France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196

1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-115
u2½+103

Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brest
Ajaccio		33.6%
36.4%		29.9%
+157
+225
+145
+220
0
0		-1.15059-1.16254-1.20591
Strasbourg
Reims		29.2%
42.6%		28.2%
+239
+127
+265
+100
2
0		-1.24181-1.34519-1.23234
Monaco
Lens		30.7%
43.4%		25.9%
+251
+115
+240
+110
0
3		-0.78555-0.79264-0.83473
Lille
Auxerre		54.0%
21.7%		24.2%
-160
+500
-165
+450
1
1		-1.46050-1.44885-1.41770
Paris Saint-Germain
Angers		82.9%
5.5%		11.5%

-550
+1400
2
1		-0.21567-0.18728
Troyes
Marseille		7.9%
76.9%		15.2%
+1368
-450
+1150
-500
1
3		-0.22726-0.23231-0.26316
Lorient
Monaco		11.4%
71.6%		17.0%
+839
-304
+800
-310
1
3		-0.30600-0.31987-0.33406
Nice
Brest		34.5%
37.9%		27.5%
+203
+165
+190
+150
0
1		-0.98953-0.96748-0.96906
Ajaccio
Strasbourg		17.3%
58.2%		24.6%
+535
-138
+475
-140
1
3		-0.56620-0.58909-0.54171
Angers
Clermont Foot		22.6%
52.5%		25.0%
+360
-111
+335
-115
1
2		-0.65960-0.67495-0.64516
Nantes
Auxerre		31.2%
41.6%		27.1%
+196
+183
+190
+170
1
2		-1.06236-1.04064-0.87719
Montpellier
Lille		10.0%
73.8%		16.2%
+535
-183
+480
-190
1
2		-0.45271-0.47383-0.30330
Lens
Paris Saint-Germain		8.2%
77.5%		14.3%

+340
-135
1
3		-0.60475-0.25511
Reims
Rennes		15.1%
63.3%		21.6%
+237
+125
+225
+120
0
3		-0.83669-0.83924-0.45683
Lyon
Toulouse		54.7%
22.1%		23.2%
+111
+250
+105
+230
2
1		-0.76522-0.76718-0.60322
Marseille
Lorient		42.9%
30.0%		27.0%
-175
+503
-185
+475
0
0		-1.52823-1.53067-1.30841
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.