulouse: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajaccio: 0.0%
Toulouse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajaccio ML moved from +390 to +372
Toulouse ML moved from -124 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajaccio: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toulouse: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajaccio: 20.0%
Toulouse: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajaccio: 0.0%
Toulouse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajaccio ML
No Steam Moves On Toulouse ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-106o2½-103o2½+100o2½+107o2½+102o2½+107o2½+107o2½+109
Underu2½-112u2½-115u2½-130u2½-127u2½-117u2½-127u2½-115u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-122 to u2¼-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.90%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 411.80%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.90%
Exactly 320.41%
Exactly 55.46%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajaccio
Exactly 042.60%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.51%
Exactly 34.41%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Toulouse
Exactly 023.25%
Exactly 133.92%
Exactly 224.74%
Exactly 312.03%
Exactly 44.39%
Exactly 51.28%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.28%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 41.88%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajaccio
Exactly 067.36%
Exactly 126.62%
Exactly 25.26%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toulouse
Exactly 050.89%
Exactly 134.38%
Exactly 211.61%
Exactly 32.61%
Exactly 40.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajaccio
Wins by 2+ goals7.05%
Wins by 3+ goals1.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Toulouse
Wins by 2+ goals25.76%
Wins by 3+ goals10.11%
Wins by 4+ goals3.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.79%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajaccio
Toulouse
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ajaccio
Wins by 1 goal14.92%
Wins by 2 goals5.36%
Wins by 3 goals1.38%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Toulouse
Wins by 1 goal25.51%
Wins by 2 goals15.65%
Wins by 3 goals6.93%
Wins by 4 goals2.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.66%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.10%9.90%
1.567.20%32.80%
2.540.72%59.28%
3.520.32%79.68%
4.58.52%91.48%
5.53.06%96.94%

Total Goals Ajaccio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.40%42.60%
1.521.05%78.95%
2.55.54%94.46%
3.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Toulouse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.75%23.25%
1.542.84%57.16%
2.518.09%81.91%
3.56.06%93.94%
4.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.72%34.28%
1.529.02%70.98%
2.59.37%90.63%
3.52.36%97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajaccio
Toulouse
Score012345
0
9.90%
14.45%
10.54%
5.13%
1.87%
0.55%
1
8.45%
12.33%
8.99%
4.37%
1.60%
0.47%
2
3.61%
5.26%
3.84%
1.87%
0.68%
0.20%
3
1.03%
1.50%
1.09%
0.53%
0.19%
0.06%
4
0.22%
0.32%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Ajaccio
1-08.45%
2-03.61%
2-15.26%
3-01.03%
3-11.50%
3-21.09%
4-00.22%
4-10.32%
4-20.23%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-09.90%
1-112.33%
2-23.84%
3-30.53%
Toulouse
0-114.45%
0-210.54%
1-28.99%
0-35.13%
1-34.37%
2-31.87%
0-41.87%
1-41.60%
2-40.68%
3-40.19%
0-50.55%
1-50.47%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajaccio
Toulouse
Score01234
0
34.28%
23.16%
7.82%
1.76%
0.30%
1
13.54%
9.15%
3.09%
0.70%
0.12%
2
2.68%
1.81%
0.61%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.35%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajaccio
1-013.54%
2-02.68%
2-11.81%
3-00.35%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-034.28%
1-19.15%
2-20.61%
Toulouse
0-123.16%
0-27.82%
1-23.09%
0-31.76%
1-30.70%
2-30.14%
0-40.30%
1-40.12%