France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196

1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-115
u2½+103

Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nice
Monaco		17.8%
60.6%		21.6%
+285
+108
+270
+100
3
0		-1.37003-1.35899-1.72519
Toulouse
Reims		23.6%
50.5%		26.0%
+270
+113
+255
+110
0
3		-0.77657-0.79264-0.68395
Rennes
Nantes		45.5%
27.9%		26.6%
+123
+265
+120
+240
1
0		-0.83165-0.83884-0.78711
Strasbourg
Clermont Foot		33.9%
37.1%		28.9%
+179
+193
+175
+185
1
1		-1.13113-1.13392-1.23991
Auxerre
Lorient		17.2%
61.4%		21.4%
+260
+121
+270
+105
1
0		-1.30930-1.35922-1.75875
Lens
Montpellier		55.1%
21.9%		23.0%
-119
+370
-125
+365
1
1		-1.32441-1.32818-1.47098
Lyon
Angers		62.1%
17.1%		20.8%
-123
+370
-120
+340
3
1		-0.61552-0.65541-0.47700
Brest
Lille		13.0%
68.1%		18.9%
+900
-290
+775
-275
1
2		-0.32430-0.36057-0.38466
Marseille
Toulouse		49.4%
25.1%		25.5%
+101
+279
-115
+300
3
2		-0.71968-0.67598-0.70562
Nantes
Lens		10.8%
72.3%		17.0%
+675
-188
+650
-210
1
3		-0.44079-0.43989-0.32480
Montpellier
Troyes		24.2%
50.8%		25.0%
+137
+239
+120
+240
1
0		-0.87822-0.83884-1.41894
Clermont Foot
Rennes		10.8%
71.3%		17.9%
+560
-165
+505
-170
0
2		-0.49645-0.51268-0.33858
Monaco
Brest		46.9%
28.0%		25.1%
-118
+350
-125
+345
2
1		-0.63288-0.63709-0.75617
Lille
Paris Saint-Germain		7.7%
77.8%		14.4%

+410
-165
3
4		-0.52379-0.25045
Angers
Strasbourg		16.1%
62.7%		21.3%
+366
-108
+345
-115
1
2		-0.67718-0.67399-0.46749
Lyon
Auxerre		59.3%
19.0%		21.7%
-110
+330
-105
+290
1
2		-1.48210-1.41005-1.65873
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.