Ajaccio at Lille

Updated

Ajaccio

9.3%18.5%72.2%
WinDrawLille Win
0.58Projected Goals 2.07
0Final Score 3

Lille

Last 5 Games

Ajaccio
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Brest+220
L 1-3 at Strasbourg+475
L 3-0 vs Auxerre+185
L 1-2 at Clermont Foot+350
L 2-0 vs Monaco+530
Lille
Money Line
T 1-1 at Auxerre-165
W 1-2 vs Montpellier-190
L 0-1 at Angers-260
W 1-3 vs Lorient-270
W 2-0 at Toulouse+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajaccio+1400+1119+1000-+1163-+1163-
Lille-480-349-375--359--349-
Draw+525+453+475-+475-+475-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajaccio+1375----+1350+1350-
Lille-465-----450-450-
Draw+525----+510+510-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajaccio: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lille: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajaccio: 20.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajaccio: 0.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajaccio ML moved from +1177 to +1157
Lille ML moved from -360 to -375

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajaccio: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lille: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajaccio: 30.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajaccio: 40.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajaccio ML moved from +1300 to +1250
Lille ML moved from -450 to -485

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o2½-137o2¾-105-o2½-127-o2½-127-
Underu2¾-110u2½+115u2¾-115-u2½+112-u2¾-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145----o2½-130o2½-130-
Underu2½+125----u2½+110u2½+110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3-145
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.5%
 
No61.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.08%
Exactly 224.82%
Exactly 414.50%
Exactly 63.39%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.74%
Exactly 321.91%
Exactly 57.68%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajaccio
Exactly 055.89%
Exactly 132.52%
Exactly 29.46%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Lille
Exactly 012.66%
Exactly 126.17%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.62%
Exactly 49.62%
Exactly 53.98%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.34%
Exactly 222.06%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 39.01%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajaccio
Exactly 076.39%
Exactly 120.58%
Exactly 22.77%
Exactly 30.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lille
Exactly 038.41%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.58%
Exactly 35.61%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajaccio
Wins by 2+ goals2.09%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%
Lille
Wins by 2+ goals46.83%
Wins by 3+ goals24.68%
Wins by 4+ goals10.74%
Wins by 5+ goals3.93%
Wins by 6+ goals1.22%
Wins by 7+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajaccio
Lille
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Ajaccio
Wins by 1 goal7.14%
Wins by 2 goals1.75%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%
Lille
Wins by 1 goal25.37%
Wins by 2 goals22.15%
Wins by 3 goals13.94%
Wins by 4 goals6.81%
Wins by 5 goals2.71%
Wins by 6 goals0.91%
Wins by 7 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.92%7.08%
1.574.18%25.82%
2.549.36%50.64%
3.527.45%72.55%
4.512.95%87.05%
5.55.27%94.73%
6.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Ajaccio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.11%55.89%
1.511.59%88.41%
2.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Lille Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.34%12.66%
1.561.17%38.83%
2.534.13%65.87%
3.515.50%84.50%
4.55.88%94.12%
5.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.66%29.34%
1.534.68%65.32%
2.512.62%87.38%
3.53.61%96.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajaccio
Lille
Score012345
0
7.08%
14.63%
15.11%
10.41%
5.38%
2.22%
1
4.12%
8.51%
8.79%
6.06%
3.13%
1.29%
2
1.20%
2.48%
2.56%
1.76%
0.91%
0.38%
3
0.23%
0.48%
0.50%
0.34%
0.18%
0.07%
Ajaccio
1-04.12%
2-01.20%
2-12.48%
3-00.23%
3-10.48%
3-20.50%
Draw
0-07.08%
1-18.51%
2-22.56%
3-30.34%
Lille
0-114.63%
0-215.11%
1-28.79%
0-310.41%
1-36.06%
2-31.76%
0-45.38%
1-43.13%
2-40.91%
3-40.18%
0-52.22%
1-51.29%
2-50.38%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajaccio
Lille
Score012345
0
29.34%
28.07%
13.43%
4.28%
1.02%
0.20%
1
7.90%
7.56%
3.62%
1.15%
0.28%
0.05%
2
1.06%
1.02%
0.49%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Ajaccio
1-07.90%
2-01.06%
2-11.02%
Draw
0-029.34%
1-17.56%
2-20.49%
Lille
0-128.07%
0-213.43%
1-23.62%
0-34.28%
1-31.15%
2-30.16%
0-41.02%
1-40.28%
0-50.20%