France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196

1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-115
u2½+103

Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lens
Lyon		24.9%
51.1%		23.9%
+196
+161
+185
+150
1
2		-0.97864-0.96451-0.67045
Lorient
Nantes		31.6%
41.0%		27.3%
+308
+101
+295
+100
0
1		-0.71458-0.74354-0.89053
Troyes
Reims		23.8%
49.2%		27.0%
+520
-178
+515
-190
0
4		-0.46935-0.47456-0.70857
Brest
Montpellier		32.4%
41.4%		26.2%
+230
+141
+215
+130
0
3		-0.89597-0.88242-0.88305
Strasbourg
Lille		14.4%
65.1%		20.5%
+675
-221
+625
-225
0
2		-0.39383-0.41885-0.42902
Auxerre
Angers		28.7%
45.0%		26.3%
+215
+146
+225
+125
1
1		-1.23117-1.25836-1.33693
Rennes
Toulouse		47.7%
26.5%		25.9%
+156
+201
+145
+195
1
3		-1.11456-1.13075-1.32923
Marseille
Clermont Foot		51.3%
23.1%		25.6%
-143
+499
-150
+460
2
0		-0.54526-0.56203-0.66795
Paris Saint-Germain
Monaco		58.6%
19.4%		22.0%

+200
+135
1
3		-0.90199-1.64248
Ajaccio
Nice		13.4%
64.7%		21.8%
+555
-151
+550
-175
0
3		-0.53169-0.50398-0.43491
Nice
Marseille		18.8%
58.1%		23.0%
+465
-144
+420
-145
3
1		-1.75175-1.69821-1.66866
Lens
Brest		47.4%
27.4%		25.2%
-113
+358
-125
+365
1
1		-1.33716-1.32818-1.37833
Montpellier
Strasbourg		19.2%
58.5%		22.2%
+292
+115
+290
+105
0
2		-0.77971-0.76845-0.53546
Angers
Lorient		15.5%
63.9%		20.6%
+348
+102
+295
-105
0
0		-1.28096-1.30258-1.58211
Reims
Auxerre		32.1%
39.5%		28.4%
+100
+308
-105
+300
0
0		-1.31360-1.28910-1.25825
Nantes
Ajaccio		30.9%
38.7%		30.4%
+233
+166
+200
+170
2
0		-1.21807-1.14602-1.17419
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.