France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196

1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-115
u2½+103

Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Toulouse
Angers		32.2%
40.5%		27.3%
+103
+295
-105
+275
2
0		-0.72759-0.72054-1.13410
Lens
Clermont Foot		54.1%
21.6%		24.3%
-146
+480
-155
+460
4
0		-0.54061-0.54623-0.61426
Paris Saint-Germain
Brest		76.9%
8.6%		14.6%

-240
+600
2
1		-0.39782-0.26300
Rennes
Auxerre		48.8%
25.7%		25.4%
+108
+307
+105
+285
0
0		-1.23574-1.24327-1.36932
Lyon
Lille		29.5%
44.2%		26.3%
+325
-114
+325
-125
3
3		-1.38894-1.39744-1.33534
Marseille
Rennes		29.4%
43.4%		27.2%
+145
+200
+140
+195
1
0		-0.93107-0.91997-1.22516
Lorient
Lyon		12.8%
69.3%		17.9%
+490
-170
+450
-175
0
0		-1.50765-1.50810-1.72149
Clermont Foot
Toulouse		24.3%
50.1%		25.7%
+427
-145
+410
-150
1
0		-1.68724-1.68040-1.41659
Ajaccio
Reims		19.7%
53.0%		27.3%
+565
-179
+575
-190
0
1		-0.47905-0.47482-0.63486
Brest
Strasbourg		24.3%
51.0%		24.7%
+330
+105
+315
+100
1
0		-1.48355-1.47521-1.41552
Angers
Montpellier		22.5%
54.0%		23.5%
+410
-125
+380
-130
0
5		-0.61306-0.62060-0.61593
Monaco
Troyes		63.6%
15.6%		20.8%
-202
+565
-210
+525
2
2		-1.61229-1.58802-1.57070
Nantes
Paris Saint-Germain		3.4%
87.9%		8.6%

+1100
-400
2
4		-0.27194-0.12870
Lille
Lens		24.7%
50.2%		25.1%
+198
+148
+200
+145
1
1		-1.25618-1.22670-1.38210
Auxerre
Nice		13.7%
66.9%		19.4%
+500
-149
+475
-160
1
1		-1.36285-1.38609-1.63851
Paris Saint-Germain
Marseille		59.4%
18.3%		22.3%

+140
+175
3
0		-0.92480-0.52150
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.